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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
501
Juuso ParssinenNYR · C
23.3
10.5
12.8
69.5
3.1
129.5
40.5
33.0
82
502
Nils HoglanderNSH · L
23.3
10.5
12.8
95.6
0.6
97.9
21.4
30.6
82
503
Ryker EvansSEA · D
23.3
7.9
15.4
63.6
2.8
91.2
99.9
43.7
82
504
Alex VlasicCHI · D
23.2
2.7
20.5
90.2
3.8
43.0
135.5
19.9
82
505
Hunter McKownMTL · C12 sample
23.2
5.6
17.6
105.4
3.2
89.5
47.5
48.7
82
506
Vinnie HinostrozaCOL · C
23.2
8.5
14.6
92.4
3.1
57.7
32.2
34.8
82
507
Matt RoyWSH · D
23.1
3.3
19.9
107.0
0.3
135.0
156.4
21.7
82
508
Brendan BrissonNYR · C27 sample
23.1
4.5
18.7
80.9
4.0
66.8
18.9
6.6
82
509
Max SassonVAN · C
23.1
14.8
8.3
79.6
1.1
40.5
43.6
26.6
82
510
Olli MaattaMIN · D
23.1
3.6
19.5
68.6
0.1
31.9
122.3
13.1
82
511
Matt GrzelcykCHI · D
23.0
1.1
21.9
88.3
6.3
43.3
81.4
32.0
82
512
Morgan BarronWPG · C
23.0
11.1
11.9
109.8
0.2
153.7
45.5
29.7
82
513
Fabian LysellCOL · R12 sample
22.9
7.8
15.1
141.6
7.0
43.7
21.3
40.8
82
514
Louis CrevierBUF · D
22.9
7.0
15.9
108.9
0.1
136.2
107.8
56.4
82
515
Bradly NadeauCAR · L15 sample
22.8
18.3
4.5
105.5
6.3
133.7
37.8
14.3
82
516
Trey Fix-WolanskyVAN · R26 sample
22.8
13.4
9.4
133.2
1.5
90.5
55.8
15.4
82
517
Mathieu JosephEDM · R
22.7
6.1
16.6
86.9
0.3
166.8
53.8
35.4
82
518
Martin PospisilCGY · C
22.7
5.3
17.4
110.5
2.2
305.5
26.2
89.8
82
519
Miles WoodCBJ · L
22.7
11.6
11.1
134.0
0.4
108.4
31.2
65.0
82
520
Nate SchmidtUTA · D
22.7
5.3
17.4
88.3
3.1
80.7
90.4
22.6
82
521
Nick CousinsOTT · C
22.6
8.6
14.0
92.5
0.2
160.6
40.4
78.7
82
522
Michael EyssimontBOS · C
22.6
10.5
12.1
155.8
3.3
109.2
28.9
63.3
82
523
Colton SissonsTOR · C
22.5
8.9
13.6
95.3
3.0
143.3
66.0
30.8
82
524
Nikita ZadorovBOS · D
22.5
4.3
18.3
108.1
0.1
205.5
97.8
156.0
82
525
Rutger McGroartyPIT · R32 sample
22.5
10.4
12.1
124.7
0.3
94.0
32.0
12.7
82
526
Sandis VilmanisFLA · L19 sample
22.4
13.0
9.4
68.0
0.4
160.8
23.9
18.4
82
527
Henri JokiharjuBOS · D
22.4
3.9
18.4
87.8
1.9
71.7
82.1
25.7
82
528
Nick BjugstadNJD · C
22.3
11.8
10.4
128.9
1.4
142.3
43.1
40.6
82
529
Noel AcciariPHI · C
22.1
11.0
11.1
99.9
0.1
147.8
89.3
30.2
82
530
Nick JensenANA · D
22.1
4.2
17.9
69.9
0.1
65.9
102.6
20.2
82
531
Timothy LiljegrenWSH · D
22.1
4.5
17.6
92.2
4.5
87.5
143.3
42.9
82
532
Brayden McNabbVGK · D
22.1
5.0
17.0
95.0
0.1
149.3
181.8
42.2
82
533
Adam WilsbyNSH · D
22.1
1.9
20.1
89.7
0.1
44.5
65.5
37.8
82
534
Christian WolaninCOL · D25 sample
22.0
5.3
16.7
89.8
5.2
47.0
69.3
25.6
82
535
Joel NystromCAR · D38 sample
22.0
2.5
19.5
93.8
0.2
23.6
48.0
13.6
82
536
Logan StanleyBUF · D
22.0
6.3
15.7
88.6
0.7
123.6
96.4
138.6
82
537
Fedor SvechkovCOL · C
21.9
6.9
15.0
87.6
2.2
65.3
35.4
24.9
82
538
Alex TurcotteLAK · C
21.7
6.2
15.6
87.6
0.5
66.2
43.1
26.2
82
539
Lassi ThomsonOTT · D30 sample
21.7
1.0
20.7
85.4
6.7
51.3
71.3
6.4
82
540
Mike ReillyCAR · D
21.6
3.4
18.2
136.2
1.9
45.2
71.5
42.2
82
541
Sean KuralyBOS · C
21.6
7.6
14.0
103.9
0.1
130.9
46.8
44.2
82
542
Tanner JeannotBOS · L
21.4
8.2
13.3
85.5
1.0
267.2
56.0
88.0
82
543
Dylan DeMeloWPG · D
21.4
3.3
18.1
79.8
0.2
131.9
113.1
40.8
82
544
Berkly CattonSEA · C
21.4
8.8
12.6
97.4
2.6
11.3
37.7
38.5
82
545
Elmer SoderblomPIT · L
21.3
11.0
10.3
105.1
0.1
140.7
26.6
27.9
82
546
Zayne ParekhCGY · D38 sample
21.2
9.9
11.3
109.9
13.0
35.6
66.7
20.2
82
547
Radek FaksaDAL · C
21.2
5.2
16.0
68.7
0.1
122.9
60.8
31.0
82
548
Liam OhgrenVAN · L
21.2
9.3
11.9
105.3
0.6
81.7
47.3
3.4
82
549
Hendrix LapierrePIT · C
21.2
5.2
16.0
62.8
0.7
51.8
30.5
27.7
82
550
Shakir MukhamadullinEDM · D
21.1
7.6
13.6
82.1
1.7
61.4
113.1
33.8
82

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.