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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by hits.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
101
Brayden SchennNYI · C1.44×
45.7
19.0
26.7
135.8
9.6
182.6
46.8
69.9
82
102
Zack OstapchukSJS · C0.75×
8.6
4.3
4.4
54.7
0.1
182.3
38.2
62.1
82
103
Alexander RomanovNYI · D1.18×
20.2
4.2
15.9
115.3
0.1
182.1
181.3
29.5
82
104
Jansen HarkinsTBL · C1.20×
12.5
5.0
7.5
70.2
0.1
181.8
43.7
39.1
82
105
Dylan HollowaySTL · L1.10×
59.8
26.0
33.8
189.8
10.1
181.7
52.7
25.9
82
106
Steven LorentzTOR · C1.35×
18.8
7.7
11.2
80.9
0.1
181.7
52.0
16.3
82
107
Jacob TroubaSJS · D1.18×
27.4
6.9
20.5
156.6
1.0
181.1
179.7
51.7
82
108
Zack MacEwenTOR · C1.14×
11.0
5.7
5.2
90.0
0.2
180.8
31.1
98.5
82
109
Neal PionkWPG · D1.29×
32.1
7.1
25.0
149.0
8.3
180.7
119.7
57.6
82
110
Marco KasperDET · C1.30×
25.8
12.7
13.1
139.5
2.8
180.6
51.5
34.3
82
111
Luke KuninFLA · C0.97×
17.2
8.8
8.4
93.0
1.3
179.1
68.6
68.3
82
112
Carson MeyerBUF · R1.10×
14.7
5.6
9.1
81.6
1.1
179.0
25.5
24.5
82
113
Joe VelenoNYR · C1.09×
14.6
6.2
8.4
76.0
1.1
178.9
40.7
22.7
82
114
Brandon DuhaimeTOR · R1.25×
13.9
6.6
7.3
76.8
0.1
178.9
56.3
83.0
82
115
Erik CernakTBL · D1.32×
17.3
3.5
13.8
75.8
0.1
178.5
123.3
75.3
82
116
Cole ReinhardtFLA · L1.43×
19.7
11.6
8.1
68.4
0.1
178.0
21.3
34.8
82
117
Cale FleurySEA · D1.53×
10.1
2.9
7.2
82.1
0.3
176.4
126.3
19.0
82
118
J.T. MillerNYR · C1.24×
76.3
25.2
51.1
177.3
26.7
176.3
49.6
50.2
82
119
Brennan OthmannCGY · L1.30×
11.5
5.6
5.9
72.5
2.8
176.2
32.5
32.2
82
120
Jake NeighboursSTL · L1.30×
43.0
20.1
22.9
115.0
10.2
175.7
46.8
51.6
82
121
Joshua BrownEDM · D1.15×
12.4
3.8
8.7
75.0
0.3
174.7
135.2
100.1
82
122
Kaiden GuhleMTL · D1.32×
26.5
5.3
21.3
89.2
0.1
173.7
162.1
95.4
82
123
Sam BennettFLA · C1.44×
59.4
28.7
30.8
230.1
14.4
173.4
40.6
99.6
82
124
Jayden StrubleMTL · D0.98×
15.3
2.8
12.5
49.4
0.1
172.9
57.1
80.4
82
125
Bobby McMannSEA · C1.07×
42.3
25.6
16.8
184.4
5.6
172.7
27.3
46.0
82
126
Anton BlidhNYR · L1.21×
18.4
2.7
15.7
79.4
0.9
171.8
19.4
27.2
82
127
Jason PolinBUF · R13 sample
7.5
4.4
3.0
48.5
1.0
171.7
48.4
10.4
82
128
Scott LaughtonLAK · C1.16×
29.5
14.2
15.4
133.4
2.4
171.4
56.0
42.2
82
129
Matthew KniesTOR · L1.10×
60.2
24.6
35.6
146.7
13.3
171.1
37.2
36.7
82
130
Dylan McIlrathWSH · D0.96×
6.0
0.6
5.5
40.1
0.3
170.5
62.1
95.5
82
131
Casey CizikasNYI · C1.35×
19.4
9.3
10.1
89.8
0.4
170.3
63.1
34.8
82
132
Andre LeeLAK · L26 sample
18.5
7.8
10.7
73.0
0.5
169.8
41.3
28.0
82
133
Josh AndersonMTL · R1.42×
27.2
16.0
11.1
120.4
0.6
169.7
46.1
101.4
82
134
Boone JennerWSH · C1.26×
49.6
20.4
29.1
185.9
6.5
168.0
81.2
46.6
82
135
Blake ColemanMIN · L1.11×
42.3
21.6
20.7
202.1
2.4
167.5
58.3
54.7
82
136
Ryan LombergCBJ · L1.49×
13.1
5.6
7.5
80.7
0.2
167.2
22.9
79.4
82
137
Mathieu JosephEDM · R1.08×
22.7
6.1
16.6
86.9
0.3
166.8
53.8
35.4
82
138
MacKenzie EntwistleFLA · R0.94×
14.5
6.2
8.3
73.7
0.6
166.6
38.1
43.0
82
139
Moritz SeiderDET · D1.52×
52.5
9.0
43.5
170.6
24.4
165.8
183.7
49.9
82
140
John HaydenSEA · C1.40×
8.5
4.6
4.0
82.9
0.4
165.5
63.0
105.1
82
141
Ben JonesCGY · C1.04×
6.7
2.3
4.5
77.2
0.2
165.4
33.8
10.9
82
142
Walker DuehrWPG · R0.80×
14.2
7.1
7.1
67.5
0.3
165.3
39.2
6.9
82
143
Conor GeekieTBL · C1.13×
20.0
9.4
10.6
80.3
2.0
165.3
39.8
35.5
82
144
Connor DewarPIT · C1.27×
26.0
12.6
13.4
105.7
0.1
163.5
49.4
25.0
82
145
Peyton KrebsBUF · C1.13×
33.1
10.5
22.6
85.4
1.3
163.4
36.1
75.0
82
146
Jesper BoqvistNJD · C1.14×
19.8
8.2
11.6
78.3
0.7
163.3
32.4
14.8
82
147
Dennis GilbertBUF · D1.21×
14.5
1.2
13.3
33.5
0.2
163.1
104.6
88.5
82
148
Zachary BolducMTL · R1.08×
33.2
14.8
18.4
110.4
7.5
162.4
42.1
44.8
82
149
Jordan GreenwayCHI · L1.09×
19.4
7.1
12.4
86.2
0.8
162.2
53.9
67.3
82
150
Tim BerniCBJ · D1.40×
8.2
2.9
5.3
86.5
1.0
161.3
98.6
46.4
82

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.