ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by shots.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by shots

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
401
Jack ThompsonVAN · D34 sample
0.9
0.4
0.6
4.0
0.3
1.4
5.0
0.9
3
402
Ryan GreeneCHI · C
1.1
0.4
0.6
4.0
0.1
1.9
1.4
0.5
3
403
Zayne ParekhCGY · D38 sample
0.8
0.4
0.4
4.0
0.5
1.3
2.4
0.7
3
404
Brett HowdenVGK · C
1.4
0.8
0.5
4.0
0.1
5.6
1.6
1.8
3
405
Jeffrey VielTBL · L
0.7
0.3
0.5
4.0
0.0
8.8
1.3
5.3
3
406
Jonathan ToewsWPG · C
1.1
0.4
0.7
4.0
0.3
0.7
1.3
1.5
3
407
Jared SpurgeonMIN · D
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.0
0.3
2.9
5.4
0.6
3
408
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR · C
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.0
0.1
3.5
1.2
1.4
3
409
Ben ChiarotDET · D
0.6
0.2
0.4
4.0
0.0
5.8
5.8
2.5
3
410
Alex BelzileMTL · R
1.2
0.5
0.7
4.0
0.1
3.1
2.1
1.3
3
411
Damon SeversonCBJ · D
1.3
0.3
0.9
4.0
0.1
1.8
3.9
1.9
3
412
Louis CrevierBUF · D
0.8
0.3
0.6
4.0
0.0
5.0
4.0
2.1
3
413
Ryan PulockNYI · D
1.0
0.2
0.9
4.0
0.1
3.2
6.1
0.6
3
414
Eric RobinsonCAR · L
1.0
0.5
0.5
4.0
0.0
5.1
0.7
0.7
3
415
Max CrozierTBL · D
0.7
0.1
0.7
4.0
0.0
3.5
2.6
3.0
3
416
Ben HuttonVGK · D
0.8
0.3
0.5
4.0
0.0
1.6
3.3
1.1
3
417
Nikita ZadorovBOS · D
0.8
0.2
0.7
4.0
0.0
7.5
3.6
5.7
3
418
Conor ShearyBUF · L
0.9
0.4
0.6
3.9
0.1
1.3
1.7
0.7
3
419
Adam GaudetteSJS · R
1.1
0.7
0.3
3.9
0.2
2.6
1.3
0.8
3
420
Casey MittelstadtBOS · C
1.7
0.6
1.2
3.9
0.4
1.2
1.0
0.7
3
421
Dalibor DvorskySTL · R
0.9
0.5
0.4
3.9
0.3
3.2
1.0
1.1
3
422
Matt RoyWSH · D
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.9
0.0
4.9
5.7
0.8
3
423
Tyson JostNSH · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.9
0.0
3.0
1.4
1.5
3
424
Brett BerardMTL · L
0.5
0.3
0.2
3.9
0.0
4.3
1.9
1.0
3
425
Jani NymanSEA · R40 sample
0.9
0.5
0.4
3.9
0.3
2.6
0.9
0.7
3
426
Michael MisaSJS · C
1.4
0.6
0.8
3.9
0.3
1.0
1.6
0.7
3
427
Jonny BrodzinskiWSH · C
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.9
0.1
2.2
1.1
0.6
3
428
Ronnie AttardDET · D29 sample
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.9
0.1
5.0
3.3
1.4
3
429
Teddy BluegerTOR · C
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.9
0.0
4.2
1.6
1.5
3
430
Connor DewarPIT · C
0.9
0.5
0.5
3.9
0.0
6.0
1.8
0.9
3
431
Jordan SpenceOTT · D
1.1
0.2
0.9
3.9
0.1
2.7
2.7
0.8
3
432
Nick AbruzzeseTBL · C11 sample
1.3
0.4
0.9
3.9
0.4
3.0
1.7
1.0
3
433
Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI · C
1.4
0.6
0.9
3.9
0.1
5.4
2.3
0.5
3
434
Hunter McKownMTL · C12 sample
0.8
0.2
0.6
3.9
0.1
3.3
1.7
1.8
3
435
Bradly NadeauCAR · L15 sample
0.8
0.7
0.2
3.9
0.2
4.9
1.4
0.5
3
436
Michael McCarronMIN · C
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.9
0.0
7.0
2.8
3.5
3
437
J.T. CompherDET · L
1.3
0.5
0.8
3.9
0.2
1.1
2.2
1.0
3
438
Elmer SoderblomPIT · L
0.8
0.4
0.4
3.9
0.0
5.2
1.0
1.0
3
439
Liam OhgrenVAN · L
0.8
0.3
0.4
3.9
0.0
3.0
1.7
0.1
3
440
Dylan SambergWPG · D
0.7
0.1
0.6
3.8
0.0
2.7
5.1
1.0
3
441
Jack DruryNSH · C
0.9
0.4
0.6
3.8
0.1
1.9
1.9
1.1
3
442
Maxim ShabanovMIN · R
1.2
0.3
0.9
3.8
0.3
1.9
1.1
0.2
3
443
Ryan WintertonSEA · C
0.7
0.2
0.6
3.8
0.0
3.4
1.5
0.6
3
444
Zachary L'HeureuxCOL · L
0.7
0.3
0.3
3.8
0.1
8.6
1.5
2.8
3
445
Alex SteevesBOS · C
1.0
0.6
0.5
3.8
0.2
9.8
1.7
2.1
3
446
Sean KuralyBOS · C
0.8
0.3
0.5
3.8
0.0
4.8
1.7
1.6
3
447
Alexander HoltzVGK · R
0.9
0.4
0.5
3.8
0.1
2.4
0.9
0.8
3
448
Ethan BearNYI · D
0.7
0.2
0.5
3.8
0.0
2.2
3.5
1.2
3
449
Nicolas RoyCOL · C
1.2
0.5
0.8
3.8
0.1
3.5
1.7
1.4
3
450
Jack RathboneBUF · D20 sample
0.7
0.3
0.4
3.8
0.1
2.5
2.2
0.9
3

No consistency figure for shots: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that shots is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.