ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by pim.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by pim

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
51
45.2
15.8
29.3
139.3
5.9
51.0
32.4
88.9
82
52
9.0
1.8
7.2
60.3
0.7
200.9
102.6
88.6
82
53
14.5
1.2
13.3
33.5
0.2
163.1
104.6
88.5
82
54
21.4
8.2
13.3
85.5
1.0
267.2
56.0
88.0
82
55
9.4
2.5
6.9
68.5
0.2
101.1
42.7
87.8
82
56
9.7
1.1
8.6
48.5
0.1
150.0
130.8
86.4
82
57
97.2
33.4
63.8
215.3
39.4
65.1
48.5
86.3
82
58
30.1
5.5
24.6
129.9
0.3
196.8
102.7
86.2
82
59
32.4
8.3
24.1
66.6
0.6
108.5
49.4
85.9
82
60
59.2
11.6
47.6
143.2
19.9
130.8
154.4
85.5
82
61
14.0
6.5
7.5
74.7
0.1
310.5
72.7
84.5
82
62
12.7
8.2
4.5
82.5
3.4
132.2
45.0
83.3
82
63
11.3
3.6
7.7
72.9
0.1
221.8
40.2
83.2
82
64
13.9
6.6
7.3
76.8
0.1
178.9
56.3
83.0
82
65
17.1
3.4
13.7
59.9
0.1
207.0
106.6
82.8
82
66
20.2
2.2
18.0
108.4
0.2
95.8
72.0
82.4
82
67
27.4
10.8
16.6
100.1
0.9
287.3
48.2
80.7
82
68
15.3
2.8
12.5
49.4
0.1
172.9
57.1
80.4
82
69
74.0
33.9
40.1
213.4
25.3
88.2
33.2
79.7
82
70
13.1
5.6
7.5
80.7
0.2
167.2
22.9
79.4
82
71
22.6
8.6
14.0
92.5
0.2
160.6
40.4
78.7
82
72
75.5
19.9
55.6
220.2
24.7
102.5
102.7
78.6
82
73
18.3
8.8
9.5
86.8
0.2
136.5
39.3
78.5
82
74
10.9
1.3
9.6
78.9
0.7
143.3
13.6
78.2
82
75
29.2
9.2
20.0
95.5
0.8
102.3
159.7
78.1
82
76
35.0
13.4
21.5
130.9
4.8
124.9
53.9
78.0
82
77
65.5
29.0
36.5
214.3
24.9
190.8
22.8
77.5
82
78
14.8
3.1
11.7
72.5
0.1
114.8
84.3
76.9
82
79
18.6
9.6
9.0
104.4
2.3
236.3
40.8
76.2
82
80
35.6
18.8
16.9
119.0
11.8
49.6
23.9
76.0
82
81
13.9
6.3
7.6
71.9
0.2
150.1
67.2
75.4
82
82
17.3
3.5
13.8
75.8
0.1
178.5
123.3
75.3
82
83
55.6
18.1
37.5
146.0
14.1
84.7
48.6
75.2
82
84
33.1
10.5
22.6
85.4
1.3
163.4
36.1
75.0
82
85
45.5
21.9
23.5
193.0
8.2
80.4
82.8
74.1
82
86
75.0
25.5
49.5
194.0
26.6
38.3
36.9
74.1
82
87
36.8
6.7
30.1
138.7
9.9
124.0
110.0
73.9
82
88
12.8
6.8
6.0
55.9
0.1
228.1
26.5
73.4
82
89
13.0
6.0
7.0
56.0
0.1
259.7
59.6
73.3
82
90
71.2
27.2
44.0
191.8
13.9
118.4
40.7
73.2
82
91
17.7
2.0
15.7
75.3
0.1
114.8
96.9
72.9
82
92
11.2
2.2
9.0
53.9
0.2
203.1
38.3
72.5
82
93
35.2
18.7
16.6
197.0
6.5
145.1
61.0
72.0
82
94
14.9
3.0
11.9
69.9
0.1
252.0
127.1
71.3
82
95
11.9
4.8
7.2
75.6
0.2
418.1
30.2
71.0
82
96
7.0
2.9
4.0
65.0
0.2
107.0
74.2
71.0
82
97
49.1
18.3
30.8
130.2
12.1
127.5
41.3
71.0
82
98
15.2
2.8
12.4
75.6
0.1
93.6
113.0
70.6
82
99
16.7
4.7
12.0
91.5
0.3
156.1
101.3
70.1
82
100
45.7
19.0
26.7
135.8
9.6
182.6
46.8
69.9
82

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.36. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.