ODDPUCK

Projections

Every headline stat per skater — per week, ranked league-wide by hits.

Each player's recency-weighted per-game rate — from 5 seasons of real games, recent games weighted more (the weighting is backtested) — × their team's scheduled games in the window. Precomputed nightly (INV-7); the page never computes.

778 skaters · sorted by hits

#
Skater
PTS
G
A
SOG
PPP
HIT
BLK
PIM
GP
601
Devon ToewsDevon ToewsCOL · D1.12×
1.6
0.3
1.3
5.3
0.1
1.7
4.0
1.1
3
602
Nick DeSimoneNick DeSimoneUTA · D1.00×
0.7
0.1
0.5
2.8
0.0
1.7
2.5
0.6
3
603
Ryan StromeRyan StromeCGY · F1.19×
1.4
0.4
1.0
4.4
0.2
1.7
1.0
2.5
3
604
Connor McMichaelConnor McMichaelWSH · F1.10×
1.7
0.7
1.1
5.7
0.2
1.7
1.6
1.3
3
605
Ryan Nugent-HopkinsRyan Nugent-HopkinsEDM · F1.08×
2.4
0.8
1.6
6.0
1.1
1.7
1.6
1.0
3
606
Cale MakarCale MakarCOL · D1.12×
3.2
0.9
2.3
8.6
1.2
1.7
5.0
0.8
3
607
Connor ZaryConnor ZaryCGY · F1.00×
1.2
0.6
0.6
4.8
0.3
1.7
1.0
0.9
3
608
Shayne GostisbehereShayne GostisbehereCAR · D1.26×
2.2
0.5
1.7
5.5
1.1
1.7
3.0
1.5
3
609
Sean MonahanSean MonahanCBJ · F1.04×
1.9
0.7
1.2
5.7
0.5
1.7
1.5
0.6
3
610
Frank NazarFrank NazarCHI · F1.12×
1.8
0.7
1.1
5.9
0.5
1.7
1.9
1.2
3
611
Ryan McDonaghRyan McDonaghTBL · D1.35×
1.2
0.2
0.9
2.9
0.0
1.7
5.4
0.8
3
612
Alec RegulaAlec RegulaEDM · D0.88×
0.3
0.0
0.3
1.9
0.0
1.7
4.6
3.6
3
613
Daniil ButDaniil ButUTA · F29 gm
0.7
0.3
0.4
4.5
0.3
1.7
1.9
0.8
3
614
Anze KopitarAnze KopitarLAK · F1.23×
2.1
0.7
1.4
4.5
0.7
1.6
2.7
0.4
3
615
Gustav NyquistGustav NyquistWPG · F1.19×
1.3
0.3
0.9
4.1
0.3
1.6
1.3
0.6
3
616
Mattias JanmarkMattias JanmarkEDM · F1.51×
0.7
0.2
0.5
2.2
0.0
1.6
1.1
1.4
3
617
Vincent IorioVincent IorioNYR · D37 gm
0.3
0.0
0.3
1.7
0.0
1.6
4.1
1.2
3
618
Jake GuentzelJake GuentzelTBL · F1.25×
3.2
1.4
1.8
8.6
1.1
1.6
1.6
1.9
3
619
Brock NelsonBrock NelsonCOL · F1.14×
2.2
1.1
1.1
7.2
0.5
1.6
2.2
1.2
3
620
Mike ReillyMike ReillyCAR · D1.33×
0.8
0.1
0.7
5.0
0.1
1.6
2.6
1.6
3
621
Jeff SkinnerJeff SkinnerSJS · F1.35×
1.6
0.8
0.8
6.7
0.3
1.6
0.9
1.2
3
622
Frederick GaudreauFrederick GaudreauSEA · F1.23×
1.1
0.4
0.7
3.7
0.2
1.6
2.2
0.4
3
623
Connor BedardConnor BedardCHI · F0.94×
2.9
1.1
1.8
8.9
1.0
1.6
1.2
2.2
3
624
Evan BouchardEvan BouchardEDM · D1.27×
3.0
0.7
2.4
8.0
1.1
1.6
3.8
1.1
3
625
Adam WilsbyAdam WilsbyNSH · D1.21×
0.8
0.1
0.7
3.3
0.0
1.6
2.4
1.4
3
626
Barrett HaytonBarrett HaytonUTA · F1.15×
1.3
0.5
0.8
5.5
0.4
1.6
1.4
2.0
3
627
Ben HuttonBen HuttonVGK · D1.10×
0.8
0.3
0.5
4.0
0.0
1.6
3.3
1.1
3
628
Roman JosiRoman JosiNSH · D1.19×
2.5
0.6
1.9
8.7
1.1
1.6
5.0
1.3
3
629
Matt GrzelcykMatt GrzelcykCHI · D1.26×
0.8
0.0
0.8
3.2
0.2
1.6
3.0
1.2
3
630
Pavel BuchnevichPavel BuchnevichSTL · F1.34×
2.1
0.8
1.3
5.8
0.6
1.6
1.3
1.2
3
631
Michael CallahanMichael CallahanBOS · D22 gm
0.1
0.1
0.0
1.7
0.0
1.6
3.3
0.8
3
632
Alex VlasicAlex VlasicCHI · D1.20×
0.8
0.1
0.8
3.3
0.1
1.6
5.0
0.7
3
633
Jake SandersonJake SandersonOTT · D1.23×
2.1
0.5
1.6
6.5
0.9
1.6
5.9
0.5
3
634
Vince DunnVince DunnSEA · D1.15×
1.8
0.5
1.4
6.4
0.7
1.5
3.3
2.2
3
635
Nikita KucherovNikita KucherovTBL · F1.30×
4.8
1.5
3.3
9.8
1.6
1.5
1.1
1.8
3
636
Adam FoxAdam FoxNYR · D1.28×
2.7
0.5
2.3
5.3
1.1
1.5
4.5
1.3
3
637
Patrik LainePatrik LaineMTL · F1.10×
1.9
1.0
0.9
7.1
0.9
1.5
1.4
1.0
3
638
Ivan DemidovIvan DemidovMTL · F0.96×
2.1
0.7
1.4
4.8
0.8
1.5
1.0
1.1
3
639
Max DomiMax DomiTOR · F1.55×
1.5
0.4
1.0
4.5
0.3
1.5
1.1
3.7
3
640
Ryan SheaRyan SheaPIT · D1.14×
1.0
0.2
0.8
2.4
0.0
1.5
3.5
0.9
3
641
Oliver MooreOliver MooreCHI · F1.09×
1.1
0.3
0.9
3.4
0.3
1.5
0.8
1.1
3
642
Mikael BacklundMikael BacklundCGY · F1.20×
1.5
0.6
0.9
7.2
0.2
1.5
1.3
0.9
3
643
Tom WillanderTom WillanderVAN · D1.67×
0.9
0.2
0.7
2.5
0.1
1.5
3.3
1.2
3
644
Dmitry SimashevDmitry SimashevUTA · D28 gm
0.1
0.0
0.1
2.8
0.0
1.5
3.0
2.5
3
645
Matty BeniersMatty BeniersSEA · F1.05×
1.7
0.7
1.0
5.4
0.4
1.5
2.4
0.7
3
646
Gabe PerreaultGabe PerreaultNYR · F1.08×
1.6
0.7
0.9
4.4
0.3
1.5
1.3
0.6
3
647
Brett KulakBrett KulakCOL · D1.27×
0.7
0.1
0.5
3.7
0.0
1.5
4.2
1.2
3
648
Philip BrobergPhilip BrobergSTL · D1.25×
1.2
0.3
0.9
3.6
0.1
1.5
3.8
0.6
3
649
Brock FaberBrock FaberMIN · D0.97×
1.7
0.5
1.2
5.8
0.4
1.5
5.3
1.3
3
650
Matthew SchaeferMatthew SchaeferNYI · D0.87×
2.2
0.8
1.3
8.1
0.7
1.5
4.1
1.4
3

The × badge is game-to-game variance against a random process at the same rate — under 1.00 steadier, over 1.00 streakier. Split-half reliability 0.20. Measured 2026-08-05.