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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by shots.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
651
Calle JarnkrokTOR · C
20.0
10.1
10.0
80.8
1.5
63.6
22.0
14.5
82
652
Ryan LombergCBJ · L
13.1
5.6
7.5
80.7
0.2
167.2
22.9
79.4
82
653
Mark JankowskiCAR · L
24.6
12.5
12.1
80.5
1.4
54.1
51.2
32.0
82
654
Nic DowdVGK · C
23.5
9.7
13.8
80.5
0.1
160.3
71.9
62.9
82
655
Conor GeekieTBL · C
20.0
9.4
10.6
80.3
2.0
165.3
39.8
35.5
82
656
Paul CotterVAN · L
19.7
11.4
8.2
80.3
1.2
225.1
27.5
35.4
82
657
Tye KartyeNYR · L
24.2
10.0
14.2
80.2
0.1
227.4
44.7
48.7
82
658
Joakim KemellNSH · R18 sample
15.8
5.3
10.4
80.1
0.5
128.6
47.0
2.2
82
659
Will BorgenBOS · D
17.5
4.8
12.6
80.1
0.1
138.0
108.2
46.9
82
660
Nick PerbixNSH · D
17.8
4.0
13.8
80.0
0.1
49.9
93.0
21.1
82
661
Libor HajekSJS · D33 sample
13.0
6.0
7.1
80.0
2.0
76.5
99.8
30.0
82
662
Derrick PouliotCHI · D24 sample
19.9
3.5
16.4
79.9
2.1
85.5
84.8
30.9
82
663
Dylan DeMeloWPG · D
21.4
3.3
18.1
79.8
0.2
131.9
113.1
40.8
82
664
Isak RosenWPG · R
20.5
11.6
9.0
79.8
5.8
37.0
41.8
0.9
82
665
Georgii MerkulovCOL · C11 sample
13.1
2.3
10.8
79.8
1.4
37.3
72.7
20.3
82
666
Bo GroulxTOR · C
18.9
9.9
9.0
79.8
0.3
189.9
45.3
18.8
82
667
Troy StecherTOR · D
14.1
3.5
10.5
79.7
0.1
51.1
96.2
31.7
82
668
Luca Del Bel BelluzCBJ · C30 sample
20.6
5.1
15.4
79.6
2.2
22.4
60.6
16.2
82
669
Max SassonVAN · C
23.1
14.8
8.3
79.6
1.1
40.5
43.6
26.6
82
670
Lucas CondottaMTL · L11 sample
16.5
12.1
4.4
79.5
1.5
119.8
39.2
7.4
82
671
Colton DachEDM · C
18.5
6.4
12.2
79.5
2.2
295.2
38.0
67.0
82
672
Anton BlidhNYR · L
18.4
2.7
15.7
79.4
0.9
171.8
19.4
27.2
82
673
Adam ErneDAL · L
15.5
9.8
5.8
79.4
0.1
240.5
39.6
33.1
82
674
David KampfWSH · C
17.6
6.5
11.1
79.3
0.1
85.7
39.8
20.3
82
675
James MalatestaCBJ · L13 sample
25.2
11.6
13.6
79.2
1.7
249.9
31.4
30.0
82
676
Blake LizottePIT · C
27.4
11.1
16.3
79.1
0.4
84.5
44.4
38.3
82
677
Keaton MiddletonCOL · D
8.2
0.6
7.7
79.0
0.3
139.7
68.0
61.9
82
678
Jared DavidsonMTL · C10 sample
10.9
1.3
9.6
78.9
0.7
143.3
13.6
78.2
82
679
Nico SturmMIN · C
20.8
8.8
12.0
78.8
0.1
115.5
39.6
22.2
82
680
Ryan McDonaghTBL · D
31.9
5.8
26.1
78.7
1.0
45.7
147.4
22.8
82
681
Martin FehérváryWSH · D
25.5
5.4
20.1
78.6
0.1
147.8
162.7
34.4
82
682
Zeev BuiumVAN · D
28.0
6.4
21.6
78.5
14.1
31.9
58.5
45.1
82
683
Jesper BoqvistNJD · C
19.8
8.2
11.6
78.3
0.7
163.3
32.4
14.8
82
684
Guillaume BriseboisVAN · D21 sample
14.6
5.2
9.4
78.1
1.7
63.0
109.5
21.6
82
685
Dmitri SimashevUTA · D28 sample
4.1
0.5
3.6
78.0
0.3
43.1
81.5
66.4
82
686
Tyler TuckerSTL · D
18.4
4.5
13.8
77.7
0.1
139.0
67.3
102.5
82
687
Kevin KorchinskiCHI · D
14.4
3.8
10.6
77.7
3.7
25.5
82.6
27.0
82
688
Mitchell ChaffeeNYI · R
18.6
11.3
7.4
77.6
3.1
189.2
33.1
24.2
82
689
Caleb JonesPIT · D
15.3
2.7
12.6
77.5
1.8
122.5
118.2
30.1
82
690
Noah PhilpEDM · C32 sample
14.3
7.0
7.4
77.5
0.3
124.5
20.3
17.6
82
691
Liam FoudyNYI · C
17.2
6.1
11.2
77.4
0.6
68.8
32.5
11.6
82
692
Jeff PetryFLA · D
16.7
1.6
15.1
77.2
2.6
109.7
106.6
31.6
82
693
Ben JonesCGY · C
6.7
2.3
4.5
77.2
0.2
165.4
33.8
10.9
82
694
Marcus PetterssonNYR · D
23.5
3.4
20.2
77.1
0.1
92.3
142.2
54.5
82
695
Brandon DuhaimeTOR · R
13.9
6.6
7.3
76.8
0.1
178.9
56.3
83.0
82
696
Declan ChisholmNJD · D
19.0
3.5
15.4
76.8
2.8
38.4
80.8
16.9
82
697
Liam O'BrienUTA · C
11.2
4.8
6.4
76.7
0.1
261.6
34.8
126.2
82
698
Nick DeSimoneUTA · D
18.1
4.3
13.7
76.7
0.1
47.5
68.1
16.0
82
699
Luke SchennVAN · D
11.0
1.8
9.3
76.3
0.1
287.1
102.0
69.6
82
700
Cody CeciLAK · D
15.6
2.4
13.2
76.3
0.0
68.2
123.9
17.1
82

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.