ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by points.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by points

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
401
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.3
0.1
3.3
1.6
1.2
3
402
1.1
0.2
0.9
3.7
0.4
2.2
2.5
1.2
3
403
1.1
0.7
0.3
3.9
0.2
2.6
1.3
0.8
3
404
1.1
0.5
0.6
4.5
0.1
3.8
1.0
1.1
3
405
1.1
0.3
0.7
3.5
0.0
3.7
5.8
2.9
3
406
1.1
0.5
0.6
5.0
0.1
0.8
0.9
0.6
3
407
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.8
0.1
3.1
1.3
1.7
3
408
1.1
0.4
0.6
4.0
0.1
1.9
1.4
0.5
3
409
1.1
0.1
1.0
3.7
0.5
4.2
3.3
1.9
3
410
1.1
0.5
0.6
3.0
0.2
4.8
1.7
1.4
3
411
1.1
0.4
0.6
4.4
0.2
2.6
3.2
0.8
3
412
1.1
0.5
0.5
5.7
0.1
3.9
1.6
0.8
3
413
1.1
0.7
0.3
5.3
0.2
8.8
1.8
0.7
3
414
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.8
0.0
3.9
6.8
0.8
3
415
1.0
0.3
0.8
6.5
0.1
5.8
6.0
3.3
3
416
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.4
0.1
1.2
0.6
0.5
3
417
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.1
0.3
5.0
3.1
1.1
3
418
1.0
0.6
0.5
3.8
0.2
9.8
1.7
2.1
3
419
1.0
0.2
0.9
4.0
0.1
3.2
6.1
0.6
3
420
1.0
0.4
0.6
3.5
0.1
3.3
1.5
1.0
3
421
1.0
0.2
0.8
2.4
0.0
1.5
3.5
0.9
3
422
1.0
0.4
0.6
4.1
0.1
1.0
4.4
1.3
3
423
1.0
0.1
0.9
2.8
0.2
1.4
1.4
1.2
3
424
1.0
0.5
0.5
4.9
0.0
2.8
1.4
1.4
3
425
1.0
0.3
0.7
2.6
0.2
0.8
2.7
0.4
3
426
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.6
0.1
2.5
3.9
1.9
3
427
1.0
0.3
0.7
3.6
0.3
2.9
3.1
0.8
3
428
1.0
0.2
0.8
2.9
0.5
1.2
2.1
1.6
3
429
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.0
0.0
10.5
1.6
2.5
3
430
1.0
0.5
0.5
5.5
0.3
1.4
1.7
0.8
3
431
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.0
0.1
3.5
1.2
1.4
3
432
1.0
0.3
0.8
5.7
0.0
6.6
6.6
1.9
3
433
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.5
0.1
1.8
6.4
0.7
3
434
1.0
0.4
0.6
3.7
0.0
10.5
1.8
3.0
3
435
1.0
0.4
0.6
2.9
0.0
3.1
1.6
1.4
3
436
1.0
0.3
0.7
4.0
0.3
2.9
5.4
0.6
3
437
1.0
0.6
0.4
4.4
0.0
6.2
1.7
3.7
3
438
1.0
0.4
0.6
4.1
0.0
5.3
2.2
1.0
3
439
1.0
0.4
0.6
3.6
0.0
1.3
3.1
0.7
3
440
1.0
0.2
0.8
4.1
0.0
1.1
6.3
0.9
3
441
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.1
0.0
5.2
6.6
2.1
3
442
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.7
0.0
6.9
2.2
1.4
3
443
1.0
0.5
0.5
3.1
0.4
2.9
2.4
0.1
3
444
1.0
0.6
0.3
4.2
0.0
3.1
3.3
1.1
3
445
1.0
0.4
0.6
3.0
0.2
4.5
1.8
1.3
3
446
1.0
0.3
0.7
2.5
0.2
3.9
1.8
1.5
3
447
1.0
0.5
0.5
4.9
0.1
2.0
0.6
0.9
3
448
1.0
0.1
0.8
3.0
0.1
2.2
3.8
0.9
3
449
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.7
0.2
1.9
5.9
1.2
3
450
1.0
0.2
0.8
3.3
0.0
6.3
5.9
3.5
3

No consistency figure for points: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that points is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.