ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
451
Zachary L'HeureuxCOL · L
0.7
0.3
0.3
3.8
0.1
8.6
1.5
2.8
3
452
Ben MeyersSEA · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.2
0.0
3.7
0.8
0.9
3
453
Arttu HyryDAL · R29 sample
0.7
0.3
0.3
3.4
0.0
4.6
1.1
0.3
3
454
Casey CizikasNYI · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.3
0.0
6.2
2.3
1.3
3
455
Nathan WalkerSTL · L
0.8
0.3
0.4
2.8
0.0
10.6
2.4
2.2
3
456
Mason AppletonDET · C
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.7
0.1
3.9
1.3
1.6
3
457
Sheldon DriesDET · C
0.6
0.3
0.2
3.4
0.2
4.2
1.9
0.8
3
458
Martin KautSJS · R
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.6
0.1
2.3
0.8
0.5
3
459
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR · C
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.0
0.1
3.5
1.2
1.4
3
460
Mike BenningCGY · D18 sample
1.0
0.3
0.7
2.6
0.2
0.8
2.7
0.4
3
461
Simon EdvinssonDET · D
1.1
0.3
0.7
3.5
0.0
3.7
5.8
2.9
3
462
Conor GeekieTBL · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
2.9
0.1
6.0
1.4
1.3
3
463
Liam OhgrenVAN · L
0.8
0.3
0.4
3.9
0.0
3.0
1.7
0.1
3
464
Nick BlankenburgCOL · D
1.0
0.3
0.7
3.6
0.3
2.9
3.1
0.8
3
465
Denver BarkeyPHI · C
1.1
0.3
0.7
3.0
0.2
3.5
1.2
1.1
3
466
Maxim ShabanovMIN · R
1.2
0.3
0.9
3.8
0.3
1.9
1.1
0.2
3
467
Colton SissonsTOR · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.5
0.1
5.2
2.4
1.1
3
468
Moritz SeiderDET · D
1.9
0.3
1.6
6.2
0.9
6.1
6.7
1.8
3
469
Alexander NikishinCAR · D
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.1
0.3
5.0
3.1
1.1
3
470
Ryan UfkoNSH · D19 sample
1.8
0.3
1.4
1.9
0.3
1.8
2.1
1.0
3
471
Brad LambertWPG · C31 sample
0.8
0.3
0.4
3.1
0.1
2.7
0.9
0.8
3
472
Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH · L
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.0
0.1
5.0
1.3
0.4
3
473
Sam CarrickBUF · C
0.7
0.3
0.3
3.2
0.0
5.0
1.4
2.9
3
474
Nick CousinsOTT · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.4
0.0
5.9
1.5
2.9
3
475
Colton ParaykoSTL · D
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.8
0.0
3.9
6.8
0.8
3
476
Damon SeversonCBJ · D
1.3
0.3
0.9
4.0
0.1
1.8
3.9
1.9
3
477
Michael McCarronMIN · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.9
0.0
7.0
2.8
3.5
3
478
Luke KuninFLA · C
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.4
0.1
6.5
2.5
2.5
3
479
Trent FredericEDM · C
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.6
0.0
7.9
1.3
2.5
3
480
Max JonesEDM · L
0.7
0.3
0.3
3.4
0.0
7.3
0.7
2.0
3
481
Tyson JostNSH · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.9
0.0
3.0
1.4
1.5
3
482
Nico SturmMIN · C
0.8
0.3
0.4
2.9
0.0
4.2
1.4
0.8
3
483
Cole SchwindtFLA · C
0.7
0.3
0.3
2.5
0.0
3.5
1.2
0.2
3
484
Lukas ReichelBOS · L
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.1
0.1
1.0
1.4
0.6
3
485
Jamie DrysdalePHI · D
1.1
0.3
0.8
3.8
0.4
0.8
3.9
1.3
3
486
Gavin BrindleyCOL · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.3
0.0
2.0
0.8
0.4
3
487
Daniil ButUTA · L29 sample
0.8
0.3
0.4
4.5
0.3
1.7
1.9
0.8
3
488
Josh SamanskiEDM · C29 sample
0.7
0.3
0.3
1.3
0.0
3.2
1.5
1.1
3
489
Berkly CattonSEA · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.6
0.1
0.4
1.4
1.4
3
490
Lars EllerFLA · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.7
0.0
2.4
1.5
0.9
3
491
Drew DoughtyLAK · D
1.3
0.3
1.0
4.4
0.3
2.9
3.8
1.7
3
492
Vinnie HinostrozaCOL · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.4
0.1
2.1
1.2
1.3
3
493
Noah GregorWPG · L
0.6
0.3
0.3
4.1
0.1
4.7
1.4
1.6
3
494
Angus CrookshankFLA · C29 sample
0.5
0.3
0.2
2.8
0.0
3.1
2.2
1.0
3
495
Joel KivirantaDAL · L
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.1
0.0
4.5
1.2
0.7
3
496
Cole SmithCHI · R
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.1
0.0
8.8
1.1
2.4
3
497
Olen ZellwegerBUF · D
0.9
0.3
0.6
5.0
0.2
1.4
3.4
1.2
3
498
Marc GatcombVGK · C
0.5
0.3
0.2
3.3
0.0
11.6
1.6
0.7
3
499
Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET · D
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.0
0.3
0.8
2.4
0.8
3
500
Mattias EkholmEDM · D
1.5
0.3
1.2
5.4
0.2
2.8
4.5
1.3
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.