ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by shots.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
601
Tanner JeannotBOS · L
21.4
8.2
13.3
85.5
1.0
267.2
56.0
88.0
82
602
Peyton KrebsBUF · C
33.1
10.5
22.6
85.4
1.3
163.4
36.1
75.0
82
603
Mason LohreiBOS · D
30.1
7.0
23.2
85.4
8.8
36.8
108.7
22.6
82
604
Jeremy LauzonVGK · D
12.5
2.0
10.5
85.4
0.1
319.3
113.4
97.3
82
605
Lassi ThomsonOTT · D30 sample
21.7
1.0
20.7
85.4
6.7
51.3
71.3
6.4
82
606
Colin BlackwellDAL · C
18.2
6.4
11.8
85.2
0.5
126.3
37.5
33.6
82
607
Ian MooreANA · D
14.4
5.3
9.1
85.2
0.1
68.8
91.1
27.3
82
608
Zachary Aston-ReesePHI · C
16.6
5.8
10.8
84.9
0.1
204.0
54.7
31.0
82
609
Lukas ReichelBOS · L
24.3
8.9
15.4
84.8
1.9
28.5
37.9
15.5
82
610
Cole SmithCHI · R
17.5
8.6
8.9
84.5
0.1
239.5
29.3
66.0
82
611
Brad LambertWPG · C31 sample
20.6
9.0
11.5
84.4
3.1
73.4
25.9
21.4
82
612
Juuso VälimäkiCAR · D
19.1
3.6
15.5
84.2
4.3
61.1
99.8
30.4
82
613
Ville KoivunenPIT · R
20.4
4.0
16.4
84.0
10.4
12.5
35.1
23.3
82
614
Jonathan LekkerimäkiVAN · R37 sample
20.4
11.6
8.8
83.8
3.5
60.6
27.8
4.7
82
615
Jake McCabeTOR · D
26.8
4.8
22.0
83.6
0.3
143.2
179.2
58.2
82
616
Joel KivirantaDAL · L
16.3
8.4
7.9
83.5
0.1
122.2
32.2
18.6
82
617
Scott MorrowNYR · D
19.4
1.4
18.0
83.2
4.3
29.7
80.6
11.2
82
618
Samuel GirardPIT · D
26.6
4.2
22.4
83.1
1.5
59.3
103.2
23.9
82
619
Ty DellandreaSJS · C
17.0
3.8
13.2
83.0
0.1
195.1
55.9
52.8
82
620
John HaydenSEA · C
8.5
4.6
4.0
82.9
0.4
165.5
63.0
105.1
82
621
Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET · D
25.5
8.5
17.0
82.7
8.4
21.7
65.2
22.0
82
622
Sam DickinsonSJS · D
16.2
1.3
14.9
82.7
0.1
84.5
79.6
25.3
82
623
Justin HryckowianDAL · C
28.9
12.8
16.1
82.5
4.6
132.5
46.0
39.4
82
624
Alex Barré-BouletSJS · C
23.7
10.8
12.9
82.5
3.8
74.6
17.5
24.6
82
625
Nikita ChibrikovWPG · R16 sample
12.7
8.2
4.5
82.5
3.4
132.2
45.0
83.3
82
626
Nikita OkhotiukCGY · D
15.6
3.2
12.4
82.5
0.5
225.8
116.0
67.8
82
627
Isaak PhillipsWPG · D
15.8
4.1
11.7
82.5
0.5
119.4
69.9
45.4
82
628
Brandon TanevUTA · L
14.3
5.7
8.6
82.4
0.1
212.1
74.0
53.6
82
629
Ryan GravesPIT · D
11.4
3.6
7.8
82.3
0.1
91.3
134.1
35.9
82
630
Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH · L
20.0
9.1
10.9
82.3
2.4
136.6
34.7
11.5
82
631
Aatu RätyVAN · C
19.5
7.6
11.9
82.2
0.6
200.4
20.1
28.8
82
632
Hunter BrzustewiczCGY · D35 sample
17.2
5.0
12.2
82.2
2.5
59.4
55.0
12.7
82
633
Wyatt KaiserCHI · D
16.7
5.8
10.9
82.2
0.1
56.3
91.5
33.7
82
634
Shakir MukhamadullinEDM · D
21.1
7.6
13.6
82.1
1.7
61.4
113.1
33.8
82
635
Cale FleurySEA · D
10.1
2.9
7.2
82.1
0.3
176.4
126.3
19.0
82
636
Samuel BolducOTT · D
13.8
6.1
7.7
81.8
2.3
105.0
85.0
18.1
82
637
Jamie OleksiakVAN · D
16.9
4.7
12.2
81.6
0.1
111.7
134.6
40.0
82
638
Carson MeyerBUF · R
14.7
5.6
9.1
81.6
1.1
179.0
25.5
24.5
82
639
Noah LabaNYR · C
26.7
10.0
16.7
81.5
5.6
121.6
47.9
34.4
82
640
Jake MiddletonCGY · D
19.8
4.4
15.4
81.5
0.1
114.9
151.4
69.3
82
641
Noah OstlundBUF · C
35.5
14.7
20.8
81.5
7.4
8.1
40.2
21.1
82
642
Denver BarkeyPHI · C
29.5
9.4
20.2
81.4
6.2
94.5
31.6
31.1
82
643
Otto StenbergSTL · C32 sample
26.0
7.9
18.1
81.0
0.3
124.8
39.3
13.6
82
644
Jack StudnickaPHI · C
4.8
2.3
2.5
81.0
0.3
95.8
31.0
20.8
82
645
Steven LorentzTOR · C
18.8
7.7
11.2
80.9
0.1
181.7
52.0
16.3
82
646
Alexander PetrovicFLA · D
13.6
3.2
10.4
80.9
0.1
142.9
106.2
61.8
82
647
Ville HeinolaVGK · D
6.7
0.8
5.9
80.9
0.5
61.1
63.4
35.5
82
648
Brendan BrissonNYR · C27 sample
23.1
4.5
18.7
80.9
4.0
66.8
18.9
6.6
82
649
Kevin StenlundUTA · C
19.6
8.0
11.6
80.9
0.1
55.7
60.4
33.9
82
650
Dakota JoshuaTOR · C
27.6
14.7
12.9
80.8
1.1
287.9
45.1
67.2
82

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.