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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by assists.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
601
Cody GlassNJD · C
29.4
16.6
12.8
124.8
2.9
59.1
45.6
36.5
82
602
Juuso ParssinenNYR · C
23.3
10.5
12.8
69.5
3.1
129.5
40.5
33.0
82
603
Alex SteevesBOS · C
28.6
15.8
12.8
104.0
5.0
266.8
46.3
56.2
82
604
Nils HoglanderNSH · L
23.3
10.5
12.8
95.6
0.6
97.9
21.4
30.6
82
605
John LeonardDET · L37 sample
26.9
14.1
12.7
86.2
11.7
80.2
65.4
4.0
82
606
Justin BarronNSH · D
17.2
4.4
12.7
72.8
0.9
80.9
98.8
28.7
82
607
Victor ManciniVAN · D
15.1
2.4
12.7
58.9
1.2
97.7
95.8
25.3
82
608
Henry ThrunWPG · D
15.9
3.2
12.7
74.8
1.9
55.0
95.4
32.8
82
609
Will BorgenBOS · D
17.5
4.8
12.6
80.1
0.1
138.0
108.2
46.9
82
610
Caleb JonesPIT · D
15.3
2.7
12.6
77.5
1.8
122.5
118.2
30.1
82
611
Berkly CattonSEA · C
21.4
8.8
12.6
97.4
2.6
11.3
37.7
38.5
82
612
Lars EllerFLA · C
21.1
8.5
12.6
101.8
1.1
66.2
41.3
25.4
82
613
Jiri KulichBUF · C
32.4
19.8
12.6
164.6
0.2
56.5
57.1
25.0
82
614
Jared WrightLAK · R27 sample
13.1
0.5
12.6
113.0
0.3
103.2
58.0
13.1
82
615
Isaiah GeorgeNYI · D37 sample
15.1
2.6
12.5
63.3
0.4
35.2
79.4
13.3
82
616
Jayden StrubleMTL · D
15.3
2.8
12.5
49.4
0.1
172.9
57.1
80.4
82
617
Zakhar BardakovCOL · C
14.1
1.6
12.5
49.2
0.1
68.9
30.7
19.5
82
618
Dennis CholowskiNYR · D
15.9
3.5
12.4
63.0
2.3
14.6
75.4
15.8
82
619
Nikita OkhotiukCGY · D
15.6
3.2
12.4
82.5
0.5
225.8
116.0
67.8
82
620
Scott MayfieldNYI · D
15.2
2.8
12.4
75.6
0.1
93.6
113.0
70.6
82
621
Casey FitzgeraldFLA · D
14.4
2.0
12.4
70.4
1.2
138.4
55.3
53.5
82
622
Parker KellyCOL · C
26.8
14.4
12.4
100.9
0.1
187.9
61.2
37.8
82
623
Jordan GreenwayCHI · L
19.4
7.1
12.4
86.2
0.8
162.2
53.9
67.3
82
624
William CarrierCAR · L
20.2
7.8
12.3
99.8
0.1
249.5
26.1
25.7
82
625
Mason ShawMIN · C
20.1
7.8
12.3
113.5
0.6
119.3
34.8
115.9
82
626
Andrew PeekeUTA · D
16.1
3.8
12.3
85.8
0.1
124.0
148.2
30.2
82
627
Brett LeasonSJS · R
20.4
8.1
12.3
94.8
1.4
87.9
54.0
21.7
82
628
Jamie OleksiakVAN · D
16.9
4.7
12.2
81.6
0.1
111.7
134.6
40.0
82
629
Jeffrey VielTBL · L
19.2
7.0
12.2
109.7
0.1
240.6
34.8
144.0
82
630
Hunter BrzustewiczCGY · D35 sample
17.2
5.0
12.2
82.2
2.5
59.4
55.0
12.7
82
631
Marcus FolignoMIN · L
26.3
14.1
12.2
93.0
1.8
285.8
58.2
92.8
82
632
Colton DachEDM · C
18.5
6.4
12.2
79.5
2.2
295.2
38.0
67.0
82
633
Michael EyssimontBOS · C
22.6
10.5
12.1
155.8
3.3
109.2
28.9
63.3
82
634
Rutger McGroartyPIT · R32 sample
22.5
10.4
12.1
124.7
0.3
94.0
32.0
12.7
82
635
Ty EmbersonEDM · D
14.3
2.2
12.1
58.4
0.2
138.1
111.1
21.6
82
636
Adam KlapkaCGY · R
20.0
8.0
12.1
88.4
1.8
300.5
55.0
111.4
82
637
Mark JankowskiCAR · L
24.6
12.5
12.1
80.5
1.4
54.1
51.2
32.0
82
638
Nico SturmMIN · C
20.8
8.8
12.0
78.8
0.1
115.5
39.6
22.2
82
639
Niko MikkolaFLA · D
16.7
4.7
12.0
91.5
0.3
156.1
101.3
70.1
82
640
Aatu RätyVAN · C
19.5
7.6
11.9
82.2
0.6
200.4
20.1
28.8
82
641
Connor CliftonBOS · D
14.9
3.0
11.9
69.9
0.1
252.0
127.1
71.3
82
642
Liam OhgrenVAN · L
21.2
9.3
11.9
105.3
0.6
81.7
47.3
3.4
82
643
Morgan BarronWPG · C
23.0
11.1
11.9
109.8
0.2
153.7
45.5
29.7
82
644
Erik GudbransonCBJ · D
15.1
3.3
11.8
88.8
0.1
110.1
144.3
53.8
82
645
Scott SabourinTBL · R39 sample
14.9
3.1
11.8
36.3
0.3
199.3
34.3
252.3
82
646
Colin BlackwellDAL · C
18.2
6.4
11.8
85.2
0.5
126.3
37.5
33.6
82
647
Isaak PhillipsWPG · D
15.8
4.1
11.7
82.5
0.5
119.4
69.9
45.4
82
648
Brendan SmithCBJ · D
14.8
3.1
11.7
72.5
0.1
114.8
84.3
76.9
82
649
Dante FabbroCBJ · D
18.2
6.5
11.7
88.5
0.1
77.5
141.8
40.1
82
650
Daniil ButUTA · L29 sample
20.4
8.7
11.7
121.9
8.5
47.1
51.5
23.2
82

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.