ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
651
Kaedan KorczakPIT · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.3
0.0
4.2
3.3
0.7
3
652
Jaroslav ChmelarNYR · R28 sample
0.7
0.4
0.2
2.5
0.0
5.6
1.7
1.2
3
653
Mattias JanmarkEDM · C
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.2
0.0
1.7
1.1
1.4
3
654
Dante FabbroCBJ · D
0.7
0.2
0.4
3.2
0.0
2.8
5.2
1.5
3
655
Nick DeSimoneUTA · D
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.8
0.0
1.7
2.5
0.6
3
656
Logan MaillouxSTL · D
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.7
0.1
4.1
2.5
2.1
3
657
Maveric LamoureuxUTA · D20 sample
0.7
0.1
0.5
3.1
0.0
4.7
3.4
5.2
3
658
Johnathan KovacevicNJD · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.8
0.0
4.2
3.5
2.7
3
659
Nick PerbixNSH · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
2.9
0.0
1.8
3.4
0.8
3
660
Cole SchwindtFLA · C
0.7
0.3
0.3
2.5
0.0
3.5
1.2
0.2
3
661
Marc Del GaizoNYR · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
4.8
0.0
4.8
3.4
1.3
3
662
Emil LillebergTBL · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
2.2
0.0
5.7
2.7
3.4
3
663
Josh SamanskiEDM · C29 sample
0.7
0.3
0.3
1.3
0.0
3.2
1.5
1.1
3
664
Arttu HyryDAL · R29 sample
0.7
0.3
0.3
3.4
0.0
4.6
1.1
0.3
3
665
Will BorgenBOS · D
0.6
0.2
0.5
2.9
0.0
5.0
4.0
1.7
3
666
Noah GregorWPG · L
0.6
0.3
0.3
4.1
0.1
4.7
1.4
1.6
3
667
Jacob MacDonaldWSH · D
0.6
0.4
0.3
4.2
0.2
3.5
1.9
1.6
3
668
Nicolas HagueNSH · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.3
0.0
4.2
3.4
2.1
3
669
David KampfWSH · C
0.6
0.2
0.4
2.9
0.0
3.1
1.5
0.7
3
670
Alexey ToropchenkoSTL · R
0.6
0.3
0.4
3.4
0.0
6.8
2.3
1.2
3
671
Cole SmithCHI · R
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.1
0.0
8.8
1.1
2.4
3
672
Yan KuznetsovCGY · D
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.4
0.0
4.1
5.3
1.5
3
673
Brenden DillonNJD · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.2
0.0
7.6
3.9
3.0
3
674
Brendan GaunceBOS · C
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.4
0.0
5.2
2.1
1.3
3
675
Erik CernakTBL · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.0
6.5
4.5
2.8
3
676
Luke KuninFLA · C
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.4
0.1
6.5
2.5
2.5
3
677
Trent FredericEDM · C
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.6
0.0
7.9
1.3
2.5
3
678
Vinni LettieriTOR · C
0.6
0.3
0.3
4.6
0.0
5.2
1.8
1.1
3
679
Zach WhitecloudCGY · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.7
0.0
5.0
5.0
1.4
3
680
Liam FoudyNYI · C
0.6
0.2
0.4
2.8
0.0
2.5
1.2
0.4
3
681
Tyler KlevenOTT · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.5
0.0
5.0
3.9
1.8
3
682
Justin BarronNSH · D
0.6
0.2
0.5
2.7
0.0
3.0
3.6
1.1
3
683
Hunter BrzustewiczCGY · D35 sample
0.6
0.2
0.5
3.0
0.1
2.2
2.0
0.5
3
684
Jamie OleksiakVAN · D
0.6
0.2
0.5
3.0
0.0
4.1
4.9
1.5
3
685
Ty DellandreaSJS · C
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.0
0.0
7.1
2.0
1.9
3
686
Jan JenikLAK · C22 sample
0.6
0.2
0.4
2.4
0.1
4.0
2.1
2.0
3
687
Taylor WardLAK · R38 sample
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.3
0.1
3.2
0.8
0.6
3
688
Samuel HonzekCGY · L23 sample
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.7
0.0
5.5
1.1
0.5
3
689
Jeff PetryFLA · D
0.6
0.1
0.6
2.8
0.1
4.0
3.9
1.2
3
690
Niko MikkolaFLA · D
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.4
0.0
5.7
3.7
2.6
3
691
Zachary Aston-ReesePHI · C
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.1
0.0
7.5
2.0
1.1
3
692
Emil AndraeTOR · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.2
0.1
3.4
3.0
1.2
3
693
Wyatt KaiserCHI · D
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.0
0.0
2.1
3.4
1.2
3
694
Ryan LindgrenSEA · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.4
0.0
2.9
4.7
2.0
3
695
Nathan BastianDAL · R
0.6
0.3
0.2
2.6
0.0
7.3
1.2
1.8
3
696
Adam BeckmanCOL · L23 sample
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.5
0.1
2.9
1.1
2.1
3
697
Joel KivirantaDAL · L
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.1
0.0
4.5
1.2
0.7
3
698
Lucas CondottaMTL · L11 sample
0.6
0.4
0.2
2.9
0.1
4.4
1.4
0.3
3
699
Ben ChiarotDET · D
0.6
0.2
0.4
4.0
0.0
5.8
5.8
2.5
3
700
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL · C
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.4
0.0
7.2
1.9
1.3
3

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.