ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by hits.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
251
Radek FaksaRadek FaksaDAL · F1.09×
21.1
5.2
15.9
68.2
0.0
123.0
60.8
30.9
82
252
Kurtis MacDermidKurtis MacDermidOTT · F1.35×
4.5
1.2
3.3
27.2
0.0
122.6
29.0
121.2
82
253
Joel KivirantaJoel KivirantaCOL · F1.10×
16.1
8.3
7.8
83.2
0.0
122.3
32.0
18.4
82
254
Curtis DouglasCurtis DouglasVAN · F1.07×
7.6
1.9
5.7
55.3
0.0
122.0
22.9
205.9
82
255
Noah LabaNoah LabaNYR · F1.33×
26.6
10.0
16.6
80.9
5.5
121.9
47.6
34.4
82
256
Adrian KempeAdrian KempeLAK · F1.23×
74.2
36.0
38.2
237.8
17.6
121.8
38.4
55.1
82
257
Matthew RobertsonMatthew RobertsonNYR · D0.64×
20.2
6.7
13.5
89.9
0.0
121.3
90.4
42.7
82
258
Ilya LyubushkinIlya LyubushkinDAL · D1.34×
14.5
1.1
13.3
52.3
0.0
120.6
139.0
49.3
82
259
Erik HaulaErik HaulaNSH · F1.24×
35.5
14.4
21.1
137.6
8.6
120.4
49.1
58.2
82
260
Zach HymanZach HymanEDM · F2.60×
66.3
40.0
26.3
240.9
17.9
120.0
29.4
41.6
82
261
David PerronDavid PerronDET · F1.29×
40.2
18.6
21.6
138.4
13.3
119.1
25.7
47.6
82
262
Jonathan AspirotJonathan AspirotBOS · D0.91×
18.4
3.7
14.7
63.6
1.2
118.7
115.0
55.1
82
263
Travis KonecnyTravis KonecnyPHI · F1.35×
71.4
27.3
44.1
192.2
13.9
118.5
40.6
73.4
82
264
Josh NorrisJosh NorrisBUF · F1.08×
54.2
25.5
28.7
143.5
16.4
118.4
53.1
52.1
82
265
Charlie CoyleCharlie CoyleCBJ · F1.57×
49.6
19.0
30.6
134.6
10.0
118.2
57.9
22.5
82
266
Jordan MartinookJordan MartinookCAR · F1.38×
31.8
12.8
19.1
127.8
0.0
118.1
51.1
37.2
82
267
Morgan GeekieMorgan GeekieBOS · F1.31×
59.0
32.6
26.4
163.0
16.2
118.1
36.3
26.8
82
268
Stefan NoesenStefan NoesenNJD · F1.17×
31.8
15.2
16.6
135.3
11.5
117.4
27.7
60.2
82
269
Brett BerardBrett BerardNYR · F0.89×
13.4
8.1
5.4
106.2
0.0
117.0
51.1
26.9
82
270
Nicholas PaulNicholas PaulTBL · F1.56×
33.2
17.5
15.7
133.7
5.4
116.9
39.3
40.5
82
271
Michael RasmussenMichael RasmussenDET · F1.28×
23.4
10.4
13.0
97.7
1.4
116.5
74.8
25.4
82
272
Taylor MakarTaylor MakarCOL · F12 gm
0.0
0.0
0.0
47.8
0.0
116.2
6.8
27.3
82
273
Kaedan KorczakKaedan KorczakVGK · D1.10×
18.2
2.2
16.0
62.2
0.2
116.1
91.6
19.9
82
274
Charle-Edouard D'AstousCharle-Edouard D'AstousTBL · D1.04×
33.7
6.7
27.0
95.5
3.4
115.7
85.4
128.1
82
275
Nico SturmNico SturmMIN · F1.01×
20.7
8.8
11.9
78.4
0.0
115.6
39.3
22.0
82
276
Rickard RakellRickard RakellPIT · F1.08×
62.8
30.1
32.7
216.9
18.5
115.2
60.8
13.7
82
277
Brendan SmithBrendan SmithCBJ · D1.34×
14.4
2.9
11.5
71.5
0.0
115.0
84.5
77.5
82
278
Jake MiddletonJake MiddletonMIN · D1.02×
19.7
4.3
15.3
81.2
0.0
115.0
151.9
69.5
82
279
Johnathan KovacevicJohnathan KovacevicNJD · D1.26×
17.5
1.9
15.6
74.8
0.0
115.0
97.2
73.2
82
280
Seth JarvisSeth JarvisCAR · F1.50×
69.0
32.1
36.9
225.0
20.6
114.8
46.5
20.9
82
281
Joel EdmundsonJoel EdmundsonLAK · D1.36×
21.0
3.7
17.3
99.4
1.4
114.7
120.1
29.4
82
282
Nicolas HagueNicolas HagueNSH · D1.14×
17.3
4.1
13.2
89.3
0.1
114.6
92.3
57.6
82
283
Artyom LevshunovArtyom LevshunovCHI · D1.33×
28.8
2.1
26.6
100.6
12.8
114.5
90.5
51.1
82
284
Teddy BluegerTeddy BluegerVAN · F1.01×
31.2
11.8
19.4
105.7
0.8
114.0
45.0
41.4
82
285
Nick LardisNick LardisCHI · F0.86×
30.0
20.0
10.0
114.0
6.0
114.0
24.0
20.0
82
286
Haydn FleuryHaydn FleuryWPG · D1.27×
11.3
2.6
8.6
67.2
0.0
113.7
119.0
29.6
82
287
Logan MaillouxLogan MaillouxSTL · D0.88×
17.7
7.0
10.7
100.3
1.2
113.3
69.8
59.1
82
288
Anders LeeAnders LeeNYI · F1.22×
45.3
22.6
22.7
206.8
8.7
113.2
40.9
46.0
82
289
Yan KuznetsovYan KuznetsovCGY · D0.86×
17.2
5.7
11.5
92.4
0.0
113.2
146.4
40.1
82
290
Jake EvansJake EvansMTL · F1.26×
32.2
11.8
20.4
87.4
0.1
113.1
61.5
33.8
82
291
Dmitri VoronkovDmitri VoronkovCBJ · F1.09×
44.4
22.9
21.5
154.3
11.4
111.8
43.3
69.0
82
292
Jamie OleksiakJamie OleksiakSEA · D1.54×
16.8
4.7
12.2
81.3
0.0
111.8
135.0
40.0
82
293
Dominic JamesDominic JamesTBL · F0.74×
29.5
14.8
14.8
111.5
1.6
111.5
26.2
13.1
82
294
Cole SillingerCole SillingerCBJ · F1.14×
34.1
10.2
23.9
146.2
1.8
111.1
49.2
39.9
82
295
Erik GudbransonErik GudbransonCBJ · D1.16×
14.8
3.1
11.7
88.3
0.0
110.2
145.2
53.9
82
296
Jeff PetryJeff PetryFLA · D1.33×
16.5
1.5
15.0
76.8
2.6
109.8
106.9
31.6
82
297
Michael EyssimontMichael EyssimontBOS · F1.11×
22.5
10.5
12.0
156.0
3.3
109.2
28.6
63.5
82
298
Miles WoodMiles WoodCBJ · F1.19×
22.6
11.6
10.9
134.0
0.3
108.5
30.8
65.3
82
299
Jaycob MegnaJaycob MegnaVGK · D1.22×
7.2
0.7
6.5
57.5
0.0
108.4
118.7
34.9
82
300
Brandon CarloBrandon CarloTOR · D1.25×
12.2
1.8
10.5
92.0
0.0
107.8
149.8
46.0
82

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-05.