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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
601
Michael KesselringSJS · D
0.7
0.2
0.6
4.5
0.1
3.1
2.8
3.6
3
602
Jack St. IvanyWPG · D
0.7
0.0
0.7
2.4
0.0
6.7
3.6
1.4
3
603
Paul CotterVAN · L
0.7
0.4
0.3
2.9
0.0
8.2
1.0
1.3
3
604
Cole ReinhardtFLA · L
0.7
0.4
0.3
2.5
0.0
6.5
0.8
1.3
3
605
Casey CizikasNYI · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.3
0.0
6.2
2.3
1.3
3
606
Jordan GreenwayCHI · L
0.7
0.3
0.5
3.1
0.0
5.9
2.0
2.5
3
607
Ethan BearNYI · D
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.8
0.0
2.2
3.5
1.2
3
608
Matt LuffNYI · R
0.7
0.5
0.2
3.3
0.0
4.2
1.9
0.2
3
609
Dylan SambergWPG · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.8
0.0
2.7
5.1
1.0
3
610
Jordan HarrisBOS · D
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.5
0.0
2.0
3.7
0.8
3
611
Drew HellesonANA · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.4
0.0
3.8
3.6
1.4
3
612
Scott MorrowNYR · D
0.7
0.1
0.7
3.0
0.2
1.1
3.0
0.4
3
613
Aatu RätyVAN · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.0
7.3
0.7
1.1
3
614
Joshua RoyUTA · R38 sample
0.7
0.4
0.3
3.6
0.0
2.5
1.9
0.7
3
615
Gavin BrindleyCOL · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.3
0.0
2.0
0.8
0.4
3
616
Chris TanevTOR · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.1
0.0
1.5
7.3
0.8
3
617
Connor MurphyEDM · D
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.1
0.0
4.5
6.0
2.5
3
618
Dryden HuntCGY · L
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.3
0.0
7.3
1.2
1.4
3
619
Tyson JostNSH · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.9
0.0
3.0
1.4
1.5
3
620
Jeffrey VielTBL · L
0.7
0.3
0.5
4.0
0.0
8.8
1.3
5.3
3
621
Juuso VälimäkiCAR · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.1
0.2
2.2
3.6
1.1
3
622
Ronnie AttardDET · D29 sample
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.9
0.1
5.0
3.3
1.4
3
623
Vladislav KolyachonokNJD · D
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.3
0.0
2.0
2.9
0.9
3
624
Matt KierstedMIN · D38 sample
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.2
0.0
1.3
3.6
0.6
3
625
Michael McCarronMIN · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.9
0.0
7.0
2.8
3.5
3
626
Steven LorentzTOR · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.0
6.7
1.9
0.6
3
627
Conor TimminsBUF · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.2
0.0
2.4
5.2
1.4
3
628
Kevin BahlCGY · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.6
0.0
4.7
4.0
2.0
3
629
Bo GroulxTOR · C
0.7
0.4
0.3
2.9
0.0
7.0
1.7
0.7
3
630
Declan ChisholmNJD · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.8
0.1
1.4
3.0
0.6
3
631
Braden SchneiderNYR · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.5
0.0
5.8
5.1
0.9
3
632
Tyler MyersDAL · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.7
0.0
3.9
5.3
2.5
3
633
Trevor van RiemsdykPIT · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.5
0.0
0.6
4.8
0.9
3
634
Keegan KolesarDET · R
0.7
0.3
0.4
2.6
0.0
10.1
1.6
1.9
3
635
Urho VaakanainenNYR · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.5
0.0
1.4
2.8
1.1
3
636
Jonathan AspirotBOS · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
2.4
0.1
4.3
4.2
2.0
3
637
Andre LeeLAK · L26 sample
0.7
0.3
0.4
2.7
0.0
6.2
1.5
1.0
3
638
Mitchell ChaffeeNYI · R
0.7
0.4
0.3
2.8
0.1
6.9
1.2
0.9
3
639
Colton DachEDM · C
0.7
0.2
0.4
2.9
0.1
10.8
1.4
2.5
3
640
Zachary L'HeureuxCOL · L
0.7
0.3
0.3
3.8
0.1
8.6
1.5
2.8
3
641
Brian DumoulinLAK · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.5
0.0
2.3
3.6
0.7
3
642
Radko GudasFLA · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.5
0.0
9.8
5.6
3.7
3
643
Sam CarrickBUF · C
0.7
0.3
0.3
3.2
0.0
5.0
1.4
2.9
3
644
Colin BlackwellDAL · C
0.7
0.2
0.4
3.1
0.0
4.6
1.4
1.2
3
645
Colin MillerWPG · D
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.7
0.1
4.7
2.5
1.6
3
646
Brett KulakCOL · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
3.7
0.0
1.5
4.2
1.2
3
647
Anton BlidhNYR · L
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.9
0.0
6.3
0.7
1.0
3
648
Max JonesEDM · L
0.7
0.3
0.3
3.4
0.0
7.3
0.7
2.0
3
649
Nils LundkvistDAL · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
3.1
0.0
1.8
2.6
1.1
3
650
Tyler TuckerSTL · D
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.8
0.0
5.1
2.5
3.8
3

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.