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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
451
Marat KhusnutdinovBOS · C
26.4
11.7
14.7
68.3
1.2
64.5
45.5
19.6
82
452
Cam YorkPHI · D
26.4
5.6
20.8
101.0
5.1
52.8
160.8
34.0
82
453
Avery HayesPIT · R16 sample
26.3
24.9
1.4
128.3
0.5
116.9
47.4
60.2
82
454
Marcus FolignoMIN · L
26.3
14.1
12.2
93.0
1.8
285.8
58.2
92.8
82
455
Eric RobinsonCAR · L
26.1
13.1
13.1
108.4
0.1
138.3
18.3
19.0
82
456
Jack DruryNSH · C
26.1
10.2
15.9
105.1
1.6
50.5
51.4
30.3
82
457
Connor DewarPIT · C
26.0
12.6
13.4
105.7
0.1
163.5
49.4
25.0
82
458
Otto StenbergSTL · C32 sample
26.0
7.9
18.1
81.0
0.3
124.8
39.3
13.6
82
459
Jack ThompsonVAN · D34 sample
25.9
10.3
15.6
109.8
7.6
39.1
135.8
26.1
82
460
Jakob PelletierTBL · L
25.9
9.6
16.3
91.1
1.1
82.8
35.3
13.9
82
461
Jaccob SlavinCAR · D
25.8
4.7
21.1
130.8
0.3
32.3
131.4
7.4
82
462
Marco KasperDET · C
25.8
12.7
13.1
139.5
2.8
180.6
51.5
34.3
82
463
Alexandre CarrierMTL · D
25.8
5.9
19.9
71.0
0.3
63.6
176.6
48.7
82
464
Jason DickinsonEDM · C
25.8
12.1
13.6
97.4
0.5
123.2
69.4
34.0
82
465
A.J. GreerANA · L
25.7
12.7
12.9
97.0
0.7
207.5
32.0
115.9
82
466
Olen ZellwegerBUF · D
25.6
8.5
17.1
137.6
4.3
39.2
93.7
31.7
82
467
Conor ShearyBUF · L
25.6
9.7
15.9
107.8
3.0
34.0
46.5
20.0
82
468
Filip HallanderPIT · C16 sample
25.5
6.7
18.8
135.1
0.6
24.9
35.5
14.2
82
469
Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET · D
25.5
8.5
17.0
82.7
8.4
21.7
65.2
22.0
82
470
Rasmus RistolainenPHI · D
25.5
3.8
21.8
118.8
2.5
126.8
119.3
39.5
82
471
Martin FehérváryWSH · D
25.5
5.4
20.1
78.6
0.1
147.8
162.7
34.4
82
472
Adam LarssonSEA · D
25.5
6.8
18.7
114.2
0.1
127.0
157.4
41.7
82
473
Jonny BrodzinskiWSH · C
25.5
11.4
14.1
106.0
2.1
59.0
30.4
14.9
82
474
James MalatestaCBJ · L13 sample
25.2
11.6
13.6
79.2
1.7
249.9
31.4
30.0
82
475
Nikita NesterenkoANA · C
25.1
7.0
18.2
92.5
0.2
156.1
24.4
18.6
82
476
Tom WillanderVAN · D
24.8
6.0
18.8
70.0
3.6
41.8
91.0
32.9
82
477
Sammy BlaisOTT · L
24.8
8.3
16.5
68.6
0.4
291.2
40.9
42.0
82
478
Ondrej PalatNYI · L
24.7
9.9
14.8
99.3
3.2
133.8
65.5
18.2
82
479
Cam LundSJS · C11 sample
24.7
14.8
9.9
95.7
7.5
59.7
23.0
31.4
82
480
Mark JankowskiCAR · L
24.6
12.5
12.1
80.5
1.4
54.1
51.2
32.0
82
481
Mason AppletonDET · C
24.5
9.3
15.2
102.3
1.3
107.2
36.5
43.0
82
482
Jani NymanSEA · R40 sample
24.5
13.3
11.2
106.8
8.4
72.0
24.2
19.9
82
483
Tanner PearsonWPG · L
24.3
10.6
13.8
97.7
0.6
105.3
43.2
28.3
82
484
Taylor RaddyshNYR · R
24.3
9.7
14.6
88.5
2.5
70.0
38.9
17.9
82
485
Lukas ReichelBOS · L
24.3
8.9
15.4
84.8
1.9
28.5
37.9
15.5
82
486
Tye KartyeNYR · L
24.2
10.0
14.2
80.2
0.1
227.4
44.7
48.7
82
487
Dalibor DvorskySTL · R
24.1
13.7
10.4
107.4
8.0
87.9
27.9
29.8
82
488
Sean WalkerCAR · D
24.1
6.8
17.2
157.3
0.7
141.0
117.0
53.8
82
489
Pontus HolmbergTBL · R
24.0
10.7
13.3
93.6
0.5
73.1
47.2
34.0
82
490
Scott PerunovichLAK · D
24.0
2.9
21.1
50.2
4.8
40.8
81.9
21.9
82
491
Alexander HoltzVGK · R
24.0
9.9
14.1
103.8
2.0
64.2
25.1
20.9
82
492
Parker WotherspoonVGK · D
23.9
2.3
21.6
69.5
0.1
158.1
115.6
52.4
82
493
Alex Barré-BouletSJS · C
23.7
10.8
12.9
82.5
3.8
74.6
17.5
24.6
82
494
Sam ColangeloANA · R
23.6
19.7
3.9
94.5
3.4
142.5
33.2
18.4
82
495
Marcus PetterssonNYR · D
23.5
3.4
20.2
77.1
0.1
92.3
142.2
54.5
82
496
Michael RasmussenDET · C
23.5
10.4
13.1
97.9
1.4
116.3
74.8
25.5
82
497
Pavel MintyukovANA · D
23.5
7.0
16.5
92.5
3.2
66.4
117.2
22.6
82
498
Nic DowdVGK · C
23.5
9.7
13.8
80.5
0.1
160.3
71.9
62.9
82
499
Logan O'ConnorCOL · R
23.5
9.7
13.7
99.7
0.1
89.2
44.0
34.0
82
500
Sam RinzelCHI · D
23.4
5.8
17.6
131.7
3.6
77.5
90.7
61.3
82

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.