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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
401
Dillon DubeSTL · C
29.3
12.7
16.6
122.4
3.1
102.5
27.2
28.8
82
402
Joel ArmiaLAK · R
29.3
14.2
15.1
116.5
1.7
90.5
44.3
33.8
82
403
Adam GaudetteSJS · R
29.2
19.7
9.6
107.6
5.5
70.3
36.6
21.9
82
404
Erik GustafssonLAK · D
29.2
4.6
24.6
101.7
10.9
60.3
67.0
32.2
82
405
Simon EdvinssonDET · D
29.2
9.2
20.0
95.5
0.8
102.3
159.7
78.1
82
406
Ryan GreeneCHI · C
29.1
12.0
17.1
109.8
4.0
50.6
38.9
14.3
82
407
Brandon SaadVGK · L
29.0
12.7
16.3
137.4
2.7
21.2
24.8
16.3
82
408
Andrew MangiapaneCHI · L
29.0
13.5
15.4
102.7
2.3
85.4
34.8
46.5
82
409
Justin HryckowianDAL · C
28.9
12.8
16.1
82.5
4.6
132.5
46.0
39.4
82
410
Artyom LevshunovCHI · D
28.9
2.3
26.6
101.0
12.7
114.3
90.2
51.0
82
411
Adam HenriqueEDM · C
28.8
11.7
17.1
120.3
5.6
71.3
87.2
22.2
82
412
Anthony BeauvillierWSH · R
28.6
14.4
14.2
154.7
1.9
106.5
42.3
22.9
82
413
Emil HeinemanNYI · L
28.6
19.3
9.3
146.3
4.6
240.4
48.2
19.9
82
414
Alex SteevesBOS · C
28.6
15.8
12.8
104.0
5.0
266.8
46.3
56.2
82
415
Sonny MilanoWSH · L
28.5
14.2
14.3
92.6
3.3
31.7
15.2
13.7
82
416
Darnell NurseSJS · D
28.4
7.4
21.0
178.2
1.4
158.5
163.7
89.6
82
417
Colton ParaykoSTL · D
28.4
8.9
19.5
132.4
0.9
107.1
186.9
22.7
82
418
Alexander NikishinCAR · D
28.4
9.1
19.3
112.1
8.2
135.4
85.1
31.2
82
419
Simon NemecCGY · D
28.2
11.1
17.1
112.8
3.0
26.1
120.0
35.2
82
420
Ryan PulockNYI · D
28.1
4.5
23.6
108.5
2.6
87.9
166.4
17.1
82
421
Ryan SheaEDM · D
28.1
5.3
22.8
66.3
0.4
41.8
95.7
23.7
82
422
Danton HeinenCBJ · L
28.1
11.7
16.3
95.5
1.3
91.2
41.6
28.4
82
423
Drew O'ConnorVAN · L
28.0
14.6
13.4
132.9
0.6
76.4
38.9
38.4
82
424
Zeev BuiumVAN · D
28.0
6.4
21.6
78.5
14.1
31.9
58.5
45.1
82
425
Mike BenningCGY · D18 sample
27.9
9.4
18.5
71.6
4.7
22.6
72.6
10.7
82
426
J.J. MoserTBL · D
27.9
6.3
21.5
99.0
2.1
68.9
106.1
53.0
82
427
Nick BlankenburgCOL · D
27.9
9.4
18.5
99.4
8.3
78.0
84.7
21.7
82
428
Tanner LaczynskiVGK · C
27.8
4.0
23.8
75.1
4.7
37.3
37.1
33.3
82
429
Cole GuttmanLAK · C
27.7
14.4
13.3
149.7
7.3
38.6
45.9
21.4
82
430
Dakota JoshuaTOR · C
27.6
14.7
12.9
80.8
1.1
287.9
45.1
67.2
82
431
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR · C
27.5
9.3
18.2
109.4
2.5
96.3
33.4
38.4
82
432
Jacob TroubaSJS · D
27.4
6.9
20.5
156.6
1.0
181.1
179.7
51.7
82
433
Blake LizottePIT · C
27.4
11.1
16.3
79.1
0.4
84.5
44.4
38.3
82
434
Jack McBainUTA · C
27.4
10.8
16.6
100.1
0.9
287.3
48.2
80.7
82
435
Esa LindellDAL · D
27.3
5.6
21.7
96.9
1.3
49.9
173.9
19.2
82
436
Jared SpurgeonMIN · D
27.2
6.8
20.3
109.3
7.3
79.2
148.7
16.3
82
437
Josh AndersonMTL · R
27.2
16.0
11.1
120.4
0.6
169.7
46.1
101.4
82
438
Justin DanforthBUF · R
27.0
11.6
15.4
112.3
0.9
145.3
61.1
27.6
82
439
Calle RosenSTL · D
27.0
10.3
16.7
97.6
0.8
34.6
84.6
18.8
82
440
John LeonardDET · L37 sample
26.9
14.1
12.7
86.2
11.7
80.2
65.4
4.0
82
441
Tristan LuneauANA · D14 sample
26.8
17.3
9.6
113.5
1.2
84.8
89.0
30.2
82
442
Parker KellyCOL · C
26.8
14.4
12.4
100.9
0.1
187.9
61.2
37.8
82
443
Jake McCabeTOR · D
26.8
4.8
22.0
83.6
0.3
143.2
179.2
58.2
82
444
Noah LabaNYR · C
26.7
10.0
16.7
81.5
5.6
121.6
47.9
34.4
82
445
Jonas BrodinMIN · D
26.6
5.7
20.9
112.6
1.2
29.6
170.9
25.3
82
446
Pierre EngvallNYI · L
26.6
12.3
14.3
134.7
3.2
53.6
17.1
23.9
82
447
Artem ZubOTT · D
26.6
4.7
21.9
89.3
0.3
92.7
134.2
52.8
82
448
Samuel GirardPIT · D
26.6
4.2
22.4
83.1
1.5
59.3
103.2
23.9
82
449
Oskar SundqvistSTL · C
26.5
8.2
18.3
69.7
4.7
106.3
48.9
40.2
82
450
Kaiden GuhleMTL · D
26.5
5.3
21.3
89.2
0.1
173.7
162.1
95.4
82

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.