ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by hits.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
651
David JiricekDavid JiricekMIN · D0.99×
0.3
0.1
0.2
2.1
0.0
1.4
2.4
1.7
3
652
Max SassonMax SassonVAN · F0.83×
0.8
0.5
0.3
2.9
0.0
1.4
1.6
1.0
3
653
Ben KindelBen KindelPIT · F1.18×
1.3
0.6
0.7
5.8
0.4
1.4
2.3
0.7
3
654
Christopher TanevChristopher TanevTOR · D1.26×
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.1
0.0
1.4
7.3
0.8
3
655
Jacob MoverareJacob MoverareLAK · D1.22×
0.3
0.1
0.2
1.6
0.0
1.4
3.2
0.4
3
656
Mathew BarzalMathew BarzalNYI · F1.01×
2.6
0.7
1.9
7.3
0.8
1.4
1.9
1.8
3
657
Ivan ProvorovIvan ProvorovCBJ · D1.21×
1.1
0.3
0.9
4.9
0.2
1.4
5.0
1.1
3
658
Olen ZellwegerOlen ZellwegerANA · D1.00×
0.9
0.3
0.6
5.0
0.1
1.4
3.4
1.2
3
659
Urho VaakanainenUrho VaakanainenNYR · D1.21×
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.4
0.0
1.4
2.8
1.1
3
660
Theo LindsteinTheo LindsteinSTL · D17 gm
0.7
0.3
0.3
3.5
0.0
1.4
2.5
1.1
3
661
Matt DucheneMatt DucheneDAL · F1.25×
2.5
0.9
1.6
5.4
0.9
1.4
1.3
0.7
3
662
Tony DeAngeloTony DeAngeloNYI · D1.34×
1.5
0.3
1.2
6.0
0.4
1.4
2.9
1.8
3
663
Rasmus AnderssonRasmus AnderssonVGK · D1.11×
1.5
0.5
1.0
6.1
0.4
1.4
6.0
2.3
3
664
Adam EngstromAdam EngstromMTL · D15 gm
0.2
0.0
0.2
2.2
0.0
1.4
1.6
1.6
3
665
Dawson MercerDawson MercerNJD · F1.24×
1.5
0.7
0.7
5.5
0.3
1.4
1.8
1.0
3
666
Evgeni MalkinEvgeni MalkinPIT · F1.04×
2.8
0.9
1.8
7.1
1.0
1.4
1.3
2.7
3
667
Ilya MikheyevIlya MikheyevCHI · F1.28×
1.3
0.7
0.7
5.1
0.0
1.4
0.8
0.6
3
668
Declan ChisholmDeclan ChisholmWSH · D1.06×
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.8
0.1
1.4
3.0
0.6
3
669
Nikolaj EhlersNikolaj EhlersCAR · F1.49×
2.6
1.0
1.6
7.8
0.9
1.4
1.1
0.7
3
670
Owen PickeringOwen PickeringPIT · D29 gm
0.3
0.1
0.2
1.6
0.0
1.4
2.1
0.9
3
671
Andrew CoppAndrew CoppDET · F1.32×
1.5
0.4
1.1
4.3
0.2
1.4
2.2
0.8
3
672
William KarlssonWilliam KarlssonVGK · F1.23×
1.9
0.8
1.1
6.2
0.3
1.3
2.2
0.5
3
673
Viktor ArvidssonViktor ArvidssonBOS · F1.60×
2.0
0.9
1.1
7.6
0.4
1.3
1.5
1.1
3
674
Miro HeiskanenMiro HeiskanenDAL · D1.04×
2.3
0.4
1.9
6.4
1.0
1.3
4.8
1.1
3
675
Mason LohreiMason LohreiBOS · D1.18×
1.1
0.3
0.8
3.1
0.3
1.3
4.0
0.8
3
676
Harrison BrunickeHarrison BrunickePIT · D9 gm
0.3
0.3
0.0
2.7
0.0
1.3
4.3
2.0
3
677
Kyle CapobiancoKyle CapobiancoDAL · D1.26×
0.5
0.2
0.3
1.8
0.0
1.3
2.4
1.0
3
678
Chandler StephensonChandler StephensonSEA · F1.19×
1.9
0.6
1.4
3.5
0.6
1.3
2.0
0.8
3
679
Mats ZuccarelloMats ZuccarelloMIN · F1.29×
2.7
0.8
1.9
6.5
1.1
1.3
1.7
1.0
3
680
Isak RosenIsak RosenWPG · F1.01×
0.7
0.4
0.3
2.9
0.2
1.3
1.5
0.0
3
681
Alexander WennbergAlexander WennbergSJS · F1.04×
1.7
0.5
1.1
3.4
0.4
1.3
3.2
0.6
3
682
Lane HutsonLane HutsonMTL · D1.13×
2.7
0.4
2.3
4.2
0.9
1.3
4.8
1.3
3
683
Oskar BackOskar BackDAL · F1.12×
0.6
0.2
0.4
1.7
0.0
1.3
1.6
0.4
3
684
Tanner LaczynskiTanner LaczynskiVGK · F1.07×
1.0
0.1
0.9
2.6
0.2
1.2
1.3
1.2
3
685
Aliaksei ProtasAliaksei ProtasWSH · F0.94×
2.0
0.9
1.1
5.6
0.0
1.2
1.6
0.7
3
686
Zayne ParekhZayne ParekhCGY · D38 gm
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.0
0.5
1.2
2.4
0.7
3
687
Hampus LindholmHampus LindholmBOS · D0.99×
1.2
0.2
1.0
4.6
0.2
1.2
4.3
2.4
3
688
Conor ShearyConor ShearyNYR · F1.14×
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.9
0.1
1.2
1.7
0.7
3
689
Owen PowerOwen PowerBUF · D1.18×
1.3
0.3
1.0
4.4
0.1
1.2
3.7
0.6
3
690
John MarinoJohn MarinoUTA · D1.16×
1.2
0.1
1.0
2.3
0.0
1.2
3.2
0.7
3
691
Casey MittelstadtCasey MittelstadtBOS · F1.16×
1.8
0.6
1.2
3.9
0.4
1.2
1.0
0.7
3
692
Filip ChytilFilip ChytilVAN · F1.30×
1.3
0.7
0.6
6.7
0.2
1.2
1.0
1.1
3
693
Denton MateychukDenton MateychukCBJ · D1.13×
1.1
0.5
0.7
3.4
0.1
1.2
3.8
0.6
3
694
Matvei MichkovMatvei MichkovPHI · F1.17×
1.9
0.8
1.2
6.4
0.5
1.2
0.8
2.3
3
695
Brent BurnsBrent BurnsCOL · D1.20×
1.3
0.3
0.9
6.5
0.2
1.2
3.5
1.2
3
696
Kyle ConnorKyle ConnorWPG · F1.10×
3.4
1.4
1.9
10.1
0.8
1.2
1.0
0.6
3
697
Nick LeddyNick LeddySJS · D1.06×
0.8
0.1
0.6
2.2
0.0
1.2
3.6
0.5
3
698
Jaccob SlavinJaccob SlavinCAR · D1.16×
0.9
0.2
0.8
4.8
0.0
1.2
4.8
0.3
3
699
Olli MaattaOlli MaattaCGY · D1.34×
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.5
0.0
1.1
4.5
0.5
3
700
Anthony DuclairAnthony DuclairNYI · F1.03×
1.3
0.6
0.7
4.2
0.3
1.1
1.8
0.8
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-05.