ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
651
0.8
0.2
0.6
2.5
0.0
4.5
2.2
1.1
3
652
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.1
3.0
3.3
0.8
3
653
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.8
0.0
4.6
3.8
1.7
3
654
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.9
0.1
2.3
4.0
0.8
3
655
1.0
0.2
0.8
2.4
0.0
1.5
3.5
0.9
3
656
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.1
0.0
2.5
3.2
0.5
3
657
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.3
0.0
6.3
5.9
3.5
3
658
0.8
0.2
0.6
2.3
0.0
1.9
1.1
1.0
3
659
0.8
0.2
0.6
2.9
0.1
0.8
2.2
0.6
3
660
0.8
0.2
0.6
4.3
0.0
1.9
1.5
1.3
3
661
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.5
0.0
5.5
6.7
1.5
3
662
1.3
0.2
1.1
4.0
0.4
4.6
2.8
1.5
3
663
0.6
0.2
0.4
4.0
0.0
5.8
5.8
2.5
3
664
0.4
0.2
0.2
2.2
0.0
4.5
2.3
0.7
3
665
0.4
0.2
0.2
2.8
0.0
9.6
1.3
4.6
3
666
0.4
0.2
0.3
2.4
0.1
2.7
1.4
0.5
3
667
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.6
0.0
6.7
1.6
1.4
3
668
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.8
0.0
2.2
3.5
1.2
3
669
0.6
0.2
0.5
2.9
0.0
5.0
4.0
1.7
3
670
0.8
0.2
0.6
4.2
0.0
2.2
2.9
1.4
3
671
0.6
0.2
0.4
1.7
0.0
1.3
1.6
0.4
3
672
1.1
0.2
0.9
3.4
0.1
3.6
4.8
0.7
3
673
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.5
0.0
2.0
3.7
0.8
3
674
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.8
0.0
4.4
2.5
4.7
3
675
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.8
0.0
3.9
1.3
1.2
3
676
0.6
0.2
0.5
3.0
0.1
2.2
2.0
0.5
3
677
0.6
0.2
0.5
3.0
0.0
4.1
4.9
1.5
3
678
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.1
0.0
5.2
6.6
2.1
3
679
0.9
0.2
0.8
4.8
0.0
1.2
4.8
0.3
3
680
1.1
0.2
0.9
3.7
0.4
2.2
2.5
1.2
3
681
0.3
0.2
0.1
3.0
0.0
6.1
2.3
3.8
3
682
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.2
0.0
1.7
1.1
1.4
3
683
1.0
0.2
0.9
4.0
0.1
3.2
6.1
0.6
3
684
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.4
0.0
5.7
3.7
2.6
3
685
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.8
0.0
5.1
2.5
3.8
3
686
0.4
0.2
0.2
2.1
0.1
2.1
1.0
1.6
3
687
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.9
0.1
5.0
3.3
1.4
3
688
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.3
0.0
3.4
4.9
1.9
3
689
0.3
0.2
0.2
1.9
0.0
9.2
0.9
3.6
3
690
0.4
0.2
0.3
2.8
0.0
15.3
1.1
2.6
3
691
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.0
0.0
6.9
2.5
0.2
3
692
0.3
0.2
0.1
1.6
0.0
9.5
0.9
2.3
3
693
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.7
0.1
4.7
2.5
1.6
3
694
0.8
0.2
0.7
4.0
0.0
7.5
3.6
5.7
3
695
0.7
0.2
0.6
3.0
0.0
4.2
5.5
2.5
3
696
0.2
0.2
0.1
2.0
0.0
7.7
1.1
5.2
3
697
1.2
0.2
1.0
2.3
0.0
1.2
3.2
0.7
3
698
0.5
0.2
0.4
3.7
0.0
2.4
3.2
1.1
3
699
0.8
0.2
0.6
2.8
0.0
5.0
5.0
0.9
3
700
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.4
0.2
3.2
5.2
1.6
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.