ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by pim.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by pim

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
701
Reilly SmithReilly SmithVGK · F3.29×
1.4
0.6
0.8
4.9
0.2
1.9
1.0
0.6
3
702
Jordan KyrouJordan KyrouSTL · F1.85×
2.2
1.0
1.2
8.1
0.6
1.0
1.2
0.6
3
703
Trevor MooreTrevor MooreLAK · F3.03×
1.6
0.7
0.9
7.3
0.1
3.0
1.6
0.6
3
704
Luca Del Bel BelluzLuca Del Bel BelluzCBJ · F30 gm
0.7
0.2
0.6
2.8
0.1
0.7
2.2
0.6
3
705
Denton MateychukDenton MateychukCBJ · D2.84×
1.1
0.5
0.7
3.4
0.1
1.2
3.8
0.6
3
706
Nick LeddyNick LeddySJS · D2.03×
0.8
0.1
0.6
2.2
0.0
1.2
3.6
0.5
3
707
William KarlssonWilliam KarlssonVGK · F3.27×
1.9
0.8
1.1
6.2
0.3
1.3
2.2
0.5
3
708
Jonny BrodzinskiJonny BrodzinskiNYR · F1.72×
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.9
0.1
2.1
1.1
0.5
3
709
Ryan PoehlingRyan PoehlingANA · F2.01×
1.3
0.5
0.8
3.8
0.1
1.9
3.3
0.5
3
710
Jake ChristiansenJake ChristiansenCBJ · D2.51×
0.3
0.0
0.3
2.2
0.0
2.3
2.4
0.5
3
711
Jesper BoqvistJesper BoqvistFLA · F2.02×
0.7
0.3
0.4
2.9
0.0
6.0
1.2
0.5
3
712
Zach MetsaZach MetsaBUF · D1.86×
0.5
0.2
0.3
1.7
0.1
0.3
2.1
0.5
3
713
Calle JarnkrokCalle JarnkrokTOR · F2.14×
0.7
0.4
0.4
2.9
0.1
2.3
0.8
0.5
3
714
Steven SantiniSteven SantiniTBL · D18 gm
0.3
0.0
0.3
1.2
0.0
2.4
2.1
0.5
3
715
Brock BoeserBrock BoeserVAN · F2.04×
2.1
1.0
1.1
6.6
0.8
2.3
1.2
0.5
3
716
Juho LammikkoJuho LammikkoNJD · F1.86×
0.3
0.1
0.3
2.0
0.0
4.8
1.8
0.5
3
717
Nicholas RobertsonNicholas RobertsonTOR · F2.20×
1.2
0.6
0.5
4.9
0.1
2.9
1.4
0.5
3
718
Jake SandersonJake SandersonOTT · D2.21×
2.1
0.5
1.6
6.5
0.9
1.6
5.9
0.5
3
719
Ryan GreeneRyan GreeneCHI · F1.87×
1.1
0.4
0.6
4.0
0.1
1.8
1.4
0.5
3
720
Marcus JohanssonMarcus JohanssonMIN · F1.97×
1.6
0.6
1.1
4.5
0.3
1.9
1.0
0.5
3
721
Rickard RakellRickard RakellPIT · F1.81×
2.3
1.1
1.2
7.9
0.7
4.2
2.2
0.5
3
722
Simon HolmstromSimon HolmstromNYI · F1.85×
1.5
0.7
0.8
3.6
0.1
0.8
1.8
0.5
3
723
Shane WrightShane WrightSEA · F1.85×
1.3
0.6
0.7
3.8
0.3
2.0
2.4
0.5
3
724
Tyler ToffoliTyler ToffoliSJS · F1.97×
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.7
0.6
2.1
1.0
0.5
3
725
Sonny MilanoSonny MilanoWSH · F2.41×
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.4
0.1
1.1
0.5
0.5
3
726
Jesper BrattJesper BrattNJD · F2.21×
2.8
0.8
2.0
7.1
0.9
2.7
1.1
0.5
3
727
Dominic JamesDominic JamesTBL · F1.88×
1.1
0.5
0.5
4.1
0.1
4.1
1.0
0.5
3
728
Collin GrafCollin GrafSJS · F1.86×
1.6
0.7
0.9
4.2
0.1
3.0
1.7
0.5
3
729
Olli MaattaOlli MaattaCGY · D2.13×
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.5
0.0
1.1
4.5
0.5
3
730
Joel NystromJoel NystromCAR · D38 gm
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.4
0.0
0.8
1.7
0.5
3
731
Otto StenbergOtto StenbergSTL · F32 gm
0.9
0.3
0.7
2.9
0.0
4.6
1.4
0.5
3
732
Oscar Fisker MolgaardOscar Fisker MolgaardSEA · F13 gm
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.4
0.0
2.1
1.9
0.5
3
733
Jean-Gabriel PageauJean-Gabriel PageauNYI · F3.92×
1.4
0.6
0.9
3.9
0.1
5.4
2.3
0.5
3
734
Filip HallanderFilip HallanderPIT · F16 gm
0.9
0.2
0.7
5.0
0.0
0.7
1.2
0.5
3
735
Cole CaufieldCole CaufieldMTL · F2.01×
2.8
1.5
1.3
9.4
1.0
2.2
0.8
0.5
3
736
Bradly NadeauBradly NadeauCAR · F15 gm
0.8
0.7
0.1
3.8
0.2
5.0
1.3
0.5
3
737
Daemon HuntDaemon HuntMIN · D1.96×
0.5
0.0
0.5
1.8
0.0
2.1
4.2
0.4
3
738
Jared WrightJared WrightLAK · F27 gm
0.4
0.0
0.4
4.1
0.0
3.8
2.1
0.4
3
739
Samuel HonzekSamuel HonzekCGY · F23 gm
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.7
0.0
5.6
1.0
0.4
3
740
Yegor SharangovichYegor SharangovichCGY · F5.80×
1.3
0.7
0.6
5.6
0.3
0.7
1.3
0.4
3
741
Tobias BjornfotTobias BjornfotFLA · D1.76×
0.4
0.2
0.2
2.0
0.0
2.5
3.2
0.4
3
742
Rutger McGroartyRutger McGroartyPIT · F32 gm
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.5
0.0
3.4
1.1
0.4
3
743
Gavin BrindleyGavin BrindleyCOL · F
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.3
0.0
2.0
0.8
0.4
3
744
Nate DanielsonNate DanielsonDET · F28 gm
0.8
0.2
0.5
3.3
0.3
0.9
1.0
0.4
3
745
Frederick GaudreauFrederick GaudreauSEA · F2.17×
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.7
0.2
1.6
2.2
0.4
3
746
Jacob MoverareJacob MoverareLAK · D1.88×
0.3
0.1
0.2
1.6
0.0
1.4
3.2
0.4
3
747
Evgenii DadonovEvgenii DadonovNJD · F1.84×
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.0
0.2
1.8
1.5
0.4
3
748
Anze KopitarAnze KopitarLAK · F3.30×
2.1
0.7
1.4
4.5
0.7
1.6
2.7
0.4
3
749
Vladimir TarasenkoVladimir TarasenkoMIN · F2.99×
1.8
0.8
1.0
5.8
0.4
2.8
1.4
0.4
3
750
Oskar BackOskar BackDAL · F2.30×
0.6
0.2
0.4
1.7
0.0
1.3
1.6
0.4
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.36. Measured 2026-08-05.