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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by pim.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by pim

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
1
Scott SabourinTBL · R39 sample
0.6
0.1
0.4
1.3
0.0
7.3
1.3
9.2
3
2
Curtis DouglasSEA · C7.91×
0.3
0.1
0.2
2.1
0.0
4.5
0.9
7.4
3
3
Mason GeertsenBUF · L30 sample
0.2
0.1
0.1
1.3
0.0
5.1
0.5
6.9
3
4
Nikita ZadorovBOS · D5.93×
0.8
0.2
0.7
4.0
0.0
7.5
3.6
5.7
3
5
Arber XhekajMTL · D5.09×
0.3
0.1
0.2
2.5
0.0
8.4
2.2
5.4
3
6
Jeffrey VielTBL · L4.89×
0.7
0.3
0.5
4.0
0.0
8.8
1.3
5.3
3
7
Maveric LamoureuxUTA · D20 sample
0.7
0.1
0.5
3.1
0.0
4.7
3.4
5.2
3
8
Bokondji ImamaFLA · L33 sample
0.2
0.2
0.1
2.0
0.0
7.7
1.1
5.2
3
9
Logan StanleyBUF · D5.54×
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.0
4.5
3.5
5.1
3
10
Ross JohnstonSTL · L6.78×
0.5
0.1
0.4
1.5
0.0
8.8
1.0
5.0
3
11
Mark KastelicBOS · C6.73×
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.5
0.0
8.4
2.1
4.9
3
12
Jonah GadjovichFLA · L6.84×
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.6
0.0
8.7
1.3
4.8
3
13
Mathieu OlivierCBJ · R5.84×
1.1
0.6
0.5
4.2
0.0
10.2
2.4
4.8
3
14
Michael PezzettaTOR · L5.83×
0.4
0.1
0.2
2.0
0.0
10.3
1.1
4.7
3
15
Connor MackeyCHI · D39 sample
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.8
0.0
4.4
2.5
4.7
3
16
Donovan SebrangoFLA · D6.32×
0.6
0.0
0.6
2.4
0.0
5.3
2.2
4.7
3
17
Tom WilsonWSH · R6.50×
2.3
1.1
1.2
6.4
0.5
8.4
2.5
4.6
3
18
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL · D5.19×
1.2
0.3
1.0
3.5
0.1
4.2
3.1
4.6
3
19
Liam O'BrienUTA · C6.31×
0.4
0.2
0.2
2.8
0.0
9.6
1.3
4.6
3
20
Brady TkachukFLA · L6.35×
2.7
1.2
1.5
11.7
0.9
9.2
1.1
4.4
3
21
Kurtis MacDermidOTT · L5.34×
0.2
0.1
0.1
1.1
0.0
4.5
1.1
4.4
3
22
A.J. GreerANA · L6.35×
0.9
0.5
0.5
3.5
0.0
7.6
1.2
4.2
3
23
Mason ShawMIN · C6.18×
0.7
0.3
0.5
4.2
0.0
4.4
1.3
4.2
3
24
Evander KaneVAN · L6.16×
1.5
0.7
0.8
7.6
0.2
7.0
1.2
4.2
3
25
Adam KlapkaCGY · R5.35×
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.2
0.1
11.0
2.0
4.1
3
26
Matthew TkachukFLA · L6.57×
3.3
1.2
2.1
9.1
1.2
4.6
0.9
4.0
3
27
John HaydenSEA · C9.82×
0.3
0.2
0.1
3.0
0.0
6.1
2.3
3.8
3
28
Tyler TuckerSTL · D5.47×
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.8
0.0
5.1
2.5
3.8
3
29
Radko GudasFLA · D4.73×
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.5
0.0
9.8
5.6
3.7
3
30
Josh AndersonMTL · R5.29×
1.0
0.6
0.4
4.4
0.0
6.2
1.7
3.7
3
31
Max DomiTOR · C7.80×
1.5
0.4
1.0
4.5
0.3
1.5
1.2
3.7
3
32
Nicolas DeslauriersCAR · L6.51×
0.3
0.1
0.2
2.3
0.0
10.3
1.0
3.7
3
33
Joshua BrownEDM · D5.70×
0.5
0.1
0.3
2.7
0.0
6.4
4.9
3.7
3
34
Sam BennettFLA · C4.43×
2.2
1.1
1.1
8.4
0.5
6.3
1.5
3.6
3
35
Zack MacEwenTOR · C5.20×
0.4
0.2
0.2
3.3
0.0
6.6
1.1
3.6
3
36
Michael KesselringSJS · D4.60×
0.7
0.2
0.6
4.5
0.1
3.1
2.8
3.6
3
37
Charles Alexis LegaultCAR · D12 sample
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.1
0.0
3.3
2.5
3.6
3
38
Jeremy LauzonVGK · D4.06×
0.5
0.1
0.4
3.1
0.0
11.7
4.2
3.6
3
39
Matt RempeNYR · C6.98×
0.3
0.2
0.2
1.9
0.0
9.2
0.9
3.6
3
40
Hayden HodgsonOTT · R19 sample
0.1
0.1
0.1
1.7
0.0
8.3
0.3
3.5
3
41
Alec RegulaEDM · D4.12×
0.3
0.0
0.3
2.0
0.0
1.7
4.5
3.5
3
42
Dylan McIlrathWSH · D4.89×
0.2
0.0
0.2
1.5
0.0
6.2
2.3
3.5
3
43
Kaiden GuhleMTL · D3.87×
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.3
0.0
6.3
5.9
3.5
3
44
Michael McCarronMIN · C6.08×
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.9
0.0
7.0
2.8
3.5
3
45
Brayden PachalCGY · D3.94×
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.5
0.0
6.7
3.3
3.4
3
46
Emil LillebergTBL · D4.28×
0.7
0.1
0.5
2.2
0.0
5.7
2.7
3.4
3
47
Marcus FolignoMIN · L6.09×
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.4
0.1
10.5
2.1
3.4
3
48
Darnell NurseSJS · D5.46×
1.0
0.3
0.8
6.5
0.1
5.8
6.0
3.3
3
49
Martin PospisilCGY · C6.76×
0.8
0.2
0.6
4.0
0.1
11.2
1.0
3.3
3
50
Andreas EnglundCGY · D5.27×
0.3
0.1
0.3
1.6
0.0
7.0
3.0
3.3
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.36. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.