ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
401
Jake WalmanEDM · D
1.3
0.4
0.9
5.9
0.2
2.0
5.9
1.4
3
402
Alex Barré-BouletSJS · C
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.0
0.1
2.7
0.6
0.9
3
403
Miro HeiskanenDAL · D
2.3
0.4
1.9
6.4
1.0
1.4
4.8
1.1
3
404
Mattias SamuelssonBUF · D
1.2
0.4
0.8
3.8
0.0
5.8
5.5
1.1
3
405
Jack McBainUTA · C
1.0
0.4
0.6
3.7
0.0
10.5
1.8
3.0
3
406
Pontus HolmbergTBL · R
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.4
0.0
2.7
1.7
1.2
3
407
Peyton KrebsBUF · C
1.2
0.4
0.8
3.1
0.1
6.0
1.3
2.7
3
408
Thomas HarleyDAL · D
1.6
0.4
1.2
5.4
0.4
1.9
5.5
0.9
3
409
Nick AbruzzeseTBL · C11 sample
1.3
0.4
0.9
3.9
0.4
3.0
1.7
1.0
3
410
Reid SchaeferNSH · L
0.5
0.4
0.1
2.5
0.0
6.8
1.9
1.1
3
411
Morgan RiellyTOR · D
1.6
0.4
1.2
5.5
0.4
1.9
4.7
1.0
3
412
Jonathan DrouinSTL · L
1.6
0.4
1.2
4.1
0.5
1.1
1.3
0.8
3
413
Michael EyssimontBOS · C
0.8
0.4
0.4
5.7
0.1
4.0
1.1
2.3
3
414
Michael RasmussenDET · C
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.1
4.3
2.7
0.9
3
415
Calle RosenSTL · D
1.0
0.4
0.6
3.6
0.0
1.3
3.1
0.7
3
416
Nils HoglanderNSH · L
0.8
0.4
0.5
3.5
0.0
3.6
0.8
1.1
3
417
Juuso ParssinenNYR · C
0.8
0.4
0.5
2.5
0.1
4.7
1.5
1.2
3
418
Jack ThompsonVAN · D34 sample
0.9
0.4
0.6
4.0
0.3
1.4
5.0
0.9
3
419
Rutger McGroartyPIT · R32 sample
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.6
0.0
3.4
1.2
0.5
3
420
Calle JarnkrokTOR · C
0.7
0.4
0.4
3.0
0.1
2.3
0.8
0.5
3
421
Phillip DanaultMTL · C
1.3
0.4
0.9
4.3
0.1
3.2
2.3
1.1
3
422
Travis SanheimPHI · D
1.3
0.4
0.9
4.2
0.1
2.4
5.7
1.2
3
423
Thomas ChabotOTT · D
1.6
0.4
1.3
6.1
0.4
2.3
5.6
1.2
3
424
Jack DruryNSH · C
0.9
0.4
0.6
3.8
0.1
1.9
1.9
1.1
3
425
Cole KoepkeWPG · L
0.7
0.4
0.4
3.7
0.0
7.9
0.9
0.7
3
426
Jackson LaCombeANA · D
1.9
0.4
1.5
5.2
0.5
2.8
4.9
0.9
3
427
Tye KartyeNYR · L
0.9
0.4
0.5
2.9
0.0
8.3
1.6
1.8
3
428
Cole SillingerCBJ · C
1.3
0.4
0.9
5.3
0.1
4.1
1.8
1.5
3
429
Lane HutsonMTL · D
2.7
0.4
2.3
4.2
0.9
1.3
4.8
1.3
3
430
Noah LabaNYR · C
1.0
0.4
0.6
3.0
0.2
4.5
1.8
1.3
3
431
Ondrej PalatNYI · L
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.1
4.9
2.4
0.7
3
432
Yanni GourdeTBL · C
1.2
0.4
0.9
4.3
0.0
4.8
1.5
2.5
3
433
Adam ErneDAL · L
0.6
0.4
0.2
2.9
0.0
8.8
1.4
1.2
3
434
Conor ShearyBUF · L
0.9
0.4
0.6
3.9
0.1
1.3
1.7
0.7
3
435
Vladislav GavrikovNYR · D
1.1
0.4
0.8
4.2
0.1
2.1
4.3
1.5
3
436
Sam SteelDAL · C
1.1
0.4
0.8
3.3
0.1
3.0
1.2
1.1
3
437
Jacob MacDonaldWSH · D
0.6
0.4
0.3
4.2
0.2
3.5
1.9
1.6
3
438
Bo GroulxTOR · C
0.7
0.4
0.3
2.9
0.0
7.0
1.7
0.7
3
439
Logan O'ConnorCOL · R
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.6
0.0
3.3
1.6
1.2
3
440
Alexander HoltzVGK · R
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.8
0.1
2.4
0.9
0.8
3
441
Theo LindsteinSTL · D17 sample
0.7
0.4
0.4
3.6
0.0
1.5
2.5
1.1
3
442
Zayne ParekhCGY · D38 sample
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.0
0.5
1.3
2.4
0.7
3
443
Brent BurnsCOL · D
1.3
0.3
0.9
6.5
0.2
1.2
3.5
1.2
3
444
Gustav NyquistWPG · R
1.3
0.3
0.9
4.1
0.3
1.7
1.3
0.6
3
445
Nic DowdVGK · C
0.9
0.3
0.5
2.9
0.0
5.9
2.6
2.3
3
446
Taylor RaddyshNYR · R
0.9
0.3
0.5
3.2
0.1
2.6
1.4
0.7
3
447
Nathan BastianDAL · R
0.6
0.3
0.2
2.6
0.0
7.3
1.2
1.8
3
448
Vinni LettieriTOR · C
0.6
0.3
0.3
4.6
0.0
5.2
1.8
1.1
3
449
Mark KastelicBOS · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.5
0.0
8.4
2.1
4.9
3
450
Jakob PelletierTBL · L
0.9
0.3
0.6
3.3
0.0
3.0
1.3
0.5
3

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.