ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
551
0.5
0.3
0.3
2.4
0.0
5.1
0.9
1.4
3
552
0.7
0.3
0.5
3.1
0.0
5.9
2.0
2.5
3
553
1.2
0.3
0.9
5.5
0.3
6.6
4.4
2.1
3
554
0.6
0.3
0.4
3.4
0.0
6.8
2.3
1.2
3
555
0.5
0.3
0.3
2.8
0.0
4.6
0.7
0.7
3
556
1.2
0.3
0.9
3.6
0.1
1.5
3.8
0.6
3
557
0.8
0.3
0.6
4.0
0.0
5.0
4.0
2.1
3
558
1.1
0.3
0.8
3.1
0.3
1.4
4.0
0.8
3
559
0.5
0.3
0.3
2.5
0.0
6.0
1.4
0.3
3
560
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.7
0.1
4.1
2.5
2.1
3
561
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.4
0.1
2.4
4.3
0.8
3
562
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.0
0.3
2.9
5.4
0.6
3
563
1.4
0.3
1.2
3.7
0.4
0.6
3.3
0.6
3
564
0.9
0.3
0.7
4.2
0.0
4.7
5.8
1.5
3
565
1.0
0.3
0.8
5.7
0.0
6.6
6.6
1.9
3
566
0.8
0.3
0.5
4.0
0.0
1.6
3.3
1.1
3
567
1.4
0.3
1.1
5.1
0.4
4.5
4.0
2.7
3
568
1.4
0.3
1.2
6.0
0.4
1.4
2.9
1.8
3
569
0.7
0.3
0.5
4.0
0.0
8.8
1.3
5.3
3
570
0.9
0.3
0.6
5.8
0.0
5.2
4.3
2.0
3
571
1.2
0.3
1.0
3.5
0.1
4.2
3.1
4.6
3
572
0.9
0.3
0.7
4.9
0.0
0.9
1.3
0.5
3
573
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.3
0.0
4.4
3.3
1.6
3
574
0.9
0.3
0.7
3.4
0.0
5.7
0.9
0.7
3
575
1.3
0.3
1.0
4.4
0.1
1.2
3.7
0.6
3
576
0.5
0.3
0.2
2.0
0.0
8.3
1.0
2.7
3
577
0.8
0.3
0.6
3.2
0.1
2.4
1.3
0.9
3
578
1.6
0.2
1.3
6.1
0.6
2.4
4.1
1.6
3
579
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.7
0.0
11.4
2.7
3.1
3
580
1.2
0.2
0.9
5.5
0.1
2.8
3.7
1.4
3
581
1.3
0.2
1.1
5.5
0.3
2.0
4.8
0.6
3
582
0.7
0.2
0.4
3.2
0.0
2.8
5.2
1.5
3
583
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.8
0.0
6.5
2.1
3.0
3
584
0.6
0.2
0.4
2.9
0.0
3.1
1.5
0.7
3
585
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.4
0.1
5.2
1.0
0.9
3
586
0.7
0.2
0.4
3.1
0.0
4.6
1.4
1.2
3
587
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.6
0.0
5.5
2.5
2.8
3
588
1.2
0.2
1.0
4.6
0.2
1.3
4.3
2.4
3
589
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.3
0.0
6.9
1.6
0.9
3
590
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.2
0.0
3.5
1.7
1.4
3
591
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.7
0.0
9.4
2.8
1.3
3
592
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.0
4.5
3.5
5.1
3
593
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.7
0.0
6.1
1.4
1.6
3
594
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.8
0.0
6.5
1.5
0.8
3
595
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.0
2.4
1.6
1.0
3
596
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.6
0.1
2.5
3.9
1.9
3
597
0.7
0.2
0.4
2.9
0.1
10.8
1.4
2.5
3
598
0.8
0.2
0.5
3.6
0.2
3.7
2.3
1.4
3
599
1.0
0.2
0.8
2.9
0.5
1.2
2.1
1.6
3
600
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.4
0.0
5.2
2.1
1.3
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.