ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by hits.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
201
Brendan GaunceBOS · C1.35×
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.4
0.0
5.2
2.1
1.3
3
202
Sean WalkerCAR · D1.25×
0.9
0.3
0.6
5.8
0.0
5.2
4.3
2.0
3
203
Vinni LettieriTOR · C1.13×
0.6
0.3
0.3
4.6
0.0
5.2
1.8
1.1
3
204
Elmer SoderblomPIT · L1.31×
0.8
0.4
0.4
3.9
0.0
5.2
1.0
1.0
3
205
Joel Eriksson EkMIN · C1.09×
2.2
0.9
1.3
9.0
0.7
5.1
1.9
1.6
3
206
Keaton MiddletonCOL · D1.05×
0.3
0.0
0.3
2.9
0.0
5.1
2.5
2.3
3
207
Mason GeertsenBUF · L30 sample
0.2
0.1
0.1
1.3
0.0
5.1
0.5
6.9
3
208
Sam LaffertyFLA · C1.07×
0.5
0.3
0.3
2.4
0.0
5.1
0.9
1.4
3
209
Tyler TuckerSTL · D0.93×
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.8
0.0
5.1
2.5
3.8
3
210
Tomas NosekFLA · L1.13×
0.6
0.1
0.4
2.4
0.0
5.1
1.5
0.8
3
211
Casey FitzgeraldFLA · D0.76×
0.5
0.1
0.5
2.6
0.0
5.1
2.0
2.0
3
212
Eric RobinsonCAR · L1.47×
1.0
0.5
0.5
4.0
0.0
5.1
0.7
0.7
3
213
Jack FinleySTL · C1.17×
0.4
0.1
0.2
1.9
0.0
5.1
0.7
2.5
3
214
Will BorgenBOS · D1.28×
0.6
0.2
0.5
2.9
0.0
5.0
4.0
1.7
3
215
Ty EmbersonEDM · D1.12×
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.1
0.0
5.0
4.1
0.8
3
216
Tyler KlevenOTT · D1.25×
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.5
0.0
5.0
3.9
1.8
3
217
Drake BathersonOTT · R1.25×
2.5
1.1
1.4
6.8
1.1
5.0
1.0
1.4
3
218
Justin KirklandMIN · C1.29×
0.6
0.2
0.4
1.6
0.0
5.0
1.8
0.7
3
219
Zach WhitecloudCGY · D1.04×
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.7
0.0
5.0
5.0
1.4
3
220
Nick SeelerPHI · D1.27×
0.5
0.1
0.4
3.4
0.0
5.0
6.5
2.1
3
221
Mikey AndersonLAK · D1.30×
0.8
0.2
0.6
2.8
0.0
5.0
5.0
0.9
3
222
Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH · L1.18×
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.1
5.0
1.3
0.4
3
223
Sam CarrickBUF · C1.15×
0.7
0.3
0.3
3.2
0.0
5.0
1.4
2.9
3
224
Ronnie AttardDET · D29 sample
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.9
0.1
5.0
3.3
1.4
3
225
Louis CrevierBUF · D1.08×
0.8
0.3
0.6
4.0
0.0
5.0
4.0
2.1
3
226
Owen BeckMTL · C28 sample
0.3
0.2
0.1
2.4
0.0
5.0
1.8
0.9
3
227
Juraj SlafkovskýMTL · L1.15×
2.2
0.9
1.3
6.1
0.8
5.0
2.6
1.8
3
228
Philippe MyersTOR · D1.17×
0.3
0.1
0.2
3.5
0.0
5.0
3.7
1.5
3
229
Ryan LeonardWSH · R1.09×
1.6
0.7
0.9
6.0
0.5
5.0
1.1
1.9
3
230
Filip ForsbergNSH · L1.25×
2.9
1.4
1.4
9.8
1.0
5.0
1.5
1.4
3
231
Alexander NikishinCAR · D1.10×
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.1
0.3
5.0
3.1
1.1
3
232
Matt RoyWSH · D1.36×
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.9
0.0
4.9
5.7
0.8
3
233
Kasperi KapanenEDM · R1.30×
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.4
0.0
4.9
1.0
1.0
3
234
Raphael LavoieVGK · C17 sample
0.2
0.1
0.1
2.8
0.0
4.9
0.4
0.7
3
235
Ondrej PalatNYI · L1.22×
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.1
4.9
2.4
0.7
3
236
Bradly NadeauCAR · L15 sample
0.8
0.7
0.2
3.9
0.2
4.9
1.4
0.5
3
237
Tim StützleOTT · C1.36×
2.9
1.1
1.9
7.0
1.1
4.9
1.6
1.5
3
238
Justin BrazeauPIT · R1.28×
1.3
0.6
0.7
4.3
0.2
4.9
1.8
0.7
3
239
Justin HryckowianDAL · C1.19×
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.0
0.2
4.8
1.7
1.4
3
240
Nikita ChibrikovWPG · R16 sample
0.5
0.3
0.2
3.0
0.1
4.8
1.6
3.0
3
241
Dylan DeMeloWPG · D1.12×
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.9
0.0
4.8
4.1
1.5
3
242
Yanni GourdeTBL · C1.26×
1.2
0.4
0.9
4.3
0.0
4.8
1.5
2.5
3
243
Sean KuralyBOS · C1.23×
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.8
0.0
4.8
1.7
1.6
3
244
Charlie McAvoyBOS · D1.60×
2.2
0.4
1.7
5.2
0.7
4.8
5.7
3.1
3
245
Michael CarconeUTA · L1.26×
1.1
0.6
0.5
5.1
0.1
4.8
0.7
1.2
3
246
Emmitt FinnieDET · C1.34×
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.4
0.3
4.8
1.5
0.2
3
247
Akil ThomasVAN · C32 sample
0.6
0.3
0.3
2.7
0.0
4.8
1.5
0.9
3
248
Marc Del GaizoNYR · D1.38×
0.7
0.1
0.5
4.8
0.0
4.8
3.4
1.3
3
249
Juho LammikkoNJD · C1.25×
0.3
0.1
0.3
2.1
0.0
4.8
1.8
0.5
3
250
Nino NiederreiterWPG · R1.33×
1.2
0.6
0.6
5.2
0.3
4.7
1.2
1.0
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.