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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
301
Phillip DanaultMTL · C
35.5
10.2
25.3
118.2
3.2
86.8
61.8
30.4
82
302
Erik HaulaLAK · L
35.5
14.4
21.1
137.5
8.6
120.3
49.2
58.1
82
303
Victor OlofssonVGK · R
35.5
16.7
18.8
152.6
9.3
27.8
22.0
9.7
82
304
Mavrik BourqueNSH · C
35.3
17.1
18.2
133.5
4.3
84.1
28.2
20.3
82
305
Drew DoughtyLAK · D
35.3
8.5
26.8
121.0
8.9
80.0
104.8
47.0
82
306
Filip ChytilVAN · C
35.2
18.3
17.0
182.2
4.5
34.0
28.2
29.6
82
307
Frank VatranoANA · R
35.2
18.7
16.6
197.0
6.5
145.1
61.0
72.0
82
308
Justin BrazeauPIT · R
35.0
17.4
17.6
116.2
5.8
133.2
50.4
19.4
82
309
Matt SavoieEDM · C
35.0
16.3
18.7
137.1
6.4
17.7
38.0
23.8
82
310
Ridly GreigOTT · C
35.0
13.4
21.5
130.9
4.8
124.9
53.9
78.0
82
311
Nick AbruzzeseTBL · C11 sample
34.8
10.5
24.3
105.8
10.1
81.0
45.7
27.6
82
312
Seamus CaseyNJD · D17 sample
34.8
16.9
17.9
90.5
12.5
52.5
49.4
3.8
82
313
Travis SanheimPHI · D
34.7
10.2
24.5
115.5
2.7
66.4
156.8
32.0
82
314
Damon SeversonCBJ · D
34.7
8.8
25.8
108.8
3.8
49.8
106.1
53.0
82
315
Fabian ZetterlundOTT · L
34.6
17.0
17.6
153.4
8.1
146.9
48.2
18.0
82
316
Ben KindelPIT · C
34.6
16.8
17.9
157.7
9.9
40.3
63.3
18.1
82
317
Gage GoncalvesTBL · C
34.5
11.9
22.7
86.3
2.9
99.6
31.3
36.4
82
318
Eetu LuostarinenFLA · C
34.5
11.9
22.6
110.9
1.5
157.3
63.1
36.6
82
319
J.T. CompherDET · L
34.4
13.1
21.2
105.3
5.5
30.7
61.3
28.4
82
320
Dmitry OrlovSJS · D
34.2
4.8
29.4
110.8
10.7
126.3
76.5
41.4
82
321
Gustav NyquistWPG · R
34.1
9.7
24.5
113.0
8.8
45.4
34.5
15.9
82
322
Owen PowerBUF · D
34.1
6.9
27.2
121.5
2.8
33.5
100.7
17.3
82
323
Cole SillingerCBJ · C
34.1
10.2
23.9
146.1
1.9
111.0
49.3
39.9
82
324
Mattias SamuelssonBUF · D
33.9
10.7
23.2
102.7
0.3
158.5
151.2
29.6
82
325
Linus KarlssonVAN · C
33.9
14.7
19.2
116.9
4.5
87.0
24.1
40.5
82
326
Matthew WoodNSH · R
33.9
18.8
15.1
118.7
8.9
60.4
29.3
16.9
82
327
Charle-Edouard D'AstousTBL · D
33.8
6.8
26.9
96.0
3.4
115.5
85.1
126.9
82
328
Mackie SamoskevichSEA · R
33.7
13.7
20.1
162.2
10.9
146.9
35.2
26.8
82
329
Maxim ShabanovMIN · R
33.6
9.4
24.2
104.9
9.3
51.4
30.6
4.5
82
330
Yanni GourdeTBL · C
33.5
9.9
23.6
118.6
1.1
131.3
41.1
68.8
82
331
Nicolas RoyCOL · C
33.4
13.0
20.4
103.7
3.8
95.0
47.0
38.2
82
332
Vasily PodkolzinEDM · R
33.3
15.3
18.1
124.2
1.7
242.6
48.7
57.7
82
333
Nick PaulTOR · L
33.2
17.4
15.8
133.6
5.4
116.8
39.5
40.5
82
334
Zachary BolducMTL · R
33.2
14.8
18.4
110.4
7.5
162.4
42.1
44.8
82
335
Peyton KrebsBUF · C
33.1
10.5
22.6
85.4
1.3
163.4
36.1
75.0
82
336
Connor ZaryCGY · C
33.0
15.4
17.6
132.0
8.8
46.3
26.5
24.4
82
337
Alexandre TexierMTL · L
33.0
14.1
18.9
113.2
1.9
88.4
26.2
34.2
82
338
Nino NiederreiterWPG · R
33.0
15.8
17.2
141.8
7.6
129.6
33.3
28.5
82
339
Ross ColtonNSH · C
32.8
14.4
18.4
163.0
3.2
188.0
37.6
33.3
82
340
Kailer YamamotoUTA · R
32.8
16.1
16.7
88.2
2.5
84.6
27.8
24.5
82
341
Hampus LindholmBOS · D
32.8
6.3
26.4
126.1
5.7
34.1
117.5
66.3
82
342
John MarinoUTA · D
32.7
4.3
28.4
62.5
0.1
33.3
87.3
18.9
82
343
Alex BelzileMTL · R
32.5
13.6
19.0
109.1
1.5
83.5
57.3
34.8
82
344
Alexander KerfootNSH · C
32.5
12.6
19.9
94.4
2.8
72.7
65.2
33.5
82
345
Michael AmadioOTT · R
32.4
14.4
18.0
101.4
1.2
106.6
48.3
19.4
82
346
Mackenzie MacEachernVAN · L38 sample
32.4
8.3
24.1
66.6
0.6
108.5
49.4
85.9
82
347
Jiri KulichBUF · C
32.4
19.8
12.6
164.6
0.2
56.5
57.1
25.0
82
348
Brady SkjeiNSH · D
32.3
7.3
25.0
141.0
6.2
70.7
86.0
41.3
82
349
Jake EvansMTL · C
32.2
11.8
20.4
87.6
0.1
113.1
61.5
33.8
82
350
Philip BrobergSTL · D
32.2
7.0
25.2
99.2
3.9
40.6
103.1
16.4
82

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.