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NJD New Jersey Devils

@BOSBoston Bruins

Last gameApr 14 · 7:00 PM ET

The model's read

a disagreement, not a correction

The model rates NJD higher than the standings do

In points

#21/32

what happened

By our rating

#9/32

xG-Elo, walk-forward

Gap

+12

rank places

The rating is built from expected-goal margin, game by game, and never sees the standings. A gap means the chances a club generated and allowed point somewhere different from where its points did. Where the model disagrees most →

Record

82 games · regular season

W–L–OTL: 42 wins, 37 regulation losses, 3 overtime losses
Points: 87
Points rank: 21/32
Goal diff: −24

Strength rating

xG-Elo · walk-forward

Rating: 1518
League rank: 9/32
Games: 82

1500 is the baseline every club starts from and regresses toward between seasons, so above it is stronger than an average team and below it weaker. The rating is driven by model expected-goals margin rather than by results, which is why it can disagree with the standings — that disagreement is the reading at the top of this page.

Last 10 · results

LApr 14@BOS0–4

WApr 12vsOTT4–3OT

WApr 11@DET5–3

LApr 9vsPIT2–5

LApr 7vsPHI1–5

WApr 5@MTL3–0

OTLApr 4vsMTL3–4SO

WApr 2vsWSH7–3

LMar 31@NYR1–4

WMar 29vsCHI5–3

Current roster · per-game rates

29 skaters · 3 goalies

Five-season recency-weighted per-game rates · Sample = the games each rate rests on

Forwards	#	P	G	A	SOG	Sample
Jack Hughes	86	1.21	0.45	0.76	3.85	324
Jesper Bratt	63	0.94	0.28	0.66	2.36	420
Nico Hischier	13	0.86	0.38	0.48	2.59	396
Anthony Mantha	39	0.68	0.34	0.34	1.76	287
Timo Meier	28	0.65	0.34	0.30	3.37	397
Dawson Mercer	91	0.49	0.25	0.24	1.83	427
Evan Rodrigues	17	0.47	0.17	0.30	2.21	441
Arseny Gritsyuk	81	0.47	0.20	0.27	2.26	66
Connor Brown	16	0.45	0.19	0.26	1.50	335
Stefan Noesen	11	0.39	0.18	0.20	1.65	308
Cody Glass	12	0.36	0.20	0.16	1.52	263
Nick Bjugstad	72	0.27	0.14	0.13	1.57	350
Lenni Hameenaho	29	0.24	0.06	0.18	1.42	33
Jesper Boqvist	70	0.24	0.10	0.14	0.95	351
Shane Lachance	20	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1
Riley Tufte	10	0.17	0.14	0.03	0.72	28
Marc McLaughlin	21	0.13	0.09	0.03	0.54	35
Colin White	16	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.77	144
Xavier Parent	67	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.40	5

Defence	#	P	G	A	SOG	Sample
Dougie Hamilton	7	0.57	0.16	0.41	2.77	322
Luke Hughes	43	0.55	0.09	0.46	1.97	227
Seamus Casey	24	0.42	0.21	0.21	1.05	17
Brett Pesce	22	0.24	0.04	0.20	1.43	367
Vladislav Kolyachonok	18	0.23	0.07	0.16	0.74	87
Declan Chisholm	47	0.23	0.04	0.19	0.93	125
Johnathan Kovacevic	8	0.21	0.02	0.19	0.91	261
Brenden Dillon	5	0.21	0.04	0.17	0.73	411
Jonas Siegenthaler	71	0.19	0.01	0.18	0.85	358
Topias Vilen	38	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2

Goalies	#	SV%	GA	SV	SA	TOI	Sample
Jake Allen	34	.9026	2.80	25.7	28.5	58:10	179
David Rittich	33	.8953	2.50	21.3	23.8	54:56	129
Nico Daws	50	.9056	2.39	22.9	25.3	53:05	55

How these rates are built — club is the player's current one; the rates span five seasons

Club membership is the NHL's current one, refreshed nightly — a player traded mid-season appears under the club he is with now, while the rates beside him span five seasons wherever he played them. Recency-weighted per-game averages; Sample is the games they rest on. Skaters are ordered by a rate shrunk toward the league average in proportion to how little a player has played, so a one-game sample does not out-rank a career — the figures shown are the unshrunk ones, and for anyone with a real sample the two are the same number. Save percentage is total saves over total shots, weighted — not the average of per-game save percentages, which would count a two-shot relief appearance as heavily as a forty-shot start.

Best cap efficiency · points per $1M

2026-27 cap · 2025-26 production

Connor BrownR75 gp$3.00M3 yrsUFA4314.3

Anthony ManthaR81 gp$4.75M2 yrsUFA6413.5

Dawson MercerC82 gp$4.00M1 yrRFA4210.5

Cody GlassC70 gp$2.50M1 yrUFA2610.4

Evan RodriguesC69 gp$3.08M1 yrUFA3110.1

A player measured against the season that earned his contract looks expensive, so recent signings sit low and entry-level deals sit high — by construction. All 32 clubs.

Markets · Apr 14 · modeled projections

0 PPP · sorted by projection

No PPP lines were captured for this game.