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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
751
Drew HellesonANA · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.4
0.0
3.8
3.6
1.4
3
752
Marc Del GaizoNYR · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
4.8
0.0
4.8
3.4
1.3
3
753
Braden SchneiderNYR · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.5
0.0
5.8
5.1
0.9
3
754
Tyler KlevenOTT · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.5
0.0
5.0
3.9
1.8
3
755
Jeff MalottANA · L
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.7
0.0
8.1
1.5
3.0
3
756
Matthew KesselNYI · D
0.4
0.1
0.2
2.1
0.0
2.4
3.0
1.0
3
757
Emil LillebergTBL · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
2.2
0.0
5.7
2.7
3.4
3
758
Arshdeep BainsVAN · L
0.5
0.1
0.3
2.0
0.1
2.8
0.8
1.1
3
759
Elias PetterssonVAN · D
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.0
0.0
5.5
3.3
1.7
3
760
Dmitry KulikovFLA · D
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.8
0.0
5.5
3.2
1.8
3
761
Nick LeddySJS · D
0.8
0.1
0.6
2.2
0.0
1.2
3.6
0.6
3
762
Brenden DillonNJD · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.2
0.0
7.6
3.9
3.0
3
763
Alexander PetrovicFLA · D
0.5
0.1
0.4
3.0
0.0
5.2
3.9
2.3
3
764
Erik GudbransonCBJ · D
0.6
0.1
0.4
3.3
0.0
4.0
5.3
2.0
3
765
Dylan DeMeloWPG · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.9
0.0
4.8
4.1
1.5
3
766
Mike ReillyCAR · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
5.0
0.1
1.6
2.6
1.5
3
767
Adam PelechNYI · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
4.6
0.0
3.0
4.7
1.7
3
768
Dominic ToninatoCHI · C
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.4
0.0
4.7
1.1
1.5
3
769
Brett KulakCOL · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
3.7
0.0
1.5
4.2
1.2
3
770
Marcus PetterssonNYR · D
0.9
0.1
0.7
2.8
0.0
3.4
5.2
2.0
3
771
Matt RoyWSH · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.9
0.0
4.9
5.7
0.8
3
772
Zach WhitecloudCGY · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.7
0.0
5.0
5.0
1.4
3
773
Nikita OkhotiukCGY · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.0
0.0
8.3
4.2
2.5
3
774
Henry ThrunWPG · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.7
0.1
2.0
3.5
1.2
3
775
Albert JohanssonDET · D
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.3
0.0
2.4
3.6
0.8
3
776
Tim WasheANA · C
0.4
0.1
0.2
2.4
0.0
8.1
2.0
1.1
3
777
Brendan SmithCBJ · D
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.6
0.0
4.2
3.1
2.8
3
778
Tyler MyersDAL · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.7
0.0
3.9
5.3
2.5
3
779
Justin HollWSH · D
0.5
0.1
0.4
1.9
0.0
2.9
3.4
1.2
3
780
Scott SabourinTBL · R39 sample
0.6
0.1
0.4
1.3
0.0
7.3
1.3
9.2
3
781
Connor CliftonBOS · D
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.6
0.0
9.2
4.7
2.6
3
782
Ross JohnstonSTL · L
0.5
0.1
0.4
1.5
0.0
8.8
1.0
5.0
3
783
Ryan LindgrenSEA · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.4
0.0
2.9
4.7
2.0
3
784
Cale FleurySEA · D
0.4
0.1
0.3
3.0
0.0
6.5
4.6
0.7
3
785
Tim BerniCBJ · D
0.3
0.1
0.2
3.2
0.0
5.9
3.6
1.7
3
786
Zac JonesUTA · D
0.8
0.1
0.6
3.5
0.1
1.9
2.8
1.3
3
787
Ethan Del MastroCHI · D
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.7
0.0
3.8
3.1
2.0
3
788
Declan CarlilePIT · D
0.3
0.1
0.1
2.4
0.0
3.9
2.7
2.6
3
789
Owen PickeringPIT · D29 sample
0.3
0.1
0.2
1.7
0.0
1.5
2.1
0.9
3
790
Elias SalomonssonWPG · D32 sample
0.5
0.1
0.4
3.5
0.1
4.7
2.5
1.1
3
791
Parker FordWPG · C18 sample
0.3
0.1
0.2
2.2
0.0
5.3
2.3
0.9
3
792
Ian ColeCHI · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.4
0.0
3.4
6.1
2.2
3
793
Brian DumoulinLAK · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.5
0.0
2.3
3.6
0.7
3
794
Nicolas DeslauriersCAR · L
0.3
0.1
0.2
2.3
0.0
10.3
1.0
3.7
3
795
Radko GudasFLA · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.5
0.0
9.8
5.6
3.7
3
796
Chris TanevTOR · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.1
0.0
1.5
7.3
0.8
3
797
Scott MayfieldNYI · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.0
3.4
4.1
2.6
3
798
Anton BlidhNYR · L
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.9
0.0
6.3
0.7
1.0
3
799
Trevor van RiemsdykPIT · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.5
0.0
0.6
4.8
0.9
3
800
Haydn FleuryWPG · D
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.5
0.0
4.2
4.3
1.1
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.