ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by hits.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
251
Radek FaksaRadek FaksaDAL · F1.09×
0.8
0.2
0.6
2.5
0.0
4.5
2.2
1.1
3
252
Kurtis MacDermidKurtis MacDermidOTT · F1.35×
0.2
0.0
0.1
1.0
0.0
4.5
1.1
4.4
3
253
Joel KivirantaJoel KivirantaCOL · F1.10×
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.0
0.0
4.5
1.2
0.7
3
254
Curtis DouglasCurtis DouglasVAN · F1.07×
0.3
0.1
0.2
2.0
0.0
4.5
0.8
7.5
3
255
Adrian KempeAdrian KempeLAK · F1.23×
2.7
1.3
1.4
8.7
0.6
4.5
1.4
2.0
3
256
Noah LabaNoah LabaNYR · F1.33×
1.0
0.4
0.6
3.0
0.2
4.5
1.7
1.3
3
257
Matthew RobertsonMatthew RobertsonNYR · D0.64×
0.7
0.3
0.5
3.3
0.0
4.4
3.3
1.6
3
258
Erik HaulaErik HaulaNSH · F1.24×
1.3
0.5
0.8
5.0
0.3
4.4
1.8
2.1
3
259
Ilya LyubushkinIlya LyubushkinDAL · D1.34×
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.9
0.0
4.4
5.1
1.8
3
260
Zach HymanZach HymanEDM · F2.60×
2.4
1.5
1.0
8.8
0.7
4.4
1.1
1.5
3
261
David PerronDavid PerronDET · F1.29×
1.5
0.7
0.8
5.1
0.5
4.4
0.9
1.7
3
262
Jonathan AspirotJonathan AspirotBOS · D0.91×
0.7
0.1
0.5
2.3
0.0
4.3
4.2
2.0
3
263
Travis KonecnyTravis KonecnyPHI · F1.35×
2.6
1.0
1.6
7.0
0.5
4.3
1.5
2.7
3
264
Josh NorrisJosh NorrisBUF · F1.08×
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.3
0.6
4.3
1.9
1.9
3
265
Charlie CoyleCharlie CoyleCBJ · F1.57×
1.8
0.7
1.1
4.9
0.4
4.3
2.1
0.8
3
266
Jordan MartinookJordan MartinookCAR · F1.38×
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.7
0.0
4.3
1.9
1.4
3
267
Morgan GeekieMorgan GeekieBOS · F1.31×
2.2
1.2
1.0
6.0
0.6
4.3
1.3
1.0
3
268
Stefan NoesenStefan NoesenNJD · F1.17×
1.2
0.6
0.6
5.0
0.4
4.3
1.0
2.2
3
269
Nicholas PaulNicholas PaulTBL · F1.56×
1.2
0.6
0.6
4.9
0.2
4.3
1.4
1.5
3
270
Brett BerardBrett BerardNYR · F0.89×
0.5
0.3
0.2
3.9
0.0
4.3
1.9
1.0
3
271
Michael RasmussenMichael RasmussenDET · F1.28×
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.1
4.3
2.7
0.9
3
272
Kaedan KorczakKaedan KorczakVGK · D1.10×
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.3
0.0
4.3
3.4
0.7
3
273
Taylor MakarTaylor MakarCOL · F12 gm
0.0
0.0
0.0
1.8
0.0
4.3
0.3
1.0
3
274
Charle-Edouard D'AstousCharle-Edouard D'AstousTBL · D1.04×
1.2
0.3
1.0
3.5
0.1
4.2
3.1
4.7
3
275
Nico SturmNico SturmMIN · F1.01×
0.8
0.3
0.4
2.9
0.0
4.2
1.4
0.8
3
276
Brendan SmithBrendan SmithCBJ · D1.34×
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.6
0.0
4.2
3.1
2.8
3
277
Rickard RakellRickard RakellPIT · F1.08×
2.3
1.1
1.2
7.9
0.7
4.2
2.2
0.5
3
278
Jake MiddletonJake MiddletonMIN · D1.02×
0.7
0.2
0.6
3.0
0.0
4.2
5.6
2.5
3
279
Johnathan KovacevicJohnathan KovacevicNJD · D1.26×
0.6
0.1
0.6
2.7
0.0
4.2
3.6
2.7
3
280
Joel EdmundsonJoel EdmundsonLAK · D1.36×
0.8
0.1
0.6
3.6
0.1
4.2
4.4
1.1
3
281
Seth JarvisSeth JarvisCAR · F1.50×
2.5
1.2
1.4
8.2
0.8
4.2
1.7
0.8
3
282
Nicolas HagueNicolas HagueNSH · D1.14×
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.3
0.0
4.2
3.4
2.1
3
283
Artyom LevshunovArtyom LevshunovCHI · D1.33×
1.1
0.1
1.0
3.7
0.5
4.2
3.3
1.9
3
284
Teddy BluegerTeddy BluegerVAN · F1.01×
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.9
0.0
4.2
1.6
1.5
3
285
Nick LardisNick LardisCHI · F0.86×
1.1
0.7
0.4
4.2
0.2
4.2
0.9
0.7
3
286
Haydn FleuryHaydn FleuryWPG · D1.27×
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.5
0.0
4.2
4.3
1.1
3
287
Anders LeeAnders LeeNYI · F1.22×
1.7
0.8
0.8
7.6
0.3
4.1
1.5
1.7
3
288
Jake EvansJake EvansMTL · F1.26×
1.2
0.4
0.8
3.2
0.0
4.1
2.3
1.2
3
289
Yan KuznetsovYan KuznetsovCGY · D0.86×
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.4
0.0
4.1
5.4
1.5
3
290
Logan MaillouxLogan MaillouxSTL · D0.88×
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.7
0.0
4.1
2.5
2.2
3
291
Jamie OleksiakJamie OleksiakSEA · D1.54×
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.0
0.0
4.1
4.9
1.5
3
292
Dmitri VoronkovDmitri VoronkovCBJ · F1.09×
1.6
0.8
0.8
5.6
0.4
4.1
1.6
2.5
3
293
Dominic JamesDominic JamesTBL · F0.74×
1.1
0.5
0.5
4.1
0.1
4.1
1.0
0.5
3
294
Cole SillingerCole SillingerCBJ · F1.14×
1.3
0.4
0.9
5.3
0.1
4.1
1.8
1.5
3
295
Erik GudbransonErik GudbransonCBJ · D1.16×
0.5
0.1
0.4
3.2
0.0
4.0
5.3
2.0
3
296
Jeff PetryJeff PetryFLA · D1.33×
0.6
0.1
0.6
2.8
0.1
4.0
3.9
1.1
3
297
Michael EyssimontMichael EyssimontBOS · F1.11×
0.8
0.4
0.4
5.7
0.1
4.0
1.1
2.3
3
298
Jaycob MegnaJaycob MegnaVGK · D1.22×
0.3
0.0
0.2
2.1
0.0
4.0
4.3
1.3
3
299
Miles WoodMiles WoodCBJ · F1.19×
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.9
0.0
4.0
1.1
2.4
3
300
Tyler MyersTyler MyersVAN · D1.19×
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.7
0.0
3.9
5.3
2.5
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-05.