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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by assists.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
451
Kevin HayesPIT · R
31.4
14.7
16.7
146.6
6.2
68.5
21.0
17.5
82
452
Christian WolaninCOL · D25 sample
22.0
5.3
16.7
89.8
5.2
47.0
69.3
25.6
82
453
Stefan NoesenNJD · R
31.8
15.2
16.6
135.3
11.5
117.3
28.1
60.0
82
454
Mathieu JosephEDM · R
22.7
6.1
16.6
86.9
0.3
166.8
53.8
35.4
82
455
Dylan SambergWPG · D
19.5
2.9
16.6
105.0
0.5
73.8
140.1
26.8
82
456
Dillon DubeSTL · C
29.3
12.7
16.6
122.4
3.1
102.5
27.2
28.8
82
457
Brett PesceNJD · D
20.1
3.5
16.6
117.6
0.6
30.7
156.7
27.3
82
458
Jack McBainUTA · C
27.4
10.8
16.6
100.1
0.9
287.3
48.2
80.7
82
459
Frank VatranoANA · R
35.2
18.7
16.6
197.0
6.5
145.1
61.0
72.0
82
460
Pavel MintyukovANA · D
23.5
7.0
16.5
92.5
3.2
66.4
117.2
22.6
82
461
Sammy BlaisOTT · L
24.8
8.3
16.5
68.6
0.4
291.2
40.9
42.0
82
462
Matt KierstedMIN · D38 sample
19.0
2.6
16.4
59.2
0.7
36.7
97.7
17.4
82
463
Derrick PouliotCHI · D24 sample
19.9
3.5
16.4
79.9
2.1
85.5
84.8
30.9
82
464
Ville KoivunenPIT · R
20.4
4.0
16.4
84.0
10.4
12.5
35.1
23.3
82
465
Danton HeinenCBJ · L
28.1
11.7
16.3
95.5
1.3
91.2
41.6
28.4
82
466
Blake LizottePIT · C
27.4
11.1
16.3
79.1
0.4
84.5
44.4
38.3
82
467
Brandon SaadVGK · L
29.0
12.7
16.3
137.4
2.7
21.2
24.8
16.3
82
468
Jakob PelletierTBL · L
25.9
9.6
16.3
91.1
1.1
82.8
35.3
13.9
82
469
Chris TanevTOR · D
19.0
2.8
16.2
57.3
0.2
39.9
199.1
22.1
82
470
Evgenii DadonovNJD · L
30.0
13.9
16.1
110.7
4.5
49.4
40.3
11.3
82
471
Jalen ChatfieldCAR · D
21.0
4.9
16.1
113.3
0.1
59.6
80.4
36.9
82
472
Louie BelpedioWSH · D12 sample
29.9
13.7
16.1
94.1
2.0
107.2
109.1
9.9
82
473
Justin HryckowianDAL · C
28.9
12.8
16.1
82.5
4.6
132.5
46.0
39.4
82
474
Trevor van RiemsdykPIT · D
18.6
2.6
16.0
68.6
0.1
16.2
132.6
25.8
82
475
Kaedan KorczakPIT · D
18.4
2.3
16.0
62.8
0.2
115.9
91.4
20.1
82
476
Hendrix LapierrePIT · C
21.2
5.2
16.0
62.8
0.7
51.8
30.5
27.7
82
477
Radek FaksaDAL · C
21.2
5.2
16.0
68.7
0.1
122.9
60.8
31.0
82
478
Alexander RomanovNYI · D
20.2
4.2
15.9
115.3
0.1
182.1
181.3
29.5
82
479
Jack DruryNSH · C
26.1
10.2
15.9
105.1
1.6
50.5
51.4
30.3
82
480
Conor ShearyBUF · L
25.6
9.7
15.9
107.8
3.0
34.0
46.5
20.0
82
481
Louis CrevierBUF · D
22.9
7.0
15.9
108.9
0.1
136.2
107.8
56.4
82
482
Kirby DachMTL · C
32.2
16.4
15.8
110.0
6.7
126.5
53.2
66.8
82
483
Drew HellesonANA · D
19.4
3.6
15.8
65.3
0.1
103.6
98.3
38.9
82
484
Nick PaulTOR · L
33.2
17.4
15.8
133.6
5.4
116.8
39.5
40.5
82
485
Fraser MintenBOS · C
31.0
15.2
15.7
112.1
2.9
150.3
49.8
17.9
82
486
Anton BlidhNYR · L
18.4
2.7
15.7
79.4
0.9
171.8
19.4
27.2
82
487
Logan StanleyBUF · D
22.0
6.3
15.7
88.6
0.7
123.6
96.4
138.6
82
488
Ryan WintertonSEA · C
20.1
4.4
15.7
104.7
0.1
93.1
40.1
17.5
82
489
Johnathan KovacevicNJD · D
17.7
2.0
15.7
75.3
0.1
114.8
96.9
72.9
82
490
Jack ThompsonVAN · D34 sample
25.9
10.3
15.6
109.8
7.6
39.1
135.8
26.1
82
491
Alex TurcotteLAK · C
21.7
6.2
15.6
87.6
0.5
66.2
43.1
26.2
82
492
Brian DumoulinLAK · D
18.3
2.7
15.6
67.0
0.1
62.4
99.0
19.9
82
493
Radko GudasFLA · D
18.4
2.9
15.5
96.2
0.7
267.7
152.3
101.5
82
494
Juuso VälimäkiCAR · D
19.1
3.6
15.5
84.2
4.3
61.1
99.8
30.4
82
495
Tyler MyersDAL · D
18.5
3.0
15.5
101.5
0.4
107.6
143.9
69.2
82
496
Declan ChisholmNJD · D
19.0
3.5
15.4
76.8
2.8
38.4
80.8
16.9
82
497
Luca Del Bel BelluzCBJ · C30 sample
20.6
5.1
15.4
79.6
2.2
22.4
60.6
16.2
82
498
Donovan SebrangoFLA · D
15.8
0.3
15.4
64.5
0.2
145.8
61.2
127.6
82
499
Andrew MangiapaneCHI · L
29.0
13.5
15.4
102.7
2.3
85.4
34.8
46.5
82
500
Justin DanforthBUF · R
27.0
11.6
15.4
112.3
0.9
145.3
61.1
27.6
82

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.