ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by assists.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by assists

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
351
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.9
0.0
4.9
5.7
0.8
3
352
0.9
0.2
0.7
2.9
0.0
5.4
6.0
1.3
3
353
1.5
0.7
0.7
5.5
0.3
1.4
1.8
1.0
3
354
1.2
0.5
0.7
5.9
0.4
5.4
1.3
1.0
3
355
1.1
0.3
0.7
3.5
0.0
3.7
5.8
2.9
3
356
1.4
0.7
0.7
5.3
0.2
3.3
0.8
1.6
3
357
1.3
0.6
0.7
3.8
0.3
2.0
2.4
0.5
3
358
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.5
0.0
1.2
4.5
0.5
3
359
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.8
0.0
3.9
6.8
0.8
3
360
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.9
0.0
4.2
1.6
1.5
3
361
1.4
0.7
0.7
4.7
0.2
2.0
1.3
0.8
3
362
0.7
0.0
0.7
2.4
0.0
6.7
3.6
1.4
3
363
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.1
0.3
5.0
3.1
1.1
3
364
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.4
0.0
0.9
1.8
0.5
3
365
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.4
0.3
3.0
0.8
0.2
3
366
1.4
0.7
0.7
4.6
0.1
7.4
1.8
1.2
3
367
1.1
0.4
0.7
4.0
0.3
0.7
1.3
1.5
3
368
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.7
0.0
4.3
1.9
1.4
3
369
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.3
0.2
3.2
0.9
1.5
3
370
1.1
0.4
0.7
4.6
0.3
2.7
1.4
0.7
3
371
1.4
0.7
0.7
5.7
0.0
3.5
1.7
0.1
3
372
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.0
0.1
3.1
2.1
1.3
3
373
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.8
0.2
1.6
2.2
0.4
3
374
1.3
0.6
0.7
5.6
0.3
1.0
0.8
0.4
3
375
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.1
0.1
3.2
1.0
1.3
3
376
1.3
0.7
0.7
5.5
0.1
2.4
1.9
1.2
3
377
0.9
0.3
0.7
4.9
0.0
0.9
1.3
0.5
3
378
1.2
0.5
0.7
3.4
0.1
1.2
3.8
0.6
3
379
0.9
0.2
0.7
2.6
0.1
1.5
3.3
1.2
3
380
0.7
0.1
0.7
2.1
0.0
3.4
0.7
1.5
3
381
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.8
0.0
6.8
2.2
1.6
3
382
0.9
0.3
0.7
4.2
0.0
4.7
5.8
1.5
3
383
1.3
0.6
0.7
4.2
0.3
1.2
1.8
0.8
3
384
1.2
0.5
0.7
3.5
0.2
1.9
0.8
0.7
3
385
1.0
0.3
0.7
2.6
0.2
0.8
2.7
0.4
3
386
0.8
0.2
0.7
3.0
0.1
2.4
0.7
0.2
3
387
1.3
0.6
0.7
5.0
0.2
0.7
1.4
0.9
3
388
1.0
0.3
0.7
3.6
0.3
2.9
3.1
0.8
3
389
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.6
0.2
7.6
1.6
2.2
3
390
0.8
0.1
0.7
5.0
0.1
1.6
2.6
1.5
3
391
1.0
0.3
0.7
2.5
0.2
3.9
1.8
1.5
3
392
0.8
0.2
0.7
4.0
0.0
7.5
3.6
5.7
3
393
1.2
0.5
0.7
6.0
0.1
6.9
1.4
1.2
3
394
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.2
0.1
2.6
3.0
0.9
3
395
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.0
0.1
3.5
1.2
1.4
3
396
0.9
0.3
0.7
3.4
0.0
5.7
0.9
0.7
3
397
1.3
0.6
0.7
4.9
0.2
3.1
1.0
0.7
3
398
1.4
0.7
0.7
5.4
0.2
10.7
2.0
2.1
3
399
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.0
0.3
5.9
1.5
1.6
3
400
0.8
0.1
0.7
2.6
0.0
2.4
3.8
0.7
3

No consistency figure for assists: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that assists is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.