ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
501
Vinnie HinostrozaCOL · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.4
0.1
2.1
1.2
1.3
3
502
Matt RoyWSH · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.9
0.0
4.9
5.7
0.8
3
503
Nils HoglanderNSH · L
0.8
0.4
0.5
3.5
0.0
3.6
0.8
1.1
3
504
Alex VlasicCHI · D
0.8
0.1
0.8
3.3
0.1
1.6
5.0
0.7
3
505
Juuso ParssinenNYR · C
0.8
0.4
0.5
2.5
0.1
4.7
1.5
1.2
3
506
Brendan BrissonNYR · C27 sample
0.8
0.2
0.7
3.0
0.1
2.4
0.7
0.2
3
507
Ryker EvansSEA · D
0.8
0.3
0.6
2.3
0.1
3.3
3.7
1.6
3
508
Hunter McKownMTL · C12 sample
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.9
0.1
3.3
1.7
1.8
3
509
Max SassonVAN · C
0.8
0.5
0.3
2.9
0.0
1.5
1.6
1.0
3
510
Olli MaattaMIN · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.5
0.0
1.2
4.5
0.5
3
511
Matt GrzelcykCHI · D
0.8
0.0
0.8
3.2
0.2
1.6
3.0
1.2
3
512
Morgan BarronWPG · C
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.0
0.0
5.6
1.7
1.1
3
513
Louis CrevierBUF · D
0.8
0.3
0.6
4.0
0.0
5.0
4.0
2.1
3
514
Fabian LysellCOL · R12 sample
0.8
0.3
0.6
5.2
0.3
1.6
0.8
1.5
3
515
Nick CousinsOTT · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.4
0.0
5.9
1.5
2.9
3
516
Nate SchmidtUTA · D
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.1
3.0
3.3
0.8
3
517
Miles WoodCBJ · L
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.9
0.0
4.0
1.1
2.4
3
518
Mathieu JosephEDM · R
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.0
6.1
2.0
1.3
3
519
Michael EyssimontBOS · C
0.8
0.4
0.4
5.7
0.1
4.0
1.1
2.3
3
520
Trey Fix-WolanskyVAN · R26 sample
0.8
0.5
0.3
4.9
0.1
3.3
2.0
0.6
3
521
Martin PospisilCGY · C
0.8
0.2
0.6
4.0
0.1
11.2
1.0
3.3
3
522
Bradly NadeauCAR · L15 sample
0.8
0.7
0.2
3.9
0.2
4.9
1.4
0.5
3
523
Nick BjugstadNJD · C
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.7
0.1
5.2
1.6
1.5
3
524
Colton SissonsTOR · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.5
0.1
5.2
2.4
1.1
3
525
Nikita ZadorovBOS · D
0.8
0.2
0.7
4.0
0.0
7.5
3.6
5.7
3
526
Henri JokiharjuBOS · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.2
0.1
2.6
3.0
0.9
3
527
Rutger McGroartyPIT · R32 sample
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.6
0.0
3.4
1.2
0.5
3
528
Sandis VilmanisFLA · L19 sample
0.8
0.5
0.3
2.5
0.0
5.9
0.9
0.7
3
529
Brayden McNabbVGK · D
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.5
0.0
5.5
6.7
1.5
3
530
Nick JensenANA · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.6
0.0
2.4
3.8
0.7
3
531
Noel AcciariPHI · C
0.8
0.4
0.4
3.7
0.0
5.4
3.3
1.1
3
532
Christian WolaninCOL · D25 sample
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.3
0.2
1.7
2.5
0.9
3
533
Timothy LiljegrenWSH · D
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.4
0.2
3.2
5.2
1.6
3
534
Adam WilsbyNSH · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.3
0.0
1.6
2.4
1.4
3
535
Logan StanleyBUF · D
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.0
4.5
3.5
5.1
3
536
Alex TurcotteLAK · C
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.0
2.4
1.6
1.0
3
537
Fedor SvechkovCOL · C
0.8
0.3
0.6
3.2
0.1
2.4
1.3
0.9
3
538
Joel NystromCAR · D38 sample
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.4
0.0
0.9
1.8
0.5
3
539
Sean KuralyBOS · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.8
0.0
4.8
1.7
1.6
3
540
Mike ReillyCAR · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
5.0
0.1
1.6
2.6
1.5
3
541
Lassi ThomsonOTT · D30 sample
0.8
0.0
0.8
3.1
0.2
1.9
2.6
0.2
3
542
Dylan DeMeloWPG · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.9
0.0
4.8
4.1
1.5
3
543
Radek FaksaDAL · C
0.8
0.2
0.6
2.5
0.0
4.5
2.2
1.1
3
544
Tanner JeannotBOS · L
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.1
0.0
9.8
2.0
3.2
3
545
Elmer SoderblomPIT · L
0.8
0.4
0.4
3.9
0.0
5.2
1.0
1.0
3
546
Hendrix LapierrePIT · C
0.8
0.2
0.6
2.3
0.0
1.9
1.1
1.0
3
547
Liam OhgrenVAN · L
0.8
0.3
0.4
3.9
0.0
3.0
1.7
0.1
3
548
Zayne ParekhCGY · D38 sample
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.0
0.5
1.3
2.4
0.7
3
549
Berkly CattonSEA · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.6
0.1
0.4
1.4
1.4
3
550
Lars EllerFLA · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.7
0.0
2.4
1.5
0.9
3

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.