ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by points.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
351
1.2
0.7
0.5
6.0
0.0
2.1
2.1
0.9
3
352
1.2
0.2
0.9
2.9
0.0
1.7
5.4
0.8
3
353
1.2
0.3
0.9
5.5
0.3
6.6
4.4
2.1
3
354
1.2
0.5
0.7
3.5
0.2
1.9
0.8
0.7
3
355
1.2
0.6
0.5
4.9
0.1
2.9
1.4
0.5
3
356
1.2
0.6
0.6
5.0
0.4
4.3
1.0
2.2
3
357
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.7
0.0
4.3
1.9
1.4
3
358
1.2
0.2
0.9
5.5
0.1
2.8
3.7
1.4
3
359
1.2
0.7
0.5
4.3
0.1
1.1
2.2
0.8
3
360
1.2
0.5
0.7
3.4
0.1
1.2
3.8
0.6
3
361
1.2
1.0
0.2
5.1
0.4
6.9
1.0
2.3
3
362
1.1
0.5
0.6
5.4
0.2
2.5
0.8
0.6
3
363
1.1
0.3
0.9
4.9
0.2
1.4
5.0
1.1
3
364
1.1
0.4
0.8
4.2
0.1
2.1
4.3
1.5
3
365
1.1
0.6
0.5
5.1
0.1
4.8
0.7
1.2
3
366
1.1
0.3
0.9
5.5
0.1
1.9
3.7
0.7
3
367
1.1
0.4
0.7
4.0
0.3
0.7
1.3
1.5
3
368
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.9
0.0
4.2
1.6
1.5
3
369
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.4
0.0
4.9
1.0
1.0
3
370
1.1
0.4
0.7
4.6
0.3
2.7
1.4
0.7
3
371
1.1
0.3
0.9
3.4
0.3
1.6
0.8
1.1
3
372
1.1
0.6
0.5
5.9
0.1
3.5
1.1
1.1
3
373
1.1
0.6
0.5
4.2
0.0
10.2
2.4
4.8
3
374
1.1
0.2
0.9
3.4
0.1
3.6
4.8
0.7
3
375
1.1
0.6
0.6
4.1
0.1
5.5
1.8
0.7
3
376
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.8
0.2
1.6
2.2
0.4
3
377
1.1
0.6
0.6
4.4
0.2
4.6
1.5
1.7
3
378
1.1
0.4
0.8
3.3
0.1
3.0
1.2
1.1
3
379
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.5
0.2
3.5
2.2
0.6
3
380
1.1
0.2
0.9
3.9
0.1
2.7
2.7
0.8
3
381
1.1
0.3
0.8
3.6
0.0
1.2
1.2
1.0
3
382
1.1
0.6
0.6
4.2
0.2
2.4
2.1
0.9
3
383
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.8
0.0
6.8
2.2
1.6
3
384
1.1
0.8
0.3
4.2
0.0
5.3
2.7
1.4
3
385
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.4
0.3
3.0
0.8
0.2
3
386
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.6
0.2
7.6
1.6
2.2
3
387
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.0
0.2
1.8
1.5
0.4
3
388
1.1
0.5
0.6
5.2
0.2
3.5
1.0
1.7
3
389
1.1
0.2
0.9
4.8
0.0
7.2
3.8
3.1
3
390
1.1
0.3
0.8
3.8
0.4
0.8
3.9
1.3
3
391
1.1
0.3
0.8
3.1
0.3
1.4
4.0
0.8
3
392
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.3
0.1
2.7
1.6
1.3
3
393
1.1
0.7
0.4
4.2
0.2
4.2
0.9
0.8
3
394
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.4
0.3
4.8
1.5
0.2
3
395
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.4
0.1
3.9
4.0
0.4
3
396
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.1
0.1
4.1
1.0
0.5
3
397
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.7
0.2
3.8
1.8
1.6
3
398
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.9
0.1
6.3
2.0
1.5
3
399
1.1
0.6
0.5
4.6
0.1
2.2
1.7
1.3
3
400
1.1
0.3
0.7
3.0
0.2
3.5
1.2
1.1
3

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.