ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by pim.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by pim

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
151
Vince DunnSEA · D4.07×
1.8
0.5
1.4
6.4
0.7
1.6
3.3
2.2
3
152
Dylan CozensOTT · C4.88×
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.3
0.7
7.1
1.1
2.1
3
153
Logan MaillouxSTL · D3.13×
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.7
0.1
4.1
2.5
2.1
3
154
Adam BeckmanCOL · L23 sample
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.5
0.1
2.9
1.1
2.1
3
155
Erik HaulaLAK · L2.56×
1.3
0.5
0.8
5.0
0.3
4.4
1.8
2.1
3
156
Jake McCabeTOR · D4.33×
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.1
0.0
5.2
6.6
2.1
3
157
Nick SeelerPHI · D6.83×
0.5
0.1
0.4
3.4
0.0
5.0
6.5
2.1
3
158
Kris LetangPIT · D3.02×
1.5
0.3
1.2
5.4
0.4
4.6
4.1
2.1
3
159
Neal PionkWPG · D3.29×
1.2
0.3
0.9
5.5
0.3
6.6
4.4
2.1
3
160
Vasily PodkolzinEDM · R6.07×
1.2
0.6
0.7
4.5
0.1
8.9
1.8
2.1
3
161
Nicolas HagueNSH · D4.71×
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.3
0.0
4.2
3.4
2.1
3
162
Beckett SenneckeANA · R1.80×
2.1
0.9
1.2
7.3
0.5
3.6
0.9
2.1
3
163
Will CuylleNYR · L4.14×
1.4
0.7
0.7
5.4
0.2
10.7
2.0
2.1
3
164
Louis CrevierBUF · D4.92×
0.8
0.3
0.6
4.0
0.0
5.0
4.0
2.1
3
165
Alex SteevesBOS · C5.79×
1.0
0.6
0.5
3.8
0.2
9.8
1.7
2.1
3
166
William LagessonDET · D2.93×
0.4
0.0
0.4
2.0
0.0
4.7
3.6
2.0
3
167
Ryan LindgrenSEA · D3.09×
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.4
0.0
2.9
4.7
2.0
3
168
Barrett HaytonUTA · C3.98×
1.3
0.5
0.8
5.5
0.4
1.6
1.4
2.0
3
169
Easton CowanTOR · R7.27×
1.3
0.5
0.8
4.2
0.3
3.3
1.5
2.0
3
170
Jan JenikLAK · C22 sample
0.6
0.2
0.4
2.4
0.1
4.0
2.1
2.0
3
171
Adrian KempeLAK · R2.81×
2.7
1.3
1.4
8.7
0.6
4.5
1.4
2.0
3
172
Jonathan AspirotBOS · D2.54×
0.7
0.1
0.5
2.4
0.1
4.3
4.2
2.0
3
173
Brandt ClarkeLAK · D3.56×
1.4
0.3
1.1
5.4
0.4
1.1
6.0
2.0
3
174
Blake ColemanMIN · L3.15×
1.6
0.8
0.8
7.4
0.1
6.1
2.1
2.0
3
175
Marcus PetterssonNYR · D2.59×
0.9
0.1
0.7
2.8
0.0
3.4
5.2
2.0
3
176
Kevin BahlCGY · D4.55×
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.6
0.0
4.7
4.0
2.0
3
177
Simon BenoitPHI · D3.29×
0.3
0.0
0.3
2.4
0.0
8.5
4.7
2.0
3
178
Ethan Del MastroCHI · D6.67×
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.7
0.0
3.8
3.1
2.0
3
179
Erik GudbransonCBJ · D6.31×
0.6
0.1
0.4
3.3
0.0
4.0
5.3
2.0
3
180
Max JonesEDM · L3.43×
0.7
0.3
0.3
3.4
0.0
7.3
0.7
2.0
3
181
Sean WalkerCAR · D2.25×
0.9
0.3
0.6
5.8
0.0
5.2
4.3
2.0
3
182
Brandon TanevUTA · L5.07×
0.5
0.2
0.3
3.0
0.0
7.8
2.7
2.0
3
183
Casey FitzgeraldFLA · D5.72×
0.5
0.1
0.5
2.6
0.0
5.1
2.0
2.0
3
184
Anthony ManthaNJD · R3.40×
2.0
1.0
1.0
5.3
0.4
2.5
1.5
1.9
3
185
Keegan KolesarDET · R4.81×
0.7
0.3
0.4
2.6
0.0
10.1
1.6
1.9
3
186
Damon SeversonCBJ · D2.51×
1.3
0.3
0.9
4.0
0.1
1.8
3.9
1.9
3
187
J.J. MoserTBL · D4.18×
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.6
0.1
2.5
3.9
1.9
3
188
Ty DellandreaSJS · C2.91×
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.0
0.0
7.1
2.0
1.9
3
189
Artem ZubOTT · D2.04×
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.3
0.0
3.4
4.9
1.9
3
190
Alex TuchWSH · R4.00×
2.4
1.2
1.2
7.7
0.4
3.3
3.5
1.9
3
191
Parker WotherspoonVGK · D3.96×
0.9
0.1
0.8
2.5
0.0
5.8
4.2
1.9
3
192
Ryan LeonardWSH · R2.91×
1.6
0.7
0.9
6.0
0.5
5.0
1.1
1.9
3
193
Darren RaddyshTOR · D4.12×
2.1
0.6
1.5
6.9
0.7
2.8
2.9
1.9
3
194
Dominik ShineDET · R27 sample
0.5
0.4
0.1
2.2
0.0
3.0
1.1
1.9
3
195
Josh NorrisBUF · C3.17×
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.3
0.6
4.3
1.9
1.9
3
196
Steven StamkosNSH · C2.19×
2.5
1.4
1.1
7.7
1.0
3.2
1.5
1.9
3
197
Mark ScheifeleWPG · C5.98×
3.4
1.3
2.1
6.5
0.8
2.0
1.8
1.9
3
198
Jacob TroubaSJS · D3.87×
1.0
0.3
0.8
5.7
0.0
6.6
6.6
1.9
3
199
Riley StillmanEDM · D3.42×
0.4
0.1
0.3
1.9
0.0
5.3
2.6
1.9
3
200
Jake NeighboursSTL · L3.51×
1.6
0.7
0.8
4.2
0.4
6.4
1.7
1.9
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.36. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.