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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
651
Ryan SheaEDM · D
28.1
5.3
22.8
66.3
0.4
41.8
95.7
23.7
82
652
Nate SchmidtUTA · D
22.7
5.3
17.4
88.3
3.1
80.7
90.4
22.6
82
653
Tobias BjornfotFLA · D
12.4
5.3
7.1
57.1
0.2
68.4
86.8
12.5
82
654
Kaiden GuhleMTL · D
26.5
5.3
21.3
89.2
0.1
173.7
162.1
95.4
82
655
Radek FaksaDAL · C
21.2
5.2
16.0
68.7
0.1
122.9
60.8
31.0
82
656
Lenni HameenahoNJD · R33 sample
20.4
5.2
15.2
117.2
0.2
51.2
40.6
34.9
82
657
Carson SoucyNYI · D
14.5
5.2
9.3
75.2
0.4
124.8
104.6
45.3
82
658
Hendrix LapierrePIT · C
21.2
5.2
16.0
62.8
0.7
51.8
30.5
27.7
82
659
Guillaume BriseboisVAN · D21 sample
14.6
5.2
9.4
78.1
1.7
63.0
109.5
21.6
82
660
Luca Del Bel BelluzCBJ · C30 sample
20.6
5.1
15.4
79.6
2.2
22.4
60.6
16.2
82
661
Brayden McNabbVGK · D
22.1
5.0
17.0
95.0
0.1
149.3
181.8
42.2
82
662
Colin WhiteNJD · C
11.9
5.0
6.9
66.3
2.0
72.7
37.3
14.8
82
663
Jansen HarkinsTBL · C
12.5
5.0
7.5
70.2
0.1
181.8
43.7
39.1
82
664
Hunter BrzustewiczCGY · D35 sample
17.2
5.0
12.2
82.2
2.5
59.4
55.0
12.7
82
665
Ben ChiarotDET · D
16.1
5.0
11.2
109.1
0.4
159.3
157.9
69.7
82
666
Rasmus SandinWSH · D
30.8
5.0
25.8
93.0
3.5
99.1
132.4
19.6
82
667
Ethan BearNYI · D
19.5
5.0
14.5
103.5
0.7
60.8
96.1
33.1
82
668
Jordan HarrisBOS · D
19.4
5.0
14.4
68.5
0.4
54.1
101.2
21.2
82
669
Jalen ChatfieldCAR · D
21.0
4.9
16.1
113.3
0.1
59.6
80.4
36.9
82
670
Oskar BäckDAL · C
15.2
4.9
10.4
47.2
0.1
34.7
42.6
10.5
82
671
Connor MackeyCHI · D39 sample
12.4
4.9
7.6
75.5
0.9
119.2
69.3
128.2
82
672
Landon SlaggertCHI · L
12.6
4.9
7.8
76.0
0.1
106.5
36.1
31.9
82
673
Will BorgenBOS · D
17.5
4.8
12.6
80.1
0.1
138.0
108.2
46.9
82
674
Dmitry OrlovSJS · D
34.2
4.8
29.4
110.8
10.7
126.3
76.5
41.4
82
675
Luke GlendeningPHI · C
10.2
4.8
5.4
59.1
0.1
123.3
62.2
18.9
82
676
Liam O'BrienUTA · C
11.2
4.8
6.4
76.7
0.1
261.6
34.8
126.2
82
677
Jake McCabeTOR · D
26.8
4.8
22.0
83.6
0.3
143.2
179.2
58.2
82
678
Jacob MelansonSEA · R37 sample
11.9
4.8
7.2
75.6
0.2
418.1
30.2
71.0
82
679
Niko MikkolaFLA · D
16.7
4.7
12.0
91.5
0.3
156.1
101.3
70.1
82
680
Tyson KozakBUF · C
12.9
4.7
8.1
55.6
0.8
188.8
68.9
4.5
82
681
Jamie OleksiakVAN · D
16.9
4.7
12.2
81.6
0.1
111.7
134.6
40.0
82
682
Matt RempeNYR · C
9.3
4.7
4.5
53.4
0.1
250.1
24.0
97.3
82
683
Jaccob SlavinCAR · D
25.8
4.7
21.1
130.8
0.3
32.3
131.4
7.4
82
684
Jake LucchiniNSH · C
10.8
4.7
6.1
58.1
1.3
57.5
26.3
42.8
82
685
Artem ZubOTT · D
26.6
4.7
21.9
89.3
0.3
92.7
134.2
52.8
82
686
Ronnie AttardDET · D29 sample
19.1
4.7
14.4
106.1
1.6
136.0
89.1
39.3
82
687
Mattias JanmarkEDM · C
18.2
4.7
13.5
60.0
0.1
45.6
30.4
37.4
82
688
Erik GustafssonLAK · D
29.2
4.6
24.6
101.7
10.9
60.3
67.0
32.2
82
689
John HaydenSEA · C
8.5
4.6
4.0
82.9
0.4
165.5
63.0
105.1
82
690
Ryan PulockNYI · D
28.1
4.5
23.6
108.5
2.6
87.9
166.4
17.1
82
691
Tyler TuckerSTL · D
18.4
4.5
13.8
77.7
0.1
139.0
67.3
102.5
82
692
Corey SchuenemanANA · D35 sample
14.6
4.5
10.1
98.6
2.5
48.3
127.0
15.0
82
693
Bokondji ImamaFLA · L33 sample
6.3
4.5
1.8
55.3
0.6
211.4
29.6
142.1
82
694
Brendan BrissonNYR · C27 sample
23.1
4.5
18.7
80.9
4.0
66.8
18.9
6.6
82
695
Timothy LiljegrenWSH · D
22.1
4.5
17.6
92.2
4.5
87.5
143.3
42.9
82
696
Justin BarronNSH · D
17.2
4.4
12.7
72.8
0.9
80.9
98.8
28.7
82
697
Jason PolinBUF · R13 sample
7.5
4.4
3.0
48.5
1.0
171.7
48.4
10.4
82
698
Mikey AndersonLAK · D
21.1
4.4
16.7
76.2
0.1
136.6
136.7
25.8
82
699
Ryan WintertonSEA · C
20.1
4.4
15.7
104.7
0.1
93.1
40.1
17.5
82
700
Jake MiddletonCGY · D
19.8
4.4
15.4
81.5
0.1
114.9
151.4
69.3
82

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.