ODDPUCK
Between seasonsProjections liveLatest sheet Sat, Apr 11, 2026

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — over a full regular season, ranked league-wide by goals.

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Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Computed overnight, then only read — this page never recalculates a projection. Availability is not projected: Proj GP is the team's schedule, not a forecast of how many games the player dresses for, and injuries, scratches and trades are not modelled.

How well does projection ordering hold? View the ordering study

897 skaters · sorted by goals

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
Proj GP
451
Brent BurnsCOL · D
35.6
9.6
26.1
177.5
5.8
32.8
94.4
32.6
82
452
Ben MeyersSEA · C
20.0
9.5
10.5
86.4
0.1
100.2
21.5
23.9
82
453
Arttu HyryDAL · R29 sample
17.8
9.4
8.3
92.7
0.3
125.9
30.8
7.4
82
454
Conor GeekieTBL · C
20.0
9.4
10.6
80.3
2.0
165.3
39.8
35.5
82
455
Maxim ShabanovMIN · R
33.6
9.4
24.2
104.9
9.3
51.4
30.6
4.5
82
456
Sheldon DriesDET · C
15.6
9.4
6.2
92.4
4.4
114.3
51.8
23.1
82
457
Denver BarkeyPHI · C
29.5
9.4
20.2
81.4
6.2
94.5
31.6
31.1
82
458
Martin KautSJS · R
20.3
9.4
11.0
99.8
3.1
62.5
22.8
13.8
82
459
Mike BenningCGY · D18 sample
27.9
9.4
18.5
71.6
4.7
22.6
72.6
10.7
82
460
Nick BlankenburgCOL · D
27.9
9.4
18.5
99.4
8.3
78.0
84.7
21.7
82
461
Casey CizikasNYI · C
19.4
9.3
10.1
89.8
0.4
170.3
63.1
34.8
82
462
Liam OhgrenVAN · L
21.2
9.3
11.9
105.3
0.6
81.7
47.3
3.4
82
463
Nathan WalkerSTL · L
20.4
9.3
11.1
76.2
0.1
289.3
65.7
60.2
82
464
Mason AppletonDET · C
24.5
9.3
15.2
102.3
1.3
107.2
36.5
43.0
82
465
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR · C
27.5
9.3
18.2
109.4
2.5
96.3
33.4
38.4
82
466
Simon EdvinssonDET · D
29.2
9.2
20.0
95.5
0.8
102.3
159.7
78.1
82
467
Ryan UfkoNSH · D19 sample
48.2
9.1
39.1
52.9
8.8
49.3
58.1
27.3
82
468
Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH · L
20.0
9.1
10.9
82.3
2.4
136.6
34.7
11.5
82
469
Alexander NikishinCAR · D
28.4
9.1
19.3
112.1
8.2
135.4
85.1
31.2
82
470
Brad LambertWPG · C31 sample
20.6
9.0
11.5
84.4
3.1
73.4
25.9
21.4
82
471
Moritz SeiderDET · D
52.5
9.0
43.5
170.6
24.4
165.8
183.7
49.9
82
472
Colton SissonsTOR · C
22.5
8.9
13.6
95.3
3.0
143.3
66.0
30.8
82
473
Lukas ReichelBOS · L
24.3
8.9
15.4
84.8
1.9
28.5
37.9
15.5
82
474
Colton ParaykoSTL · D
28.4
8.9
19.5
132.4
0.9
107.1
186.9
22.7
82
475
Gavin BrindleyCOL · C
19.3
8.8
10.4
91.1
0.1
54.8
22.7
12.2
82
476
Damon SeversonCBJ · D
34.7
8.8
25.8
108.8
3.8
49.8
106.1
53.0
82
477
Cole SchwindtFLA · C
17.8
8.8
9.0
67.0
0.2
97.0
32.2
4.7
82
478
Luke KuninFLA · C
17.2
8.8
8.4
93.0
1.3
179.1
68.6
68.3
82
479
Tyson JostNSH · C
19.2
8.8
10.4
107.0
0.1
81.2
37.1
40.2
82
480
Nico SturmMIN · C
20.8
8.8
12.0
78.8
0.1
115.5
39.6
22.2
82
481
Berkly CattonSEA · C
21.4
8.8
12.6
97.4
2.6
11.3
37.7
38.5
82
482
Sam CarrickBUF · C
18.3
8.8
9.5
86.8
0.2
136.5
39.3
78.5
82
483
Max JonesEDM · L
18.2
8.7
9.4
93.3
0.5
199.9
19.6
53.9
82
484
Michael McCarronMIN · C
18.8
8.7
10.1
105.3
0.1
192.5
75.5
94.3
82
485
Jamie DrysdalePHI · D
30.2
8.7
21.5
102.6
10.0
23.1
105.2
34.2
82
486
Daniil ButUTA · L29 sample
20.4
8.7
11.7
121.9
8.5
47.1
51.5
23.2
82
487
Josh SamanskiEDM · C29 sample
17.6
8.7
9.0
34.4
0.3
88.1
40.5
28.7
82
488
Nick CousinsOTT · C
22.6
8.6
14.0
92.5
0.2
160.6
40.4
78.7
82
489
Trent FredericEDM · C
17.3
8.6
8.7
99.3
1.1
215.6
35.1
66.8
82
490
Cole SmithCHI · R
17.5
8.6
8.9
84.5
0.1
239.5
29.3
66.0
82
491
Lars EllerFLA · C
21.1
8.5
12.6
101.8
1.1
66.2
41.3
25.4
82
492
Vinnie HinostrozaCOL · C
23.2
8.5
14.6
92.4
3.1
57.7
32.2
34.8
82
493
Axel Sandin-PellikkaDET · D
25.5
8.5
17.0
82.7
8.4
21.7
65.2
22.0
82
494
Drew DoughtyLAK · D
35.3
8.5
26.8
121.0
8.9
80.0
104.8
47.0
82
495
Olen ZellwegerBUF · D
25.6
8.5
17.1
137.6
4.3
39.2
93.7
31.7
82
496
Noah GregorWPG · L
17.5
8.5
9.1
112.2
1.4
128.6
38.1
45.2
82
497
Marc GatcombVGK · C
14.1
8.5
5.7
91.0
0.1
315.9
42.9
18.9
82
498
Angus CrookshankFLA · C29 sample
13.7
8.4
5.2
76.1
0.5
84.4
59.7
27.7
82
499
Joel KivirantaDAL · L
16.3
8.4
7.9
83.5
0.1
122.2
32.2
18.6
82
500
Matthew PoitrasBOS · C
30.5
8.3
22.2
97.2
1.0
32.7
33.0
28.5
82

No consistency figure for goals: it did not clear the nightly split-half-vs-Poisson gate. The gate withholds a figure both when a stat is measurably no better than chance and when the evidence is too split to call, and those are not separable from here — so read this as no published measure, not as a finding that goals is inconsistent. Sort by another stat to see it where it holds. Measured 2026-08-21. The nightly job has not refreshed this since — it is the last completed measurement, not a current one.