ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by shots.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
501
Vinnie HinostrozaVinnie HinostrozaFLA · F
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.4
0.1
2.1
1.2
1.3
3
502
Brandon CarloBrandon CarloTOR · D
0.5
0.1
0.4
3.4
0.0
3.9
5.5
1.7
3
503
Pavel MintyukovPavel MintyukovANA · D
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.4
0.1
2.4
4.3
0.8
3
504
Zemgus GirgensonsZemgus GirgensonsTBL · F
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.4
0.0
7.2
1.9
1.3
3
505
Sonny MilanoSonny MilanoWSH · F
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.4
0.1
1.1
0.5
0.5
3
506
Timothy LiljegrenTimothy LiljegrenSJS · D
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.4
0.2
3.2
5.3
1.6
3
507
Nikita NesterenkoNikita NesterenkoANA · F
0.9
0.3
0.7
3.4
0.0
5.8
0.8
0.7
3
508
Oliver MooreOliver MooreCHI · F
1.1
0.3
0.9
3.4
0.3
1.5
0.8
1.1
3
509
Niko MikkolaNiko MikkolaFLA · D
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.3
0.0
5.7
3.7
2.6
3
510
Arttu HyryArttu HyryDAL · F29 gm
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.3
0.0
4.6
1.1
0.2
3
511
Nate DanielsonNate DanielsonDET · F28 gm
0.8
0.2
0.5
3.3
0.3
0.9
1.0
0.4
3
512
Marc GatcombMarc GatcombNYI · F
0.5
0.3
0.2
3.3
0.0
11.7
1.6
0.7
3
513
Gavin BrindleyGavin BrindleyCOL · F
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.3
0.0
2.0
0.8
0.4
3
514
Sam SteelSam SteelDAL · F
1.1
0.4
0.8
3.3
0.1
3.0
1.2
1.1
3
515
Matthew RobertsonMatthew RobertsonNYR · D
0.7
0.3
0.5
3.3
0.0
4.4
3.3
1.6
3
516
Alex VlasicAlex VlasicCHI · D
0.8
0.1
0.8
3.3
0.1
1.6
5.0
0.7
3
517
Casey CizikasCasey CizikasNYI · F
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.3
0.0
6.2
2.3
1.3
3
518
Taylor WardTaylor WardLAK · F38 gm
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.3
0.0
3.2
0.7
0.6
3
519
Nicolas HagueNicolas HagueNSH · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.3
0.0
4.2
3.4
2.1
3
520
Jake BeanJake BeanCGY · D
0.5
0.1
0.3
3.3
0.0
1.1
3.5
1.3
3
521
Artem ZubArtem ZubOTT · D
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.3
0.0
3.4
4.9
1.9
3
522
Adam WilsbyAdam WilsbyNSH · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.3
0.0
1.6
2.4
1.4
3
523
Danila YurovDanila YurovMIN · F
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.3
0.1
2.7
1.6
1.3
3
524
Kaiden GuhleKaiden GuhleMTL · D
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.3
0.0
6.4
6.0
3.5
3
525
Erik GudbransonErik GudbransonCBJ · D
0.5
0.1
0.4
3.2
0.0
4.0
5.3
2.0
3
526
Dante FabbroDante FabbroCBJ · D
0.7
0.2
0.4
3.2
0.0
2.8
5.2
1.5
3
527
Logan StanleyLogan StanleyBUF · D
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.0
4.5
3.5
5.1
3
528
Taylor RaddyshTaylor RaddyshNYR · F
0.9
0.3
0.5
3.2
0.1
2.5
1.4
0.7
3
529
Matt GrzelcykMatt GrzelcykCHI · D
0.8
0.0
0.8
3.2
0.2
1.6
3.0
1.2
3
530
Nate SchmidtNate SchmidtUTA · D
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.1
3.0
3.3
0.8
3
531
Adam KlapkaAdam KlapkaCGY · F
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.2
0.1
11.1
2.0
4.1
3
532
Dryden HuntDryden HuntCGY · F
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.2
0.0
7.5
1.2
1.4
3
533
Kailer YamamotoKailer YamamotoUTA · F
1.2
0.6
0.6
3.2
0.1
3.1
1.0
0.9
3
534
Jake EvansJake EvansMTL · F
1.2
0.4
0.8
3.2
0.0
4.1
2.3
1.2
3
535
Henri JokiharjuHenri JokiharjuBOS · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.2
0.1
2.6
3.0
0.9
3
536
Alex TurcotteAlex TurcotteLAK · F
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.0
2.4
1.6
0.9
3
537
Fedor SvechkovFedor SvechkovNSH · F
0.8
0.3
0.6
3.2
0.1
2.4
1.3
0.9
3
538
Mathieu JosephMathieu JosephLAK · F
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.0
6.1
2.0
1.3
3
539
Sam CarrickSam CarrickNYR · F
0.7
0.3
0.3
3.2
0.0
5.0
1.4
2.9
3
540
Jordan GreenwayJordan GreenwayBUF · F
0.7
0.3
0.5
3.1
0.0
6.0
2.0
2.5
3
541
Rodrigo AbolsRodrigo AbolsPHI · F
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.1
0.0
3.5
1.7
1.4
3
542
Conor TimminsConor TimminsBUF · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.1
0.0
2.4
5.2
1.4
3
543
Nils LundkvistNils LundkvistDAL · D
0.7
0.1
0.5
3.1
0.0
1.7
2.7
1.1
3
544
Gage GoncalvesGage GoncalvesTBL · F
1.3
0.4
0.8
3.1
0.1
3.6
1.1
1.3
3
545
Ben MeyersBen MeyersSEA · F
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.1
0.0
3.7
0.8
0.9
3
546
Andrew PeekeAndrew PeekeBOS · D
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.1
0.0
4.5
5.4
1.1
3
547
Connor MurphyConnor MurphyEDM · D
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.1
0.0
4.5
6.0
2.5
3
548
Tanner JeannotTanner JeannotBOS · F
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.1
0.0
9.8
2.0
3.2
3
549
Jeremy LauzonJeremy LauzonVGK · D
0.5
0.1
0.4
3.1
0.0
11.7
4.2
3.6
3
550
Peyton KrebsPeyton KrebsBUF · F
1.2
0.4
0.8
3.1
0.0
6.0
1.3
2.8
3

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-05.