ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by assists.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
551
1.1
0.6
0.5
4.2
0.0
10.2
2.4
4.8
3
552
0.7
0.1
0.5
2.9
0.0
1.8
3.4
0.8
3
553
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.7
0.0
5.0
5.0
1.4
3
554
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.8
0.0
5.1
2.5
3.8
3
555
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.8
0.1
2.4
0.9
0.8
3
556
1.5
0.9
0.5
5.7
0.3
3.6
2.1
1.9
3
557
0.7
0.1
0.5
3.1
0.0
4.7
3.4
5.2
3
558
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.2
0.0
7.6
3.9
3.0
3
559
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.1
0.0
4.5
6.0
2.5
3
560
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.0
3.9
1.6
1.0
3
561
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.5
0.1
5.2
2.4
1.1
3
562
0.8
0.3
0.5
4.0
0.0
1.6
3.3
1.1
3
563
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.2
0.0
1.7
1.1
1.4
3
564
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.0
4.5
2.5
1.2
3
565
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.0
6.5
4.5
2.8
3
566
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.9
0.0
2.9
2.1
0.4
3
567
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.8
0.0
1.7
2.5
0.6
3
568
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.0
3.3
1.6
1.2
3
569
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.3
0.0
4.4
3.3
1.6
3
570
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.5
0.1
2.9
1.1
2.1
3
571
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.5
0.0
5.0
3.9
1.8
3
572
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.0
0.1
2.3
4.1
1.2
3
573
0.6
0.1
0.5
1.4
0.0
4.2
3.3
1.1
3
574
0.9
0.4
0.5
2.9
0.1
9.1
1.1
1.1
3
575
1.2
0.7
0.5
4.3
0.1
1.1
2.2
0.8
3
576
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.4
0.1
5.2
1.0
0.9
3
577
1.1
0.6
0.5
5.9
0.1
3.5
1.1
1.1
3
578
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.2
0.0
6.0
3.8
3.2
3
579
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.6
0.0
12.3
1.4
1.6
3
580
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.2
0.0
3.5
1.7
1.4
3
581
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.4
0.0
2.9
4.7
2.0
3
582
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.1
0.0
9.8
2.0
3.2
3
583
1.0
0.5
0.5
5.5
0.3
1.4
1.7
0.8
3
584
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.9
0.0
4.4
5.1
1.8
3
585
0.9
0.5
0.5
3.9
0.0
6.0
1.8
0.9
3
586
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.4
0.0
2.7
1.7
1.2
3
587
0.6
0.1
0.5
1.9
0.1
1.1
3.9
0.6
3
588
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.3
0.0
2.0
2.9
0.9
3
589
1.0
0.5
0.5
4.9
0.0
2.8
1.4
1.4
3
590
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.6
0.0
2.2
1.9
0.5
3
591
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.0
2.5
4.5
0.6
3
592
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.3
0.0
7.3
1.2
1.4
3
593
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.3
0.0
4.2
3.4
2.1
3
594
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.1
4.3
2.7
0.9
3
595
1.0
0.5
0.5
4.0
0.0
5.1
0.7
0.7
3
596
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.0
0.0
7.1
2.0
1.9
3
597
0.9
0.5
0.5
5.1
0.1
6.6
1.9
1.3
3
598
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.0
0.0
10.5
1.6
2.5
3
599
0.9
0.5
0.5
3.5
0.0
7.6
1.2
4.2
3
600
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.0
0.1
2.7
0.6
0.9
3

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.