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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
601
Mathieu JosephEDM · R
22.7
6.1
16.6
86.9
0.3
166.8
53.8
35.4
82
602
Samuel BolducOTT · D
13.8
6.1
7.7
81.8
2.3
105.0
85.0
18.1
82
603
Liam FoudyNYI · C
17.2
6.1
11.2
77.4
0.6
68.8
32.5
11.6
82
604
Brendan GaunceBOS · C
17.3
6.0
11.2
93.1
0.2
140.9
57.0
34.4
82
605
Dakota MermisTOR · D
12.4
6.0
6.4
63.6
0.3
70.4
84.8
65.1
82
606
John BeecherFLA · C
14.4
6.0
8.4
66.1
0.1
90.5
71.3
45.9
82
607
Jordan SpenceOTT · D
30.6
6.0
24.7
105.7
4.2
73.3
73.2
20.6
82
608
Tom WillanderVAN · D
24.8
6.0
18.8
70.0
3.6
41.8
91.0
32.9
82
609
Libor HajekSJS · D33 sample
13.0
6.0
7.1
80.0
2.0
76.5
99.8
30.0
82
610
Lian BichselDAL · D
13.0
6.0
7.0
56.0
0.1
259.7
59.6
73.3
82
611
Dryden HuntCGY · L
19.2
5.9
13.2
89.7
0.3
199.7
33.4
37.3
82
612
Jonah GadjovichFLA · L
13.0
5.9
7.1
71.6
0.1
237.8
35.8
132.4
82
613
Isaac HowardEDM · L29 sample
14.9
5.9
9.0
102.8
0.3
22.5
15.9
34.1
82
614
Alexandre CarrierMTL · D
25.8
5.9
19.9
71.0
0.3
63.6
176.6
48.7
82
615
Sampo RantaCOL · L16 sample
15.8
5.9
9.9
95.8
3.4
105.0
54.3
38.3
82
616
Yan KuznetsovCGY · D
17.5
5.9
11.7
93.0
0.1
112.9
145.1
40.1
82
617
Mario FerraroWPG · D
20.9
5.9
15.1
94.2
0.1
142.9
153.8
39.8
82
618
Vladislav KolyachonokNJD · D
19.1
5.8
13.3
62.3
0.2
54.9
78.1
24.3
82
619
Wyatt KaiserCHI · D
16.7
5.8
10.9
82.2
0.1
56.3
91.5
33.7
82
620
Ryan McDonaghTBL · D
31.9
5.8
26.1
78.7
1.0
45.7
147.4
22.8
82
621
Zachary Aston-ReesePHI · C
16.6
5.8
10.8
84.9
0.1
204.0
54.7
31.0
82
622
David GustafssonPIT · C
14.5
5.8
8.7
67.9
0.2
53.6
42.5
11.3
82
623
Sam RinzelCHI · D
23.4
5.8
17.6
131.7
3.6
77.5
90.7
61.3
82
624
Nikita GrebenkinPHI · R
19.9
5.8
14.2
47.7
0.1
129.2
25.3
65.4
82
625
Zack MacEwenTOR · C
11.0
5.7
5.2
90.0
0.2
180.8
31.1
98.5
82
626
Jonas BrodinMIN · D
26.6
5.7
20.9
112.6
1.2
29.6
170.9
25.3
82
627
Dylan GambrellMIN · C
14.2
5.7
8.5
72.3
0.7
100.0
58.6
37.0
82
628
Brandon TanevUTA · L
14.3
5.7
8.6
82.4
0.1
212.1
74.0
53.6
82
629
Zach MetsaBUF · D
13.3
5.7
7.6
47.4
2.0
11.1
58.5
15.1
82
630
Esa LindellDAL · D
27.3
5.6
21.7
96.9
1.3
49.9
173.9
19.2
82
631
Jan JenikLAK · C22 sample
17.0
5.6
11.4
65.9
1.9
110.1
58.4
55.6
82
632
Cam YorkPHI · D
26.4
5.6
20.8
101.0
5.1
52.8
160.8
34.0
82
633
Carson MeyerBUF · R
14.7
5.6
9.1
81.6
1.1
179.0
25.5
24.5
82
634
Brennan OthmannCGY · L
11.5
5.6
5.9
72.5
2.8
176.2
32.5
32.2
82
635
Ryan LombergCBJ · L
13.1
5.6
7.5
80.7
0.2
167.2
22.9
79.4
82
636
Hunter McKownMTL · C12 sample
23.2
5.6
17.6
105.4
3.2
89.5
47.5
48.7
82
637
Josh MansonCOL · D
30.1
5.5
24.6
129.9
0.3
196.8
102.7
86.2
82
638
Isac LundeströmCBJ · C
16.2
5.5
10.7
66.0
0.5
48.1
52.8
6.6
82
639
Connor MurphyEDM · D
19.2
5.5
13.7
85.6
0.1
123.2
163.6
66.8
82
640
James HamblinANA · L
9.9
5.5
4.4
62.2
0.8
40.8
50.8
6.0
82
641
Brian HalonenBOS · L19 sample
11.5
5.5
6.0
47.3
0.5
144.0
15.6
44.4
82
642
Rasmus KupariWPG · C
12.0
5.5
6.6
73.3
0.5
100.6
39.6
19.9
82
643
Martin FehérváryWSH · D
25.5
5.4
20.1
78.6
0.1
147.8
162.7
34.4
82
644
Justin KirklandMIN · C
16.1
5.4
10.7
44.8
0.3
137.1
48.5
19.9
82
645
Christian WolaninCOL · D25 sample
22.0
5.3
16.7
89.8
5.2
47.0
69.3
25.6
82
646
Martin PospisilCGY · C
22.7
5.3
17.4
110.5
2.2
305.5
26.2
89.8
82
647
Tyler PitlickMIN · C
9.2
5.3
3.8
70.9
0.2
186.8
45.8
43.9
82
648
Kyle CapobiancoDAL · D
13.1
5.3
7.8
50.1
0.5
37.8
66.3
28.5
82
649
Ian MooreANA · D
14.4
5.3
9.1
85.2
0.1
68.8
91.1
27.3
82
650
Joakim KemellNSH · R18 sample
15.8
5.3
10.4
80.1
0.5
128.6
47.0
2.2
82

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.