ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
501
Sammy BlaisOTT · L
24.8
8.3
16.5
68.6
0.4
291.2
40.9
42.0
82
502
Samuel HonzekCGY · L23 sample
17.0
8.3
8.7
101.4
0.4
149.6
29.8
13.3
82
503
Mackenzie MacEachernVAN · L38 sample
32.4
8.3
24.1
66.6
0.6
108.5
49.4
85.9
82
504
Brett BerardMTL · L
14.2
8.3
6.0
107.0
0.3
116.4
51.6
27.3
82
505
Jack RathboneBUF · D20 sample
19.8
8.2
11.5
103.7
2.8
67.5
61.3
24.0
82
506
Mattias EkholmEDM · D
41.0
8.2
32.8
147.6
4.4
75.5
121.9
35.8
82
507
Oskar SundqvistSTL · C
26.5
8.2
18.3
69.7
4.7
106.3
48.9
40.2
82
508
Nikita ChibrikovWPG · R16 sample
12.7
8.2
4.5
82.5
3.4
132.2
45.0
83.3
82
509
Jesper BoqvistNJD · C
19.8
8.2
11.6
78.3
0.7
163.3
32.4
14.8
82
510
MacKenzie WeegarUTA · D
38.6
8.2
30.5
172.8
10.5
197.2
178.7
65.9
82
511
Tanner JeannotBOS · L
21.4
8.2
13.3
85.5
1.0
267.2
56.0
88.0
82
512
Marc McLaughlinNJD · C35 sample
12.1
8.1
4.0
49.2
0.5
108.5
31.4
6.3
82
513
Brett LeasonSJS · R
20.4
8.1
12.3
94.8
1.4
87.9
54.0
21.7
82
514
Devon ToewsCOL · D
43.0
8.1
34.9
143.6
3.4
47.0
109.2
29.5
82
515
Kevin StenlundUTA · C
19.6
8.0
11.6
80.9
0.1
55.7
60.4
33.9
82
516
Adam KlapkaCGY · R
20.0
8.0
12.1
88.4
1.8
300.5
55.0
111.4
82
517
Mike MathesonMTL · D
37.9
8.0
29.9
139.1
7.1
68.5
164.0
48.6
82
518
Ryker EvansSEA · D
23.3
7.9
15.4
63.6
2.8
91.2
99.9
43.7
82
519
Otto StenbergSTL · C32 sample
26.0
7.9
18.1
81.0
0.3
124.8
39.3
13.6
82
520
Adam EdstromNSH · C
13.3
7.9
5.5
69.3
0.1
154.1
51.5
21.0
82
521
Fabian LysellCOL · R12 sample
22.9
7.8
15.1
141.6
7.0
43.7
21.3
40.8
82
522
William CarrierCAR · L
20.2
7.8
12.3
99.8
0.1
249.5
26.1
25.7
82
523
Mason ShawMIN · C
20.1
7.8
12.3
113.5
0.6
119.3
34.8
115.9
82
524
Luke HughesNJD · D
45.3
7.8
37.5
161.0
17.9
23.3
63.6
30.9
82
525
Ivan ProvorovCBJ · D
31.5
7.8
23.6
134.2
4.6
39.3
137.7
29.8
82
526
Andre LeeLAK · L26 sample
18.5
7.8
10.7
73.0
0.5
169.8
41.3
28.0
82
527
Taylor WardLAK · R38 sample
16.9
7.8
9.1
90.7
1.3
86.8
20.9
15.9
82
528
Sean DurziNYR · D
37.0
7.8
29.2
119.9
8.7
55.7
139.1
64.1
82
529
Kris LetangPIT · D
39.9
7.8
32.1
148.2
11.6
126.0
112.0
57.7
82
530
Steven LorentzTOR · C
18.8
7.7
11.2
80.9
0.1
181.7
52.0
16.3
82
531
Mikael PyyhtiaCBJ · L
13.5
7.6
5.8
70.8
0.5
41.0
66.5
9.0
82
532
Akil ThomasVAN · C32 sample
15.9
7.6
8.3
74.4
0.5
130.3
40.7
24.1
82
533
Aatu RätyVAN · C
19.5
7.6
11.9
82.2
0.6
200.4
20.1
28.8
82
534
Nolan FootePHI · L36 sample
11.3
7.6
3.7
86.5
0.4
156.2
27.5
28.4
82
535
Yakov TreninMIN · C
20.9
7.6
13.3
99.3
0.2
336.9
38.2
44.3
82
536
Shakir MukhamadullinEDM · D
21.1
7.6
13.6
82.1
1.7
61.4
113.1
33.8
82
537
Sean KuralyBOS · C
21.6
7.6
14.0
103.9
0.1
130.9
46.8
44.2
82
538
K'Andre MillerCAR · D
36.5
7.5
28.9
119.6
3.1
129.4
106.6
48.3
82
539
Oliver MooreCHI · C
31.1
7.5
23.6
92.3
7.4
42.4
21.5
31.2
82
540
Zemgus GirgensonsTBL · C
16.1
7.5
8.6
92.1
0.3
195.6
50.6
35.9
82
541
Filip HronekVAN · D
46.9
7.5
39.5
133.6
16.3
124.8
96.4
38.8
82
542
Brandt ClarkeLAK · D
37.1
7.4
29.7
148.7
11.9
30.3
164.7
54.9
82
543
Darnell NurseSJS · D
28.4
7.4
21.0
178.2
1.4
158.5
163.7
89.6
82
544
Charles Alexis LegaultCAR · D12 sample
15.5
7.4
8.1
85.7
0.6
89.8
68.3
97.7
82
545
Oliver Ekman-LarssonTOR · D
35.5
7.3
28.2
118.6
8.1
104.8
78.9
66.7
82
546
Keegan KolesarDET · R
18.6
7.3
11.3
71.1
0.1
275.1
44.4
53.4
82
547
Brady SkjeiNSH · D
32.3
7.3
25.0
141.0
6.2
70.7
86.0
41.3
82
548
Ivan IvanBOS · C
14.9
7.3
7.6
61.8
4.4
28.0
17.3
17.7
82
549
Sam MalinskiCOL · D
31.6
7.3
24.3
150.5
1.2
52.5
102.2
19.9
82
550
Sam LaffertyFLA · C
14.1
7.2
7.0
64.7
0.1
139.0
24.0
37.8
82

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.