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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by assists.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
501
Andrew MangiapaneCHI · L
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.8
0.1
3.1
1.3
1.7
3
502
Mason AppletonDET · C
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.7
0.1
3.9
1.3
1.6
3
503
Justin DanforthBUF · R
1.0
0.4
0.6
4.1
0.0
5.3
2.2
1.0
3
504
Kevin BahlCGY · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.6
0.0
4.7
4.0
2.0
3
505
Michael KesselringSJS · D
0.7
0.2
0.6
4.5
0.1
3.1
2.8
3.6
3
506
Braden SchneiderNYR · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.5
0.0
5.8
5.1
0.9
3
507
Lukas ReichelBOS · L
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.1
0.1
1.0
1.4
0.6
3
508
Donovan SebrangoFLA · D
0.6
0.0
0.6
2.4
0.0
5.3
2.2
4.7
3
509
Ryker EvansSEA · D
0.8
0.3
0.6
2.3
0.1
3.3
3.7
1.6
3
510
Jeff PetryFLA · D
0.6
0.1
0.6
2.8
0.1
4.0
3.9
1.2
3
511
Joel ArmiaLAK · R
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.3
0.1
3.3
1.6
1.2
3
512
Mario FerraroWPG · D
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.5
0.0
5.2
5.6
1.5
3
513
Fabian LysellCOL · R12 sample
0.8
0.3
0.6
5.2
0.3
1.6
0.8
1.5
3
514
Fedor SvechkovCOL · C
0.8
0.3
0.6
3.2
0.1
2.4
1.3
0.9
3
515
Ethen FrankWSH · R
1.1
0.6
0.6
4.2
0.2
2.4
2.1
0.9
3
516
Dominic JamesTBL · C
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.1
0.1
4.1
1.0
0.5
3
517
Nate DanielsonDET · C28 sample
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.4
0.3
0.9
1.0
0.5
3
518
Lenni HameenahoNJD · R33 sample
0.8
0.2
0.6
4.3
0.0
1.9
1.5
1.3
3
519
Matthew WoodNSH · R
1.2
0.7
0.6
4.3
0.3
2.2
1.1
0.6
3
520
Sam DickinsonSJS · D
0.6
0.1
0.6
3.0
0.0
3.1
2.9
0.9
3
521
Ondrej PalatNYI · L
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.1
4.9
2.4
0.7
3
522
Brett KulakCOL · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
3.7
0.0
1.5
4.2
1.2
3
523
Vinnie HinostrozaCOL · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.4
0.1
2.1
1.2
1.3
3
524
Nils LundkvistDAL · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
3.1
0.0
1.8
2.6
1.1
3
525
Jonathan AspirotBOS · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
2.4
0.1
4.3
4.2
2.0
3
526
Nicholas RobertsonPIT · L
1.2
0.6
0.5
4.9
0.1
2.9
1.4
0.5
3
527
Daemon HuntMIN · D
0.6
0.0
0.5
1.8
0.0
2.2
4.1
0.5
3
528
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
1.0
0.4
0.5
2.5
0.0
2.4
1.7
0.7
3
529
Alex BumpPHI · L23 sample
1.4
0.9
0.5
4.3
0.0
3.3
1.5
0.3
3
530
Jonas SiegenthalerNJD · D
0.6
0.0
0.5
2.6
0.0
3.8
5.1
1.9
3
531
Ethan BearNYI · D
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.8
0.0
2.2
3.5
1.2
3
532
Brett HowdenVGK · C
1.4
0.8
0.5
4.0
0.1
5.6
1.6
1.8
3
533
Taylor RaddyshNYR · R
0.9
0.3
0.5
3.2
0.1
2.6
1.4
0.7
3
534
Michael CarconeUTA · L
1.1
0.6
0.5
5.1
0.1
4.8
0.7
1.2
3
535
Jordan HarrisBOS · D
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.5
0.0
2.0
3.7
0.8
3
536
Ronnie AttardDET · D29 sample
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.9
0.1
5.0
3.3
1.4
3
537
Jonny BrodzinskiWSH · C
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.9
0.1
2.2
1.1
0.6
3
538
Sonny MilanoWSH · L
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.4
0.1
1.2
0.6
0.5
3
539
Pierre EngvallNYI · L
1.0
0.5
0.5
4.9
0.1
2.0
0.6
0.9
3
540
Anthony BeauvillierWSH · R
1.1
0.5
0.5
5.7
0.1
3.9
1.6
0.8
3
541
Marc Del GaizoNYR · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
4.8
0.0
4.8
3.4
1.3
3
542
Tye KartyeNYR · L
0.9
0.4
0.5
2.9
0.0
8.3
1.6
1.8
3
543
Emil AndraeTOR · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.2
0.1
3.4
3.0
1.2
3
544
Emil LillebergTBL · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
2.2
0.0
5.7
2.7
3.4
3
545
Nikita GrebenkinPHI · R
0.7
0.2
0.5
1.7
0.0
4.7
0.9
2.4
3
546
Uvis BalinskisFLA · D
0.8
0.2
0.5
3.6
0.2
3.7
2.3
1.4
3
547
Nic DowdVGK · C
0.9
0.3
0.5
2.9
0.0
5.9
2.6
2.3
3
548
Sean KuralyBOS · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.8
0.0
4.8
1.7
1.6
3
549
Nick CousinsOTT · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.4
0.0
5.9
1.5
2.9
3
550
Colin MillerWPG · D
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.7
0.1
4.7
2.5
1.6
3

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.