ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by shots.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
551
Timothy LiljegrenWSH · D
22.1
4.5
17.6
92.2
4.5
87.5
143.3
42.9
82
552
Nate DanielsonDET · C28 sample
21.1
6.1
14.9
92.1
8.8
26.1
27.8
12.7
82
553
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL · C
16.1
7.5
8.6
92.1
0.3
195.6
50.6
35.9
82
554
Niko MikkolaFLA · D
16.7
4.7
12.0
91.5
0.3
156.1
101.3
70.1
82
555
Jakob PelletierTBL · L
25.9
9.6
16.3
91.1
1.1
82.8
35.3
13.9
82
556
Gavin BrindleyCOL · C
19.3
8.8
10.4
91.1
0.1
54.8
22.7
12.2
82
557
Marc GatcombVGK · C
14.1
8.5
5.7
91.0
0.1
315.9
42.9
18.9
82
558
Taylor WardLAK · R38 sample
16.9
7.8
9.1
90.7
1.3
86.8
20.9
15.9
82
559
Seamus CaseyNJD · D17 sample
34.8
16.9
17.9
90.5
12.5
52.5
49.4
3.8
82
560
Matthew RobertsonNYR · D
20.4
6.8
13.6
90.4
0.1
121.0
90.1
42.6
82
561
Sam SteelDAL · C
30.6
9.9
20.7
90.3
1.8
81.6
31.9
30.8
82
562
Alex VlasicCHI · D
23.2
2.7
20.5
90.2
3.8
43.0
135.5
19.9
82
563
Zack MacEwenTOR · C
11.0
5.7
5.2
90.0
0.2
180.8
31.1
98.5
82
564
Casey CizikasNYI · C
19.4
9.3
10.1
89.8
0.4
170.3
63.1
34.8
82
565
Christian WolaninCOL · D25 sample
22.0
5.3
16.7
89.8
5.2
47.0
69.3
25.6
82
566
Adam WilsbyNSH · D
22.1
1.9
20.1
89.7
0.1
44.5
65.5
37.8
82
567
Dryden HuntCGY · L
19.2
5.9
13.2
89.7
0.3
199.7
33.4
37.3
82
568
Jake BeanCGY · D
12.9
4.2
8.8
89.6
0.5
29.7
96.6
34.7
82
569
Nicolas HagueNSH · D
17.5
4.2
13.3
89.6
0.1
114.5
92.1
57.5
82
570
Matt LuffNYI · R
19.5
13.4
6.1
89.5
0.8
115.3
51.8
6.2
82
571
Danila YurovMIN · R
30.1
13.0
17.1
89.5
4.0
73.3
44.3
36.0
82
572
Artem ZubOTT · D
26.6
4.7
21.9
89.3
0.3
92.7
134.2
52.8
82
573
Kaiden GuhleMTL · D
26.5
5.3
21.3
89.2
0.1
173.7
162.1
95.4
82
574
Erik GudbransonCBJ · D
15.1
3.3
11.8
88.8
0.1
110.1
144.3
53.8
82
575
Logan StanleyBUF · D
22.0
6.3
15.7
88.6
0.7
123.6
96.4
138.6
82
576
Taylor RaddyshNYR · R
24.3
9.7
14.6
88.5
2.5
70.0
38.9
17.9
82
577
Dante FabbroCBJ · D
18.2
6.5
11.7
88.5
0.1
77.5
141.8
40.1
82
578
Adam KlapkaCGY · R
20.0
8.0
12.1
88.4
1.8
300.5
55.0
111.4
82
579
Nate SchmidtUTA · D
22.7
5.3
17.4
88.3
3.1
80.7
90.4
22.6
82
580
Matt GrzelcykCHI · D
23.0
1.1
21.9
88.3
6.3
43.3
81.4
32.0
82
581
Kailer YamamotoUTA · R
32.8
16.1
16.7
88.2
2.5
84.6
27.8
24.5
82
582
Henri JokiharjuBOS · D
22.4
3.9
18.4
87.8
1.9
71.7
82.1
25.7
82
583
Jake EvansMTL · C
32.2
11.8
20.4
87.6
0.1
113.1
61.5
33.8
82
584
Fedor SvechkovCOL · C
21.9
6.9
15.0
87.6
2.2
65.3
35.4
24.9
82
585
Alex TurcotteLAK · C
21.7
6.2
15.6
87.6
0.5
66.2
43.1
26.2
82
586
Mathieu JosephEDM · R
22.7
6.1
16.6
86.9
0.3
166.8
53.8
35.4
82
587
Sam CarrickBUF · C
18.3
8.8
9.5
86.8
0.2
136.5
39.3
78.5
82
588
Rodrigo AbolsPHI · C
19.7
6.3
13.3
86.7
0.1
95.3
46.8
37.2
82
589
Tim BerniCBJ · D
8.2
2.9
5.3
86.5
1.0
161.3
98.6
46.4
82
590
Nolan FootePHI · L36 sample
11.3
7.6
3.7
86.5
0.4
156.2
27.5
28.4
82
591
Ben MeyersSEA · C
20.0
9.5
10.5
86.4
0.1
100.2
21.5
23.9
82
592
Gage GoncalvesTBL · C
34.5
11.9
22.7
86.3
2.9
99.6
31.3
36.4
82
593
Conor TimminsBUF · D
18.8
1.8
16.9
86.3
0.9
66.4
140.9
39.7
82
594
Jordan GreenwayCHI · L
19.4
7.1
12.4
86.2
0.8
162.2
53.9
67.3
82
595
John LeonardDET · L37 sample
26.9
14.1
12.7
86.2
11.7
80.2
65.4
4.0
82
596
Nils LundkvistDAL · D
18.4
3.6
14.9
86.2
0.9
47.9
72.5
28.8
82
597
Andrew PeekeUTA · D
16.1
3.8
12.3
85.8
0.1
124.0
148.2
30.2
82
598
Charles Alexis LegaultCAR · D12 sample
15.5
7.4
8.1
85.7
0.6
89.8
68.3
97.7
82
599
Maveric LamoureuxUTA · D20 sample
18.0
4.1
13.9
85.6
0.6
128.9
93.1
142.7
82
600
Connor MurphyEDM · D
19.2
5.5
13.7
85.6
0.1
123.2
163.6
66.8
82

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.