ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by assists.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
401
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.9
0.0
4.8
4.1
1.5
3
402
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.7
0.2
3.8
1.8
1.6
3
403
1.2
0.5
0.7
3.7
0.0
3.9
1.8
0.7
3
404
1.2
0.6
0.7
4.5
0.1
8.9
1.8
2.1
3
405
1.4
0.8
0.7
4.5
0.2
3.3
1.3
1.1
3
406
1.3
0.7
0.7
5.1
0.0
1.4
0.8
0.6
3
407
0.7
0.1
0.7
4.0
0.0
3.5
2.6
3.0
3
408
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.3
0.0
3.9
3.4
1.4
3
409
0.7
0.1
0.7
3.0
0.2
1.1
3.0
0.4
3
410
0.9
0.3
0.7
3.0
0.0
4.6
1.4
0.5
3
411
0.8
0.1
0.7
4.6
0.0
3.0
4.7
1.7
3
412
1.3
0.6
0.7
4.3
0.2
4.9
1.8
0.7
3
413
1.3
0.6
0.7
3.3
0.5
1.9
1.8
0.1
3
414
1.3
0.6
0.7
5.8
0.4
1.5
2.3
0.7
3
415
0.8
0.1
0.6
2.2
0.0
1.2
3.6
0.6
3
416
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.1
3.0
3.3
0.8
3
417
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.4
0.2
3.2
5.2
1.6
3
418
1.3
0.6
0.6
5.6
0.3
5.4
1.8
0.7
3
419
1.4
0.8
0.6
6.2
0.3
14.5
1.2
1.8
3
420
0.8
0.2
0.6
4.0
0.1
11.2
1.0
3.3
3
421
1.3
0.7
0.6
5.6
0.3
0.7
1.3
0.4
3
422
1.2
0.6
0.6
4.8
0.3
1.7
1.0
0.9
3
423
0.9
0.2
0.6
4.8
0.1
2.8
3.3
2.2
3
424
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.9
0.1
3.3
1.7
1.8
3
425
1.1
0.4
0.6
4.4
0.2
2.6
3.2
0.8
3
426
1.2
0.6
0.6
5.2
0.3
4.7
1.2
1.0
3
427
0.8
0.1
0.6
3.6
0.1
4.2
4.4
1.1
3
428
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.5
0.0
1.4
2.8
1.1
3
429
0.9
0.3
0.6
5.8
0.0
5.2
4.3
2.0
3
430
0.8
0.1
0.6
3.5
0.1
1.9
2.8
1.3
3
431
0.9
0.3
0.6
5.0
0.2
1.4
3.4
1.2
3
432
1.0
0.4
0.6
4.1
0.1
1.0
4.4
1.3
3
433
1.3
0.7
0.6
4.3
0.4
1.8
0.9
2.8
3
434
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.4
0.0
3.4
6.1
2.2
3
435
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.5
0.0
5.5
6.7
1.5
3
436
1.1
0.5
0.6
5.2
0.2
3.5
1.0
1.7
3
437
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.4
0.0
4.9
1.0
1.0
3
438
1.4
0.8
0.6
5.3
0.1
7.9
1.9
1.6
3
439
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.2
0.0
2.4
5.2
1.4
3
440
1.3
0.7
0.6
6.7
0.2
1.2
1.0
1.1
3
441
1.1
0.4
0.6
4.0
0.1
1.9
1.4
0.5
3
442
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.3
0.1
2.7
1.6
1.3
3
443
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.0
0.3
0.8
2.4
0.8
3
444
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.4
0.3
4.8
1.5
0.2
3
445
1.1
0.5
0.6
5.4
0.2
2.5
0.8
0.6
3
446
1.2
0.6
0.6
5.0
0.4
4.3
1.0
2.2
3
447
0.7
0.1
0.6
4.3
0.0
1.1
5.7
1.0
3
448
1.3
0.7
0.6
7.2
0.2
5.3
2.2
2.6
3
449
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.2
0.0
6.1
2.0
1.3
3
450
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.3
0.2
1.7
2.5
0.9
3

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.