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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
351
Kirby DachMTL · C
32.2
16.4
15.8
110.0
6.7
126.5
53.2
66.8
82
352
Neal PionkWPG · D
32.1
7.1
25.0
149.0
8.3
180.7
119.7
57.6
82
353
Jonatan BerggrenSTL · R
32.1
13.4
18.6
97.0
5.5
53.4
22.8
17.9
82
354
Nicholas RobertsonPIT · L
32.0
17.3
14.7
133.5
3.6
80.2
38.6
14.0
82
355
Ryan McDonaghTBL · D
31.9
5.8
26.1
78.7
1.0
45.7
147.4
22.8
82
356
Jordan MartinookCAR · L
31.8
12.8
19.1
127.8
0.0
118.0
51.2
37.2
82
357
Stefan NoesenNJD · R
31.8
15.2
16.6
135.3
11.5
117.3
28.1
60.0
82
358
Oliver KapanenMTL · C
31.8
18.1
13.7
118.4
1.3
29.1
61.0
20.8
82
359
Pavol RegendaSJS · L
31.7
27.2
4.5
139.0
12.0
187.4
28.4
62.9
82
360
Gustav ForslingFLA · D
31.7
6.6
25.1
149.0
2.1
76.6
100.9
39.5
82
361
Denton MateychukCBJ · D
31.6
12.6
19.0
92.9
2.6
33.5
103.5
15.4
82
362
Sam MalinskiCOL · D
31.6
7.3
24.3
150.5
1.2
52.5
102.2
19.9
82
363
Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
31.5
9.7
21.8
114.8
3.1
57.5
117.4
41.4
82
364
Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
31.5
7.8
23.6
134.2
4.6
39.3
137.7
29.8
82
365
Kevin HayesPIT · R
31.4
14.7
16.7
146.6
6.2
68.5
21.0
17.5
82
366
Michael CarconeUTA · L
31.3
16.9
14.5
140.1
3.4
131.0
18.7
32.2
82
367
Philip TomasinoOTT · R
31.3
12.0
19.2
126.3
8.8
74.0
38.2
17.7
82
368
Teddy BluegerTOR · C
31.2
11.8
19.4
105.9
0.8
113.9
45.2
41.4
82
369
Kasperi KapanenEDM · R
31.2
14.2
16.9
121.3
0.8
133.9
28.1
26.4
82
370
Oliver MooreCHI · C
31.1
7.5
23.6
92.3
7.4
42.4
21.5
31.2
82
371
Jonathan ToewsWPG · C
31.1
12.0
19.1
109.2
8.8
18.2
34.1
40.4
82
372
Fraser MintenBOS · C
31.0
15.2
15.7
112.1
2.9
150.3
49.8
17.9
82
373
Mathieu OlivierCBJ · R
31.0
17.0
13.9
113.4
0.1
279.8
65.0
130.8
82
374
Warren FoegeleOTT · L
30.9
17.6
13.3
160.9
1.6
94.9
29.3
28.7
82
375
Rasmus SandinWSH · D
30.8
5.0
25.8
93.0
3.5
99.1
132.4
19.6
82
376
Frederick GaudreauSEA · C
30.7
11.9
18.9
102.4
4.9
44.6
60.9
11.7
82
377
Jordan SpenceOTT · D
30.6
6.0
24.7
105.7
4.2
73.3
73.2
20.6
82
378
Sam SteelDAL · C
30.6
9.9
20.7
90.3
1.8
81.6
31.9
30.8
82
379
Ethen FrankWSH · R
30.6
15.5
15.1
113.8
5.0
65.3
58.8
23.5
82
380
Robby FabbriSTL · C
30.6
15.2
15.3
121.1
5.5
126.6
41.8
47.5
82
381
Matthew PoitrasBOS · C
30.5
8.3
22.2
97.2
1.0
32.7
33.0
28.5
82
382
Alex IafalloWPG · L
30.5
13.7
16.8
121.9
6.7
96.4
60.3
16.4
82
383
Adam SykoraNYR · L11 sample
30.5
21.7
8.8
113.4
0.7
145.1
74.0
37.5
82
384
Adam LowryWPG · C
30.4
11.7
18.7
102.5
0.7
184.8
59.5
43.6
82
385
Stephen HallidayOTT · C30 sample
30.3
11.0
19.3
94.1
8.2
82.6
23.3
6.6
82
386
Nick LardisCHI · L
30.2
19.9
10.3
114.4
6.0
113.7
25.0
20.5
82
387
Jamie DrysdalePHI · D
30.2
8.7
21.5
102.6
10.0
23.1
105.2
34.2
82
388
Mason LohreiBOS · D
30.1
7.0
23.2
85.4
8.8
36.8
108.7
22.6
82
389
Josh MansonCOL · D
30.1
5.5
24.6
129.9
0.3
196.8
102.7
86.2
82
390
Danila YurovMIN · R
30.1
13.0
17.1
89.5
4.0
73.3
44.3
36.0
82
391
Emmitt FinnieDET · C
30.1
13.0
17.1
120.1
8.0
130.6
41.3
6.4
82
392
Evgenii DadonovNJD · L
30.0
13.9
16.1
110.7
4.5
49.4
40.3
11.3
82
393
Brendan GallagherVAN · R
29.9
13.0
16.9
142.1
5.8
97.0
28.4
47.2
82
394
Nick FolignoMIN · L
29.9
11.7
18.2
99.6
5.3
208.6
43.5
60.6
82
395
Louie BelpedioWSH · D12 sample
29.9
13.7
16.1
94.1
2.0
107.2
109.1
9.9
82
396
Dominic JamesTBL · C
29.7
14.7
14.9
111.9
1.8
111.3
27.0
13.6
82
397
Vladislav NamestnikovWPG · C
29.6
11.7
17.9
101.7
6.0
103.1
49.5
42.4
82
398
Denver BarkeyPHI · C
29.5
9.4
20.2
81.4
6.2
94.5
31.6
31.1
82
399
Scott LaughtonLAK · C
29.5
14.2
15.4
133.4
2.4
171.4
56.0
42.2
82
400
Cody GlassNJD · C
29.4
16.6
12.8
124.8
2.9
59.1
45.6
36.5
82

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.