ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by points.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
451
1.0
0.4
0.5
2.5
0.0
2.4
1.7
0.7
3
452
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.3
0.0
3.4
4.9
1.9
3
453
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.4
0.1
10.5
2.1
3.4
3
454
1.0
0.5
0.5
4.0
0.0
5.1
0.7
0.7
3
455
1.0
0.9
0.1
4.7
0.0
4.3
1.7
2.2
3
456
0.9
0.2
0.8
4.8
0.0
1.2
4.8
0.3
3
457
0.9
0.4
0.6
3.8
0.1
1.9
1.9
1.1
3
458
0.9
0.5
0.5
3.9
0.0
6.0
1.8
0.9
3
459
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.3
0.0
3.0
1.3
0.5
3
460
0.9
0.4
0.6
4.0
0.3
1.4
5.0
0.9
3
461
0.9
0.3
0.7
3.0
0.0
4.6
1.4
0.5
3
462
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.0
4.5
2.5
1.2
3
463
0.9
0.4
0.6
3.9
0.1
1.3
1.7
0.7
3
464
0.9
0.5
0.5
3.5
0.0
7.6
1.2
4.2
3
465
0.9
0.2
0.7
2.6
0.0
2.3
6.5
1.8
3
466
0.9
0.3
0.6
5.0
0.2
1.4
3.4
1.2
3
467
0.9
0.5
0.5
5.1
0.1
6.6
1.9
1.3
3
468
0.9
0.3
0.7
4.2
0.0
4.7
5.8
1.5
3
469
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.9
0.1
2.2
1.1
0.6
3
470
0.9
0.1
0.8
4.3
0.1
4.6
4.4
1.4
3
471
0.9
0.2
0.7
2.9
0.0
5.4
6.0
1.3
3
472
0.9
0.3
0.7
4.9
0.0
0.9
1.3
0.5
3
473
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.0
0.3
0.8
2.4
0.8
3
474
0.9
0.3
0.7
3.4
0.0
5.7
0.9
0.7
3
475
0.9
0.4
0.5
2.9
0.1
9.1
1.1
1.1
3
476
0.9
0.3
0.6
2.5
0.0
10.7
1.5
1.5
3
477
0.9
0.2
0.7
2.6
0.1
1.5
3.3
1.2
3
478
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.1
4.9
2.4
0.7
3
479
0.9
0.5
0.4
2.9
0.1
2.0
1.9
1.2
3
480
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.7
0.1
3.9
1.3
1.6
3
481
0.9
0.5
0.4
3.5
0.3
2.2
0.8
1.1
3
482
0.9
0.5
0.4
3.9
0.3
2.6
0.9
0.7
3
483
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.0
3.9
1.6
1.0
3
484
0.9
0.3
0.5
3.2
0.1
2.6
1.4
0.7
3
485
0.9
0.4
0.5
2.9
0.0
8.3
1.6
1.8
3
486
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.1
0.1
1.0
1.4
0.6
3
487
0.9
0.1
0.8
2.5
0.0
5.8
4.2
1.9
3
488
0.9
0.3
0.6
5.8
0.0
5.2
4.3
2.0
3
489
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.4
0.0
2.7
1.7
1.2
3
490
0.9
0.1
0.8
1.8
0.2
1.5
3.0
0.8
3
491
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.8
0.1
2.4
0.9
0.8
3
492
0.9
0.5
0.4
3.9
0.3
3.2
1.0
1.1
3
493
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.0
0.1
2.7
0.6
0.9
3
494
0.9
0.3
0.5
2.9
0.0
5.9
2.6
2.3
3
495
0.9
0.1
0.7
2.8
0.0
3.4
5.2
2.0
3
496
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.1
4.3
2.7
0.9
3
497
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.0
3.3
1.6
1.2
3
498
0.9
0.7
0.1
3.5
0.1
5.2
1.2
0.7
3
499
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.4
0.1
2.4
4.3
0.8
3
500
0.9
0.2
0.6
4.8
0.1
2.8
3.3
2.2
3

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.