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Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by points.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
251
Kris LetangPIT · D
39.9
7.8
32.1
148.2
11.6
126.0
112.0
57.7
82
252
Tony DeAngeloNYI · D
39.8
6.9
32.8
163.5
10.1
38.8
78.3
48.1
82
253
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI · C
39.7
16.3
23.4
105.6
3.4
147.9
61.7
12.5
82
254
Kiefer SherwoodSJS · L
39.5
22.1
17.5
170.0
8.1
395.2
32.9
49.7
82
255
Alex BumpPHI · L23 sample
39.1
24.5
14.7
118.2
0.3
89.6
40.4
8.5
82
256
Cam FowlerSTL · D
38.9
6.7
32.2
102.1
12.1
15.8
89.9
15.8
82
257
Evan RodriguesNJD · C
38.8
14.1
24.7
180.7
8.8
102.1
29.8
38.9
82
258
Alex NewhookMTL · C
38.8
20.9
17.9
122.4
5.0
89.0
36.3
29.8
82
259
Braeden BowmanVGK · R
38.8
12.0
26.8
112.2
6.0
29.6
36.3
18.3
82
260
Ryan DonatoCHI · C
38.7
18.9
19.8
145.6
5.3
90.4
20.8
43.3
82
261
Lawson CrouseUTA · L
38.7
21.8
16.9
144.6
2.7
215.6
52.3
42.7
82
262
Ryan StromeCGY · C
38.7
12.2
26.6
119.5
6.6
46.6
27.7
67.5
82
263
MacKenzie WeegarUTA · D
38.6
8.2
30.5
172.8
10.5
197.2
178.7
65.9
82
264
Arseny GritsyukNJD · R
38.5
16.1
22.4
184.3
6.2
72.5
23.0
32.4
82
265
Pius SuterSTL · C
38.4
18.9
19.5
129.1
4.4
55.4
35.2
21.7
82
266
James van RiemsdykDET · L
38.3
16.9
21.4
121.0
9.5
29.3
27.6
20.9
82
267
Andre BurakovskyOTT · L
38.3
12.4
25.9
113.0
11.1
26.2
33.6
17.0
82
268
Michael MisaSJS · C
38.3
16.4
21.9
106.2
7.3
27.1
42.5
18.7
82
269
Jordan StaalCAR · C
38.1
19.0
19.0
124.7
3.9
202.1
48.6
32.9
82
270
Mike MathesonMTL · D
37.9
8.0
29.9
139.1
7.1
68.5
164.0
48.6
82
271
Konsta HeleniusBUF · C13 sample
37.8
18.6
19.3
155.7
0.6
95.0
45.8
2.9
82
272
Eeli TolvanenSEA · R
37.6
16.5
21.1
147.5
11.0
206.6
76.7
27.5
82
273
Reilly SmithVGK · R
37.4
16.8
20.6
133.6
4.3
51.2
27.9
15.3
82
274
Kent JohnsonCBJ · C
37.4
14.1
23.3
129.7
7.0
13.9
38.0
20.4
82
275
Bobby BrinkMIN · R
37.3
15.4
21.9
116.8
7.3
96.0
43.1
27.0
82
276
Connor BrownNJD · R
37.2
15.6
21.6
123.0
4.6
30.1
38.8
17.6
82
277
Brandt ClarkeLAK · D
37.1
7.4
29.7
148.7
11.9
30.3
164.7
54.9
82
278
Sean DurziNYR · D
37.0
7.8
29.2
119.9
8.7
55.7
139.1
64.1
82
279
John KlingbergSJS · D
37.0
11.8
25.1
118.3
11.7
69.6
96.6
36.2
82
280
Brett HowdenVGK · C
36.9
22.4
14.5
109.6
1.7
153.0
42.5
48.4
82
281
Aaron EkbladFLA · D
36.8
6.7
30.1
138.7
9.9
124.0
110.0
73.9
82
282
Philipp KurashevSJS · C
36.8
13.5
23.3
115.5
6.6
56.5
33.2
25.7
82
283
Will CuylleNYR · L
36.8
18.6
18.2
148.3
5.6
291.3
56.1
57.2
82
284
Justin SourdifWSH · C
36.7
16.0
20.7
113.5
3.2
102.7
42.2
36.3
82
285
Ilya MikheyevTBL · R
36.7
18.6
18.1
139.4
0.4
38.2
22.1
16.3
82
286
Joel FarabeeCGY · L
36.5
17.7
18.8
150.4
3.8
66.0
51.0
32.6
82
287
Calum RitchieNYI · C
36.5
16.1
20.4
101.6
13.1
25.0
42.3
26.5
82
288
K'Andre MillerCAR · D
36.5
7.5
28.9
119.6
3.1
129.4
106.6
48.3
82
289
Yegor SharangovichCGY · C
36.4
18.8
17.6
152.3
8.5
20.2
35.5
11.9
82
290
Ryan PoehlingANA · C
36.4
13.8
22.6
103.3
1.8
52.0
90.2
14.9
82
291
Noah HanifinVGK · D
36.3
6.5
29.8
151.5
8.3
54.7
130.2
16.7
82
292
Jake WalmanEDM · D
36.2
10.7
25.6
162.1
4.7
55.7
161.0
39.5
82
293
Easton CowanTOR · R
36.1
13.7
22.4
114.5
7.5
89.6
40.2
55.7
82
294
Anthony DuclairNYI · L
36.0
17.5
18.5
114.7
8.6
32.0
48.2
21.7
82
295
Barrett HaytonUTA · C
35.9
14.8
21.0
151.3
9.7
43.8
38.9
55.8
82
296
Corey PerryLAK · R
35.6
18.8
16.9
119.0
11.8
49.6
23.9
76.0
82
297
Brent BurnsCOL · D
35.6
9.6
26.1
177.5
5.8
32.8
94.4
32.6
82
298
Shane WrightSEA · C
35.6
15.9
19.7
103.0
9.0
55.6
65.0
13.8
82
299
Noah OstlundBUF · C
35.5
14.7
20.8
81.5
7.4
8.1
40.2
21.1
82
300
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR · D
35.5
7.3
28.2
118.6
8.1
104.8
78.9
66.7
82

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.