ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by hits.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
201
Sean WalkerCAR · D1.25×
24.1
6.8
17.2
157.3
0.7
141.0
117.0
53.8
82
202
Brendan GaunceBOS · C1.35×
17.3
6.0
11.2
93.1
0.2
140.9
57.0
34.4
82
203
Vinni LettieriTOR · C1.13×
17.4
9.6
7.7
126.7
1.2
140.9
49.5
29.3
82
204
Elmer SoderblomPIT · L1.31×
21.3
11.0
10.3
105.1
0.1
140.7
26.6
27.9
82
205
Keaton MiddletonCOL · D1.05×
8.2
0.6
7.7
79.0
0.3
139.7
68.0
61.9
82
206
Joel Eriksson EkMIN · C1.09×
59.4
24.7
34.7
246.0
19.6
139.6
50.4
44.3
82
207
Mason GeertsenBUF · L30 sample
5.0
1.9
3.1
36.2
1.1
139.4
13.7
187.6
82
208
Tyler TuckerSTL · D0.93×
18.4
4.5
13.8
77.7
0.1
139.0
67.3
102.5
82
209
Sam LaffertyFLA · C1.07×
14.1
7.2
7.0
64.7
0.1
139.0
24.0
37.8
82
210
Casey FitzgeraldFLA · D0.76×
14.4
2.0
12.4
70.4
1.2
138.4
55.3
53.5
82
211
Eric RobinsonCAR · L1.47×
26.1
13.1
13.1
108.4
0.1
138.3
18.3
19.0
82
212
Tomas NosekFLA · L1.13×
15.5
4.2
11.3
64.6
0.6
138.3
41.0
20.8
82
213
Jack FinleySTL · C1.17×
9.8
3.9
5.9
50.6
0.2
138.3
17.7
69.4
82
214
Ty EmbersonEDM · D1.12×
14.3
2.2
12.1
58.4
0.2
138.1
111.1
21.6
82
215
Tyler KlevenOTT · D1.25×
17.2
3.6
13.7
94.4
0.4
138.0
106.0
50.2
82
216
Will BorgenBOS · D1.28×
17.5
4.8
12.6
80.1
0.1
138.0
108.2
46.9
82
217
Drake BathersonOTT · R1.25×
69.7
30.7
39.1
185.2
29.0
137.8
27.3
37.6
82
218
Justin KirklandMIN · C1.29×
16.1
5.4
10.7
44.8
0.3
137.1
48.5
19.9
82
219
Zach WhitecloudCGY · D1.04×
17.3
3.3
14.1
74.7
0.1
137.1
136.0
38.0
82
220
Nick SeelerPHI · D1.27×
13.7
3.9
9.8
92.5
0.1
136.8
177.0
58.0
82
221
Mikey AndersonLAK · D1.30×
21.1
4.4
16.7
76.2
0.1
136.6
136.7
25.8
82
222
Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH · L1.18×
20.0
9.1
10.9
82.3
2.4
136.6
34.7
11.5
82
223
Sam CarrickBUF · C1.15×
18.3
8.8
9.5
86.8
0.2
136.5
39.3
78.5
82
224
Juraj SlafkovskýMTL · L1.15×
60.9
25.0
35.8
167.9
21.9
136.2
71.7
50.3
82
225
Louis CrevierBUF · D1.08×
22.9
7.0
15.9
108.9
0.1
136.2
107.8
56.4
82
226
Owen BeckMTL · C28 sample
7.3
4.3
2.9
65.2
0.4
136.1
48.0
24.0
82
227
Ronnie AttardDET · D29 sample
19.1
4.7
14.4
106.1
1.6
136.0
89.1
39.3
82
228
Philippe MyersTOR · D1.17×
7.3
1.8
5.6
95.4
0.1
135.8
100.2
41.8
82
229
Ryan LeonardWSH · R1.09×
45.1
20.1
25.0
164.1
13.7
135.6
28.9
52.4
82
230
Alexander NikishinCAR · D1.10×
28.4
9.1
19.3
112.1
8.2
135.4
85.1
31.2
82
231
Filip ForsbergNSH · L1.25×
77.9
38.3
39.6
268.6
26.6
135.3
40.4
37.6
82
232
Matt RoyWSH · D1.36×
23.1
3.3
19.9
107.0
0.3
135.0
156.4
21.7
82
233
Raphael LavoieVGK · C17 sample
4.5
1.7
2.9
75.4
1.0
134.0
10.7
19.7
82
234
Kasperi KapanenEDM · R1.30×
31.2
14.2
16.9
121.3
0.8
133.9
28.1
26.4
82
235
Ondrej PalatNYI · L1.22×
24.7
9.9
14.8
99.3
3.2
133.8
65.5
18.2
82
236
Bradly NadeauCAR · L15 sample
22.8
18.3
4.5
105.5
6.3
133.7
37.8
14.3
82
237
Tim StützleOTT · C1.36×
80.2
29.2
50.9
191.4
28.9
133.4
45.2
40.2
82
238
Justin BrazeauPIT · R1.28×
35.0
17.4
17.6
116.2
5.8
133.2
50.4
19.4
82
239
Justin HryckowianDAL · C1.19×
28.9
12.8
16.1
82.5
4.6
132.5
46.0
39.4
82
240
Nikita ChibrikovWPG · R16 sample
12.7
8.2
4.5
82.5
3.4
132.2
45.0
83.3
82
241
Dylan DeMeloWPG · D1.12×
21.4
3.3
18.1
79.8
0.2
131.9
113.1
40.8
82
242
Yanni GourdeTBL · C1.26×
33.5
9.9
23.6
118.6
1.1
131.3
41.1
68.8
82
243
Michael CarconeUTA · L1.26×
31.3
16.9
14.5
140.1
3.4
131.0
18.7
32.2
82
244
Sean KuralyBOS · C1.23×
21.6
7.6
14.0
103.9
0.1
130.9
46.8
44.2
82
245
Charlie McAvoyBOS · D1.60×
59.2
11.6
47.6
143.2
19.9
130.8
154.4
85.5
82
246
Emmitt FinnieDET · C1.34×
30.1
13.0
17.1
120.1
8.0
130.6
41.3
6.4
82
247
Marc Del GaizoNYR · D1.38×
17.8
3.7
14.2
129.9
0.3
130.4
93.2
35.9
82
248
Akil ThomasVAN · C32 sample
15.9
7.6
8.3
74.4
0.5
130.3
40.7
24.1
82
249
Juho LammikkoNJD · C1.25×
9.4
1.7
7.7
57.4
0.3
129.9
48.9
14.8
82
250
Nino NiederreiterWPG · R1.33×
33.0
15.8
17.2
141.8
7.6
129.6
33.3
28.5
82

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.