ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by assists.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
601
1.1
0.6
0.5
4.6
0.1
2.2
1.7
1.3
3
602
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.1
0.4
2.9
2.4
0.1
3
603
0.8
0.4
0.5
3.5
0.0
3.6
0.8
1.1
3
604
0.8
0.4
0.5
2.5
0.1
4.7
1.5
1.2
3
605
0.6
0.2
0.5
2.7
0.0
3.0
3.6
1.1
3
606
1.0
0.6
0.5
3.8
0.2
9.8
1.7
2.1
3
607
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.1
0.0
3.6
3.5
0.9
3
608
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.7
0.0
2.4
1.5
0.9
3
609
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.1
4.5
4.3
1.1
3
610
0.6
0.2
0.5
2.9
0.0
5.0
4.0
1.7
3
611
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.7
0.1
2.0
3.5
1.2
3
612
0.6
0.1
0.5
1.8
0.0
6.3
2.1
2.9
3
613
0.5
0.1
0.5
1.8
0.0
2.5
1.1
0.7
3
614
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.3
0.0
1.3
2.9
0.5
3
615
1.2
0.7
0.5
6.0
0.0
2.1
2.1
0.9
3
616
0.5
0.0
0.5
4.1
0.0
3.8
2.1
0.5
3
617
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.6
0.1
0.4
1.4
1.4
3
618
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.4
0.1
10.5
2.1
3.4
3
619
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.0
3.4
4.1
2.6
3
620
0.6
0.2
0.5
3.0
0.0
4.1
4.9
1.5
3
621
0.7
0.3
0.5
3.6
0.0
9.1
0.9
0.9
3
622
0.7
0.3
0.5
3.1
0.0
5.9
2.0
2.5
3
623
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.1
0.0
4.5
5.4
1.1
3
624
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.3
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.6
3
625
0.5
0.1
0.5
2.6
0.0
5.1
2.0
2.0
3
626
0.7
0.3
0.5
4.0
0.0
8.8
1.3
5.3
3
627
0.7
0.3
0.5
4.2
0.0
4.4
1.3
4.2
3
628
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.7
0.0
6.9
2.2
1.4
3
629
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.5
0.1
3.2
2.0
0.8
3
630
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.0
0.0
8.3
4.2
2.5
3
631
0.6
0.2
0.5
3.0
0.1
2.2
2.0
0.5
3
632
0.9
0.5
0.4
2.9
0.1
2.0
1.9
1.2
3
633
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.6
0.0
9.2
4.7
2.6
3
634
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.4
0.0
5.7
3.7
2.6
3
635
0.8
0.4
0.4
5.7
0.1
4.0
1.1
2.3
3
636
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.1
0.0
5.0
4.1
0.8
3
637
0.8
0.3
0.4
2.9
0.0
4.2
1.4
0.8
3
638
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.0
7.3
0.7
1.1
3
639
0.7
0.2
0.4
2.9
0.1
10.8
1.4
2.5
3
640
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.6
0.0
3.4
1.2
0.5
3
641
0.8
0.3
0.4
3.9
0.0
3.0
1.7
0.1
3
642
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.2
0.1
11.0
2.0
4.1
3
643
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.6
0.0
4.2
3.1
2.8
3
644
0.6
0.1
0.4
3.3
0.0
4.0
5.3
2.0
3
645
0.7
0.2
0.4
3.1
0.0
4.6
1.4
1.2
3
646
0.6
0.1
0.4
1.3
0.0
7.3
1.3
9.2
3
647
0.7
0.2
0.4
3.2
0.0
2.8
5.2
1.5
3
648
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.5
0.0
3.8
3.3
1.5
3
649
0.7
0.3
0.4
2.9
0.0
6.0
1.2
0.5
3
650
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.0
0.0
5.6
1.7
1.1
3

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.