ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by hits.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
351
Rodrigo AbolsRodrigo AbolsPHI · F0.95×
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.1
0.0
3.5
1.7
1.4
3
352
Warren FoegeleWarren FoegeleOTT · F1.34×
1.1
0.6
0.5
5.9
0.1
3.5
1.1
1.1
3
353
Nicolas RoyNicolas RoyTOR · F1.18×
1.2
0.5
0.8
3.8
0.1
3.5
1.7
1.4
3
354
Konsta HeleniusKonsta HeleniusBUF · F13 gm
1.4
0.7
0.7
5.8
0.0
3.5
1.6
0.0
3
355
Denver BarkeyDenver BarkeyPHI · F1.05×
1.1
0.3
0.7
2.9
0.2
3.5
1.1
1.1
3
356
Rutger McGroartyRutger McGroartyPIT · F32 gm
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.5
0.0
3.4
1.1
0.4
3
357
Cole HutsonCole HutsonWSH · D14 gm
2.1
0.6
1.5
4.7
1.1
3.4
1.3
1.7
3
358
Scott MayfieldScott MayfieldNYI · D1.21×
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.0
3.4
4.2
2.6
3
359
Emil AndraeEmil AndraePHI · D0.95×
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.2
0.1
3.4
3.0
1.2
3
360
Anton LundellAnton LundellFLA · F1.02×
1.9
0.7
1.1
6.2
0.4
3.4
1.8
1.5
3
361
Ryan WintertonRyan WintertonSEA · F1.16×
0.7
0.2
0.6
3.8
0.0
3.4
1.5
0.6
3
362
Dougie HamiltonDougie HamiltonNJD · D1.13×
1.7
0.5
1.2
8.3
0.6
3.4
3.3
1.9
3
363
Artem ZubArtem ZubOTT · D1.17×
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.3
0.0
3.4
4.9
1.9
3
364
Sam ReinhartSam ReinhartFLA · F1.36×
2.9
1.5
1.5
8.1
1.1
3.4
2.3
0.8
3
365
Marcus PetterssonMarcus PetterssonVAN · D1.30×
0.9
0.1
0.7
2.8
0.0
3.4
5.2
2.0
3
366
Ian ColeIan ColeUTA · D1.30×
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.4
0.0
3.4
6.1
2.2
3
367
Ryan GravesRyan GravesPIT · D1.11×
0.4
0.1
0.3
3.0
0.0
3.3
4.9
1.3
3
368
Alex TuchAlex TuchBUF · F1.52×
2.4
1.2
1.2
7.7
0.4
3.3
3.5
1.9
3
369
Danton HeinenDanton HeinenCBJ · F1.21×
1.0
0.4
0.6
3.5
0.1
3.3
1.5
1.0
3
370
Ryker EvansRyker EvansSEA · D1.17×
0.8
0.3
0.6
2.3
0.1
3.3
3.7
1.6
3
371
Justin FaulkJustin FaulkDET · D1.56×
1.5
0.4
1.1
5.7
0.4
3.3
4.8
1.6
3
372
Joel ArmiaJoel ArmiaLAK · F1.15×
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.3
0.1
3.3
1.6
1.2
3
373
John BeecherJohn BeecherCGY · F1.12×
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.4
0.0
3.3
2.6
1.7
3
374
Ryan DonatoRyan DonatoCHI · F1.19×
1.4
0.7
0.7
5.3
0.2
3.3
0.8
1.6
3
375
Valeri NichushkinValeri NichushkinCOL · F1.04×
2.1
1.0
1.2
7.2
0.4
3.3
1.3
0.8
3
376
Easton CowanEaston CowanTOR · F1.04×
1.3
0.5
0.8
4.2
0.3
3.3
1.4
2.0
3
377
Logan O'ConnorLogan O'ConnorCOL · F1.31×
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.6
0.0
3.3
1.6
1.2
3
378
Alex NewhookAlex NewhookMTL · F0.96×
1.4
0.8
0.7
4.5
0.2
3.3
1.3
1.1
3
379
Elias LindholmElias LindholmBOS · F1.64×
2.0
0.7
1.2
5.7
0.7
3.2
2.5
1.1
3
380
Alexandre TexierAlexandre TexierMTL · F1.07×
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.1
0.1
3.2
0.9
1.3
3
381
Brad MarchandBrad MarchandFLA · F1.35×
2.7
1.3
1.5
7.8
0.9
3.2
1.2
2.9
3
382
Jake DeBruskJake DeBruskVAN · F1.51×
1.7
0.9
0.8
7.4
0.7
3.2
1.5
0.6
3
383
Ryan PulockRyan PulockNYI · D1.34×
1.0
0.2
0.9
4.0
0.1
3.2
6.1
0.6
3
384
Dalibor DvorskyDalibor DvorskySTL · F1.49×
0.9
0.5
0.4
3.9
0.3
3.2
1.0
1.1
3
385
Josh SamanskiJosh SamanskiEDM · F29 gm
0.6
0.3
0.3
1.1
0.0
3.2
1.4
1.0
3
386
Elias PetterssonElias PetterssonVAN · F1.32×
2.4
0.8
1.6
6.0
0.9
3.2
3.7
0.7
3
387
Timothy LiljegrenTimothy LiljegrenSJS · D1.20×
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.4
0.2
3.2
5.3
1.6
3
388
Linus KarlssonLinus KarlssonVAN · F0.94×
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.3
0.2
3.2
0.9
1.5
3
389
Phillip DanaultPhillip DanaultMTL · F1.31×
1.3
0.4
0.9
4.3
0.1
3.2
2.3
1.1
3
390
Steven StamkosSteven StamkosNSH · F1.43×
2.5
1.4
1.1
7.7
1.0
3.2
1.5
1.9
3
391
Taylor WardTaylor WardLAK · F38 gm
0.6
0.3
0.3
3.3
0.0
3.2
0.7
0.6
3
392
Martin NecasMartin NecasCOL · F1.05×
3.2
1.1
2.1
7.8
0.9
3.1
0.9
1.1
3
393
David KampfDavid KampfWSH · F1.22×
0.6
0.2
0.4
2.9
0.0
3.1
1.4
0.7
3
394
Carter VerhaegheCarter VerhaegheFLA · F1.57×
2.3
1.0
1.3
8.2
0.6
3.1
0.9
1.4
3
395
Andrew MangiapaneAndrew MangiapaneEDM · F1.22×
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.8
0.1
3.1
1.3
1.7
3
396
Tage ThompsonTage ThompsonBUF · F1.37×
3.0
1.5
1.4
10.1
0.9
3.1
1.5
1.7
3
397
Cutter GauthierCutter GauthierANA · F1.18×
2.4
1.3
1.1
9.7
0.7
3.1
1.1
1.0
3
398
Michael KesselringMichael KesselringBUF · D1.08×
0.7
0.1
0.6
4.5
0.1
3.1
2.8
3.6
3
399
Josh DoanJosh DoanBUF · F1.17×
1.8
0.8
1.0
6.1
0.5
3.1
1.0
0.9
3
400
Pierre-Luc DuboisPierre-Luc DuboisWSH · F1.62×
2.0
0.7
1.4
5.3
0.5
3.1
1.8
2.8
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-05.