ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by pim.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by pim

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
401
Noah DobsonNoah DobsonMTL · D1.97×
1.7
0.4
1.3
6.6
0.4
2.6
6.3
1.2
3
402
Emil AndraeEmil AndraePHI · D1.65×
0.6
0.1
0.5
2.2
0.1
3.4
3.0
1.2
3
403
John CarlsonJohn CarlsonANA · D2.53×
2.2
0.4
1.8
6.5
0.6
1.9
5.0
1.2
3
404
Tomas HertlTomas HertlVGK · F3.68×
2.2
0.9
1.2
7.0
0.9
4.5
1.8
1.2
3
405
Carl GrundstromCarl GrundstromPHI · F2.63×
0.7
0.4
0.3
4.3
0.0
8.7
1.2
1.2
3
406
Troy StecherTroy StecherTOR · D2.99×
0.5
0.1
0.4
2.9
0.0
1.9
3.5
1.2
3
407
Landon SlaggertLandon SlaggertCHI · F4.39×
0.5
0.2
0.3
2.8
0.0
3.9
1.3
1.2
3
408
Olen ZellwegerOlen ZellwegerANA · D1.80×
0.9
0.3
0.6
5.0
0.1
1.4
3.4
1.2
3
409
Jeff PetryJeff PetryFLA · D2.20×
0.6
0.1
0.6
2.8
0.1
4.0
3.9
1.1
3
410
Seth JonesSeth JonesFLA · D2.01×
1.7
0.4
1.3
5.8
0.8
3.8
4.5
1.1
3
411
Ivan DemidovIvan DemidovMTL · F1.84×
2.1
0.7
1.4
4.8
0.8
1.5
1.0
1.1
3
412
Robert ThomasRobert ThomasSTL · F3.13×
3.1
1.0
2.1
5.3
0.8
0.7
1.8
1.1
3
413
Alexander NikishinAlexander NikishinCAR · D1.88×
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.1
0.3
5.0
3.1
1.1
3
414
Oliver MooreOliver MooreCHI · F3.24×
1.1
0.3
0.9
3.4
0.3
1.5
0.8
1.1
3
415
Radek FaksaRadek FaksaDAL · F2.81×
0.8
0.2
0.6
2.5
0.0
4.5
2.2
1.1
3
416
Elias LindholmElias LindholmBOS · F3.70×
2.0
0.7
1.2
5.7
0.7
3.2
2.5
1.1
3
417
Sam SteelSam SteelDAL · F3.15×
1.1
0.4
0.8
3.3
0.1
3.0
1.2
1.1
3
418
Zach Aston-ReeseZach Aston-ReeseCBJ · F3.14×
0.6
0.2
0.4
3.1
0.0
7.5
2.0
1.1
3
419
Evan BouchardEvan BouchardEDM · D3.00×
3.0
0.7
2.4
8.0
1.1
1.6
3.8
1.1
3
420
Luke HughesLuke HughesNJD · D1.98×
1.7
0.3
1.4
5.9
0.7
0.8
2.3
1.1
3
421
Elias SalomonssonElias SalomonssonWPG · D32 gm
0.5
0.1
0.4
3.5
0.1
4.7
2.5
1.1
3
422
Denver BarkeyDenver BarkeyPHI · F2.06×
1.1
0.3
0.7
2.9
0.2
3.5
1.1
1.1
3
423
Adam FantilliAdam FantilliCBJ · F2.75×
2.1
0.9
1.1
7.5
0.3
4.7
1.9
1.1
3
424
Erik KarlssonErik KarlssonPIT · D2.83×
2.4
0.5
1.9
7.1
0.9
1.0
3.0
1.1
3
425
Colton SissonsColton SissonsVGK · F1.94×
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.5
0.1
5.3
2.4
1.1
3
426
Phillip DanaultPhillip DanaultMTL · F3.30×
1.3
0.4
0.9
4.3
0.1
3.2
2.3
1.1
3
427
Roope HintzRoope HintzDAL · F1.86×
2.5
1.0
1.5
6.8
0.9
2.6
1.5
1.1
3
428
Urho VaakanainenUrho VaakanainenNYR · D1.79×
0.7
0.1
0.6
2.4
0.0
1.4
2.8
1.1
3
429
Jack DruryJack DruryCOL · F3.02×
0.9
0.4
0.6
3.8
0.1
1.8
1.9
1.1
3
430
Nils HoglanderNils HoglanderVAN · F3.74×
0.8
0.4
0.5
3.5
0.0
3.6
0.8
1.1
3
431
Arshdeep BainsArshdeep BainsVAN · F2.03×
0.5
0.1
0.3
1.9
0.1
2.8
0.7
1.1
3
432
Nikolas MatinpaloNikolas MatinpaloOTT · D2.26×
0.3
0.0
0.3
2.4
0.0
2.6
3.1
1.1
3
433
Chris KreiderChris KreiderANA · F2.19×
2.0
1.0
0.9
6.4
0.7
3.8
0.9
1.1
3
434
Noel AcciariNoel AcciariPIT · F3.91×
0.8
0.4
0.4
3.6
0.0
5.4
3.3
1.1
3
435
Andrew PeekeAndrew PeekeBOS · D3.05×
0.6
0.1
0.5
3.1
0.0
4.5
5.4
1.1
3
436
JJ PeterkaJJ PeterkaUTA · F3.45×
1.9
0.9
1.0
6.2
0.3
0.9
0.7
1.1
3
437
Caleb JonesCaleb JonesPIT · D2.12×
0.5
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.1
4.5
4.4
1.1
3
438
Noah JuulsenNoah JuulsenPHI · D2.70×
0.5
0.0
0.4
1.6
0.0
7.3
3.5
1.1
3
439
Ivan ProvorovIvan ProvorovCBJ · D2.49×
1.1
0.3
0.9
4.9
0.2
1.4
5.0
1.1
3
440
Alex NewhookAlex NewhookMTL · F2.63×
1.4
0.8
0.7
4.5
0.2
3.3
1.3
1.1
3
441
Reid SchaeferReid SchaeferNSH · F2.58×
0.5
0.4
0.1
2.5
0.0
6.9
1.9
1.1
3
442
Joel EdmundsonJoel EdmundsonLAK · D4.98×
0.8
0.1
0.6
3.6
0.1
4.2
4.4
1.1
3
443
Haydn FleuryHaydn FleuryWPG · D4.70×
0.4
0.1
0.3
2.5
0.0
4.2
4.3
1.1
3
444
Devon ToewsDevon ToewsCOL · D1.99×
1.6
0.3
1.3
5.3
0.1
1.7
4.0
1.1
3
445
Miro HeiskanenMiro HeiskanenDAL · D2.77×
2.3
0.4
1.9
6.4
1.0
1.3
4.8
1.1
3
446
Filip ChytilFilip ChytilVAN · F1.81×
1.3
0.7
0.6
6.7
0.2
1.2
1.0
1.1
3
447
Morgan BarronMorgan BarronWPG · F2.49×
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.0
0.0
5.6
1.7
1.1
3
448
Mattias SamuelssonMattias SamuelssonBUF · D2.54×
1.2
0.4
0.8
3.8
0.0
5.8
5.5
1.1
3
449
Alexander RomanovAlexander RomanovNYI · D2.86×
0.7
0.1
0.6
4.2
0.0
6.7
6.7
1.1
3
450
Matt CoronatoMatt CoronatoCGY · F2.26×
1.7
0.7
0.9
7.1
0.6
1.0
1.0
1.1
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.36. Measured 2026-08-05.