ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by shots.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
551
Mason LohreiMason LohreiBOS · D
1.1
0.3
0.8
3.1
0.3
1.3
4.0
0.8
3
552
Colin BlackwellColin BlackwellDAL · F
0.7
0.2
0.4
3.1
0.0
4.6
1.4
1.2
3
553
Ian MooreIan MooreANA · D
0.5
0.2
0.3
3.1
0.0
2.5
3.3
1.0
3
554
Zach Aston-ReeseZach Aston-ReeseCBJ · F
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.1
0.0
7.5
2.0
1.1
3
555
Cole SmithCole SmithVGK · F
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.1
0.0
8.8
1.1
2.4
3
556
Lukas ReichelLukas ReichelBOS · F
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.1
0.1
1.0
1.4
0.6
3
557
Nolan FooteNolan FooteFLA · F36 gm
0.4
0.3
0.1
3.1
0.0
5.8
0.9
1.0
3
558
Jake McCabeJake McCabeTOR · D
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.0
0.0
5.3
6.6
2.1
3
559
Joel KivirantaJoel KivirantaCOL · F
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.0
0.0
4.5
1.2
0.7
3
560
Samuel GirardSamuel GirardPIT · D
1.0
0.1
0.8
3.0
0.1
2.2
3.8
0.9
3
561
Ville KoivunenVille KoivunenPIT · F
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.0
0.4
0.4
1.3
0.8
3
562
Brad LambertBrad LambertWPG · F31 gm
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.1
2.6
0.9
0.8
3
563
Ty DellandreaTy DellandreaSJS · F
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.0
0.0
7.2
2.0
1.9
3
564
Brandon TanevBrandon TanevUTA · F
0.5
0.2
0.3
3.0
0.0
7.8
2.7
2.0
3
565
Lassi ThomsonLassi ThomsonOTT · D30 gm
0.8
0.0
0.8
3.0
0.2
1.7
2.6
0.1
3
566
Scott MorrowScott MorrowNYR · D
0.7
0.0
0.7
3.0
0.1
1.0
3.0
0.4
3
567
Jack DevineJack DevineFLA · F6 gm
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.0
0.0
2.0
0.0
1.0
3
568
Jonathan LekkerimäkiJonathan LekkerimäkiVAN · F37 gm
0.7
0.4
0.3
3.0
0.1
2.2
1.0
0.1
3
569
Axel Sandin PellikkaAxel Sandin PellikkaDET · D
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.0
0.3
0.8
2.4
0.8
3
570
Sam DickinsonSam DickinsonSJS · D
0.6
0.0
0.5
3.0
0.0
3.1
2.9
0.9
3
571
Justin HryckowianJustin HryckowianDAL · F
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.0
0.2
4.9
1.7
1.4
3
572
Ryan GravesRyan GravesPIT · D
0.4
0.1
0.3
3.0
0.0
3.3
4.9
1.3
3
573
Wyatt KaiserWyatt KaiserCHI · D
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.0
0.0
2.0
3.4
1.2
3
574
Aatu RatyAatu RatyVAN · F
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.0
7.4
0.7
1.1
3
575
Shakir MukhamadullinShakir MukhamadullinSJS · D
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.0
0.1
2.2
4.2
1.2
3
576
Jamie OleksiakJamie OleksiakSEA · D
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.0
0.0
4.1
4.9
1.5
3
577
Jake MiddletonJake MiddletonMIN · D
0.7
0.2
0.6
3.0
0.0
4.2
5.6
2.5
3
578
Noah ÖstlundNoah ÖstlundBUF · F
1.3
0.5
0.8
3.0
0.3
0.3
1.5
0.8
3
579
Noah LabaNoah LabaNYR · F
1.0
0.4
0.6
3.0
0.2
4.5
1.7
1.3
3
580
Kevin StenlundKevin StenlundUTA · F
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.0
2.0
2.2
1.2
3
581
Steven LorentzSteven LorentzTOR · F
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.0
6.7
1.9
0.6
3
582
Cale FleuryCale FleurySEA · D
0.3
0.1
0.2
3.0
0.0
6.5
4.7
0.7
3
583
Ivan MiroshnichenkoIvan MiroshnichenkoWSH · F
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.1
5.0
1.2
0.4
3
584
Calle JarnkrokCalle JarnkrokTOR · F
0.7
0.4
0.4
2.9
0.1
2.3
0.8
0.5
3
585
Dakota JoshuaDakota JoshuaTOR · F
1.0
0.5
0.5
2.9
0.0
10.6
1.6
2.5
3
586
Ryan LombergRyan LombergCGY · F
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.9
0.0
6.1
0.8
2.9
3
587
Denver BarkeyDenver BarkeyPHI · F
1.1
0.3
0.7
2.9
0.2
3.5
1.1
1.1
3
588
Nic DowdNic DowdVGK · F
0.9
0.3
0.5
2.9
0.0
5.9
2.6
2.3
3
589
Alexander PetrovicAlexander PetrovicDAL · D
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.9
0.0
5.3
3.9
2.3
3
590
Mark JankowskiMark JankowskiCAR · F
0.9
0.5
0.4
2.9
0.1
2.0
1.9
1.2
3
591
Paul CotterPaul CotterNJD · F
0.7
0.4
0.3
2.9
0.0
8.3
1.0
1.3
3
592
Will BorgenWill BorgenNYR · D
0.6
0.2
0.5
2.9
0.0
5.1
4.0
1.7
3
593
Nick PerbixNick PerbixNSH · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
2.9
0.0
1.8
3.4
0.8
3
594
Tye KartyeTye KartyeNYR · F
0.9
0.4
0.5
2.9
0.0
8.4
1.6
1.8
3
595
Dylan DeMeloDylan DeMeloWPG · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.9
0.0
4.8
4.2
1.5
3
596
Otto StenbergOtto StenbergSTL · F32 gm
0.9
0.3
0.7
2.9
0.0
4.6
1.4
0.5
3
597
Troy StecherTroy StecherTOR · D
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.9
0.0
1.9
3.5
1.2
3
598
Jack StudnickaJack StudnickaFLA · F
0.1
0.1
0.1
2.9
0.0
3.5
1.1
0.7
3
599
Colton DachColton DachCHI · F
0.7
0.2
0.4
2.9
0.1
10.9
1.4
2.5
3
600
Max SassonMax SassonVAN · F
0.8
0.5
0.3
2.9
0.0
1.4
1.6
1.0
3

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-05.