ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
501
1.0
0.3
0.7
2.5
0.2
3.9
1.8
1.5
3
502
1.2
0.3
0.9
2.4
0.0
4.0
1.8
3.1
3
503
1.4
0.3
1.1
6.3
0.4
7.2
6.5
2.4
3
504
1.6
0.3
1.3
5.3
0.1
1.7
4.0
1.1
3
505
0.9
0.3
0.6
2.5
0.0
10.7
1.5
1.5
3
506
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.1
0.0
9.8
2.0
3.2
3
507
0.7
0.3
0.4
2.9
0.0
6.0
1.2
0.5
3
508
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.8
0.1
2.5
2.2
0.9
3
509
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.5
0.1
3.2
2.0
0.8
3
510
0.5
0.3
0.2
3.9
0.0
4.3
1.9
1.0
3
511
0.5
0.3
0.2
3.0
0.1
4.8
1.6
3.0
3
512
0.4
0.3
0.1
1.8
0.0
4.0
1.1
0.2
3
513
1.1
0.3
0.8
3.6
0.0
1.2
1.2
1.0
3
514
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.7
0.0
5.5
1.1
0.5
3
515
1.4
0.3
1.1
5.1
0.3
2.5
6.0
1.8
3
516
0.7
0.3
0.5
3.6
0.0
9.1
0.9
0.9
3
517
1.1
0.3
0.9
4.9
0.2
1.4
5.0
1.1
3
518
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.0
2.0
2.2
1.2
3
519
0.7
0.3
0.5
4.2
0.0
4.4
1.3
4.2
3
520
0.5
0.3
0.2
2.5
0.0
5.6
1.9
0.8
3
521
0.7
0.3
0.4
2.7
0.0
6.2
1.5
1.0
3
522
1.7
0.3
1.4
5.9
0.7
0.8
2.3
1.1
3
523
0.8
0.3
0.6
5.2
0.3
1.6
0.8
1.5
3
524
0.8
0.3
0.6
2.3
0.1
3.3
3.7
1.6
3
525
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.3
0.1
3.2
0.8
0.6
3
526
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.2
0.1
11.0
2.0
4.1
3
527
0.9
0.3
0.7
3.0
0.0
4.6
1.4
0.5
3
528
1.5
0.3
1.2
5.4
0.4
4.6
4.1
2.1
3
529
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.8
0.0
4.8
1.7
1.6
3
530
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.6
0.0
12.3
1.4
1.6
3
531
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.0
6.7
1.9
0.6
3
532
1.4
0.3
1.1
4.4
0.3
2.0
5.1
2.4
3
533
1.3
0.3
1.1
4.4
0.1
4.7
3.9
1.8
3
534
0.6
0.3
0.3
2.7
0.0
4.8
1.5
0.9
3
535
0.4
0.3
0.1
3.2
0.0
5.7
1.0
1.0
3
536
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.0
0.1
2.3
4.1
1.2
3
537
0.5
0.3
0.2
2.6
0.0
1.5
2.4
0.3
3
538
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.0
7.3
0.7
1.1
3
539
1.3
0.3
1.0
4.3
0.3
3.8
2.9
2.4
3
540
1.2
0.3
0.9
5.2
0.2
2.6
3.1
1.5
3
541
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.4
0.0
7.2
1.9
1.3
3
542
1.0
0.3
0.8
6.5
0.1
5.8
6.0
3.3
3
543
0.7
0.3
0.4
2.6
0.0
10.1
1.6
1.9
3
544
1.7
0.3
1.4
4.9
0.6
4.6
3.5
1.4
3
545
1.4
0.3
1.1
5.4
0.4
1.1
6.0
2.0
3
546
0.6
0.3
0.3
2.3
0.2
1.0
0.6
0.7
3
547
1.1
0.3
0.9
3.4
0.3
1.6
0.8
1.1
3
548
1.1
0.3
0.9
5.5
0.1
1.9
3.7
0.7
3
549
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.1
0.0
3.3
2.5
3.6
3
550
1.6
0.3
1.3
5.9
0.3
2.2
6.6
0.9
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.