ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by pim.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by pim

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
51
Zach BensonBUF · L5.15×
1.6
0.6
1.1
5.1
0.2
1.9
1.2
3.3
3
52
Kyle BurroughsDAL · D2.95×
0.3
0.1
0.3
2.2
0.0
7.3
3.8
3.2
3
53
Dennis GilbertBUF · D5.41×
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.2
0.0
6.0
3.8
3.2
3
54
Tanner JeannotBOS · L3.97×
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.1
0.0
9.8
2.0
3.2
3
55
Josh DunneWSH · C4.67×
0.3
0.1
0.3
2.5
0.0
3.7
1.6
3.2
3
56
Mikko RantanenDAL · R4.11×
3.6
1.2
2.3
7.9
1.4
2.4
1.8
3.2
3
57
Vincent DesharnaisWSH · D4.12×
0.3
0.0
0.3
1.8
0.0
5.5
4.8
3.2
3
58
Josh MansonCOL · D2.87×
1.1
0.2
0.9
4.8
0.0
7.2
3.8
3.1
3
59
Mackenzie MacEachernVAN · L38 sample
1.2
0.3
0.9
2.4
0.0
4.0
1.8
3.1
3
60
Charlie McAvoyBOS · D3.52×
2.2
0.4
1.7
5.2
0.7
4.8
5.7
3.1
3
61
Garnet HathawayFLA · R5.66×
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.7
0.0
11.4
2.7
3.1
3
62
Nikita ChibrikovWPG · R16 sample
0.5
0.3
0.2
3.0
0.1
4.8
1.6
3.0
3
63
Brandon DuhaimeTOR · R5.80×
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.8
0.0
6.5
2.1
3.0
3
64
Jeff MalottANA · L7.04×
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.7
0.0
8.1
1.5
3.0
3
65
Brenden DillonNJD · D4.54×
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.2
0.0
7.6
3.9
3.0
3
66
Max CrozierTBL · D6.17×
0.7
0.1
0.7
4.0
0.0
3.5
2.6
3.0
3
67
Jack McBainUTA · C3.87×
1.0
0.4
0.6
3.7
0.0
10.5
1.8
3.0
3
68
Jayden StrubleMTL · D6.15×
0.6
0.1
0.5
1.8
0.0
6.3
2.1
2.9
3
69
Brad MarchandFLA · L4.12×
2.7
1.2
1.5
7.8
0.9
3.2
1.2
2.9
3
70
Ryan LombergCBJ · L7.45×
0.5
0.2
0.3
3.0
0.0
6.1
0.8
2.9
3
71
Nick CousinsOTT · C4.76×
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.4
0.0
5.9
1.5
2.9
3
72
Rasmus DahlinBUF · D2.82×
2.8
0.7
2.0
8.1
0.9
3.8
3.8
2.9
3
73
Sam CarrickBUF · C4.87×
0.7
0.3
0.3
3.2
0.0
5.0
1.4
2.9
3
74
Simon EdvinssonDET · D4.13×
1.1
0.3
0.7
3.5
0.0
3.7
5.8
2.9
3
75
Jared DavidsonMTL · C10 sample
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.9
0.0
5.2
0.5
2.9
3
76
Ridly GreigOTT · C3.39×
1.3
0.5
0.8
4.8
0.2
4.6
2.0
2.9
3
77
Andrei SvechnikovCAR · R2.87×
2.4
1.1
1.3
7.8
0.9
7.0
0.8
2.8
3
78
Brendan SmithCBJ · D3.81×
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.6
0.0
4.2
3.1
2.8
3
79
Zachary L'HeureuxCOL · L8.12×
0.7
0.3
0.3
3.8
0.1
8.6
1.5
2.8
3
80
Corey PerryLAK · R5.71×
1.3
0.7
0.6
4.3
0.4
1.8
0.9
2.8
3
81
Barclay GoodrowSJS · C5.41×
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.6
0.0
5.5
2.5
2.8
3
82
Erik CernakTBL · D4.43×
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.0
6.5
4.5
2.8
3
83
Pierre-Luc DuboisWSH · C4.03×
2.0
0.7
1.4
5.3
0.5
3.1
1.8
2.8
3
84
Peyton KrebsBUF · C5.28×
1.2
0.4
0.8
3.1
0.1
6.0
1.3
2.7
3
85
Evgeni MalkinPIT · C5.31×
2.7
0.9
1.8
7.1
1.0
1.4
1.4
2.7
3
86
Ryan HartmanMIN · R5.12×
1.7
0.8
0.9
7.1
0.3
2.9
3.0
2.7
3
87
Aaron EkbladFLA · D3.09×
1.4
0.3
1.1
5.1
0.4
4.5
4.0
2.7
3
88
Samuel HeleniusLAK · C5.60×
0.5
0.3
0.2
2.0
0.0
8.3
1.0
2.7
3
89
Travis KonecnyPHI · R5.26×
2.6
1.0
1.6
7.0
0.5
4.3
1.5
2.7
3
90
Lian BichselDAL · D3.36×
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.0
0.0
9.5
2.2
2.7
3
91
Johnathan KovacevicNJD · D3.81×
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.8
0.0
4.2
3.5
2.7
3
92
Ozzy WiesblattNSH · C2.70×
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.0
0.0
7.4
1.4
2.6
3
93
Frank VatranoANA · R4.47×
1.3
0.7
0.6
7.2
0.2
5.3
2.2
2.6
3
94
Connor CliftonBOS · D4.69×
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.6
0.0
9.2
4.7
2.6
3
95
Jamie BennDAL · L4.58×
1.8
0.7
1.1
4.8
0.4
4.7
1.5
2.6
3
96
Jacob MelansonSEA · R37 sample
0.4
0.2
0.3
2.8
0.0
15.3
1.1
2.6
3
97
Declan CarlilePIT · D8.79×
0.3
0.1
0.1
2.4
0.0
3.9
2.7
2.6
3
98
Scott MayfieldNYI · D5.07×
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.0
3.4
4.1
2.6
3
99
Brayden SchennNYI · C3.90×
1.7
0.7
1.0
5.0
0.3
6.7
1.7
2.6
3
100
Niko MikkolaFLA · D4.20×
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.4
0.0
5.7
3.7
2.6
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.36. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.